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Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc $22.36, price $11.07, upside +102.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · US · ISIN US7034811015

PU Patterson-UTI Energy Inc logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Patterson-UTI Energy Inc

PTEN · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $22.36 · Strongly undervalued (+102%)
!Quality 35/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +33.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·3.07% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $10.96 to $37.95
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$17.20 $5.00 Fair Value $22.36 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.00 – $17.20 · fair‑value band $10.96 – $37.95 · the $11.07 price screens below the $22.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides drilling and completion services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in the United States, Canada, Colombia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Drilling Services, Completion Services, and Drilling Products.

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Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides drilling and completion services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in the United States, Canada, Colombia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Drilling Services, Completion Services, and Drilling Products. The Contract Drilling Services segment engages in the provision of contract and directional drilling, and measurement-while-drilling (MWD) services in onshore oil and natural gas basins; supply and rental of downhole performance motors, such as Mpact drilling motors, and Mpower MWD systems; electrical controls and automation to the energy, marine, and mining industries; rig fleet evaluation; and drilling technology service. This segment also provides software and services, such as MWD Survey Fault Detection, Isolation and Recovery (FDIR) services, a data analytics technology to analyze MWD survey data in real-time and identify the position of a well; HiFi Nav, which enhances FDIR by targeting improved vertical placement of the directional well within the reservoir; and HiFi Guidance that utilizes trajectory optimization to determine optimal steering recommendations and placement within the reservoir. The Completion Services segment offers services for hydraulic fracturing, wireline and pumping, completion support, equipment, materials, and cementing, as well as involved in the power solutions natural gas fueling, and last mile logistics and storage businesses. The Drilling Products segment engages in the design, manufacture, sale, and rental of matrix and steel-bodied polycrystalline diamond compact drill bits. It also rents oilfield tools; and offers specialized services for land-based oil and natural gas drilling, completion, and workover activities. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN) currently trades at $11.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.36, implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $21.23 per share, and 9 of the 11 models we run sit above the $11.07 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.68, and 2 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $10.96 (bear) to $37.95 (bull), the price of $11.07 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Patterson-UTI Energy Inc reported revenue of $4.8B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +37.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$93.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.2B · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3000 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin −1.9% · Return on equity −3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.5% · Operating margin −1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 102%, PTEN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $10.96 Fair Value $22.36 Bull $37.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $14.35 $25.49 $55.66 75
Growth DCF $13.62 $28.16 $54.44 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.17 $20.12 $36.81 71
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.35 $25.49 $55.66 75
Owner Earnings $9.94 $24.07 $52.20 70
5Y Revenue Exit $9.29 $18.19 $34.11 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.17 $20.12 $36.81 71
10Y Revenue Exit $10.45 $21.23 $34.75 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.39 $22.81 $42.61 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $8.74 $12.35 $15.97 67
EV/Revenue $6.81 $10.64 $14.46 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.24 $5.68 $8.48 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.62 $28.16 $54.44 74
Rev-Margin DCF $9.29 $19.00 $33.27 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.8% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−79.4% (2020) → −0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.0% a year for the price and +1.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−4.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.7%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Drilling · 34 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +102% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 80
DIVIDEND (yield)61 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Noble Corporation NE $45.04 $46.18 +3%
Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation 600871 ¥2.12 ¥0.5200 −75%
Transocean Ltd RIG $5.49 $4.88 −11%
Valaris Limited VAL $82.72 $58.91 −29%
Helmerich & Payne, Inc HP $39.79 $22.68 −43%
Seadrill Limited SDRL $46.85 $10.17 −78%
Odfjell Drilling Ltd ODL kr 102.80 kr 68.12 −34%
Arabian Drilling Company 2381 94.10 SAR 20.01 SAR −79%
Borr Drilling Limited BORR kr 41.67 kr 56.75 +36%
Nabors Industries Ltd NBR $83.42 $234.91 +182%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Patterson-UTI Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTEN

Frequently asked questions

Is Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.36 versus a price of $11.07, about +102% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PTEN?
Our model-based fair value for Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is $22.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.07.
What is the quality score of PTEN?
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.96, optimistic scenario $37.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Patterson-UTI Energy Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.36, about +102% upside versus a price of $11.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.96, optimistic scenario $37.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Patterson-UTI Energy Inc pay a dividend?
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Patterson-UTI Energy Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +0.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +33.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTEN use?
Our models discount Patterson-UTI Energy Inc at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Patterson-UTI Energy Inc that is +0.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Patterson-UTI Energy Inc grew +33.8 % a year. The price currently implies +0.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (+0.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.77 %: that much free cash flow Patterson-UTI Energy Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Patterson-UTI Energy Inc it is $22.36 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $11.07. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Patterson-UTI Energy Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PTEN trades below its calculated fair value: price $11.07, fair value $22.36, a gap of about +102% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.36). For Patterson-UTI Energy Inc the two are $11.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Patterson-UTI Energy Inc worth?
The market values Patterson-UTI Energy Inc at about $4.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $11.07; our models calculate a fair value of $22.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTEN?
Our models span a range for Patterson-UTI Energy Inc: cautious scenario $10.96, base $22.36, optimistic $37.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $11.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PTEN?
The PEG ratio of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is 0.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.6%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTEN from its 52-week high?
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc trades at $11.07, about 16% below its 52-week high of $13.15 and 121% above the low of $5.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Patterson-UTI Energy Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Valaris Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Patterson-UTI Energy Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $11.07, calculated fair value $22.36 (+102%), Quality Score 35/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTEN calculated?
We run Patterson-UTI Energy Inc through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Patterson-UTI Energy Inc currently trades 102 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.07. Our model-based fair value is $22.36, about +102% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Patterson-UTI Energy Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($10.96 to $37.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The market capitalisation of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is $4.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is 0.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
Earnings per share at Patterson-UTI Energy Inc are $−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The dividend yield of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The net margin of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is −1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is −8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
The operating margin of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
Revenue at Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is growing −12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)?
Earnings per share at Patterson-UTI Energy Inc are growing −97.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN) carry?
The net debt of Patterson-UTI Energy Inc is $860M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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