Helmerich & Payne, Inc (HP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $3.4B
Helmerich & Payne, Inc
HP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +12.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($9.25 to $18.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.61 – $46.35 · fair‑value band $9.25 – $18.32 · the $37.10 price screens above the $9.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Helmerich & Payne, Inc (HP) currently trades at $37.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.25, implying the stock looks roughly 75.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Helmerich & Payne, Inc generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of -9.4%. Revenue declined 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.0%. Net debt stands at $2.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.25 (bear case) to $18.32 (bull case); at $37.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 155% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -75%, HP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($18.27) versus Growth DCF ($4.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Helmerich & Payne, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling solutions and technologies for oil and gas exploration and production companies. The company operates through North America Solutions, Offshore Solutions, and International Solutions segments. The North America Solutions segment conducts operations primarily in Texas.
Full company description
Helmerich & Payne, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling solutions and technologies for oil and gas exploration and production companies. The company operates through North America Solutions, Offshore Solutions, and International Solutions segments. The North America Solutions segment conducts operations primarily in Texas. The Offshore Solutions segment has drilling operations in Louisiana and in U.S. federal waters the North Sea and Norwegian Sea off the coast of Norway, Caspian Sea and other international waters. The International Solutions segment conducts drilling operations in Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Bahrain, Oman, Germany, and Kuwait. The company focuses on developing, promoting, and commercializing technologies designed to enhance the drilling operations, as well as wellbore quality and placement. It also owns and operates commercial real estate properties. In addition, the company's real estate investments include a shopping center. Helmerich & Payne, Inc. was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Helmerich & Payne, Inc reported revenue of $3.7B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +32.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$165M in FY2025.
HP screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Noble Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Helmerich & Payne (HP) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
- Helmerich & Payne (HP) Reports Q3 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates
- Helmerich & Payne (NYSE:HP) Reports Upbeat Q2 CY2026
- Helmerich & Payne, Inc. Announces Fiscal Third Quarter Results
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Drilling · 31 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Corporation NE | $41.79 | $23.09 | -45% |
| Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation 600871 | ¥2.21 | ¥0.4900 | -78% |
| Transocean Ltd RIG | $5.14 | $2.16 | -58% |
| Valaris Limited VAL | $79.57 | $63.09 | -21% |
| Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc PTEN | $9.39 | $12.20 | +30% |
| Seadrill Limited SDRL | $42.86 | $10.17 | -76% |
| Arabian Drilling Company 2381 | 80.70 SAR | 11.09 SAR | -86% |
| Nabors Industries Ltd NBR | $84.72 | $209.20 | +147% |
| Borr Drilling Limited BORR | kr 41.99 | kr 27.75 | -34% |
| Sable Offshore Corp SOC | $4.14 | $1.87 | -55% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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