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Data-driven stock valuation

The Southern Company (SOJC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what The Southern Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Materials · US · Market cap $21.8B · ISIN US8425874042

At a glance

TS The Southern Company logo The Southern Company SOJC · US
Price$19.50
Fair Value$53.59
Upside+174.8%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, trading 64% below our fair value of $53.59.

As of Aug 23, 2026, the fair value of The Southern Company is $53.59 per share against a price of $19.50, so the fair value sits 175% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·11.79% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $29.98 to $70.57

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −3.6% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($29.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($29.98 to $70.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.94 $16.58 Fair Value $53.59 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $16.58 – $22.94 · fair‑value band $29.98 – $70.57 · the $19.50 price screens below the $53.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

The Southern Company (SOJC) currently trades at $19.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.59, implying the stock looks roughly 63.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $66.05 per share, and 12 of the 13 models we run sit above the $19.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $21.60, and 1 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Net debt stands at $73.7B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 25.2 (as of Jun 3, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Scenario range: $29.98 (bear) to $70.57 (bull), the price of $19.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 175%, SOJC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence $56.42 $65.59 $73.62 74
Residual Income $29.90 $35.47 $71.42 72
ROIC Compounder $59.27 $73.30 $89.07 72
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.42 $68.83 $89.77 65
PEG = 1.0 $13.08 $18.69 $24.29 57
EPV best evidence $56.42 $65.59 $73.62 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $49.53 $66.05 $82.56 63
P/S Multiple $29.76 $39.67 $49.59 58
P/B Multiple $49.53 $66.05 $82.56 55
EV/EBIT $69.84 $92.66 $115.48 66
EV/EBITDA $90.76 $120.55 $150.34 67
EV/Revenue $29.15 $41.06 $52.96 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.12 $21.60 $32.23 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.90 $35.47 $71.42 72
ROIC Compounder $59.27 $73.30 $89.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $39.40 $56.29 $73.17 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($66.05) versus Asset-Based ($21.60). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 25.2 as of Jun 3, 2026
P/S ratio 3.70 P/E × margin
Dividend yield 11.8%
Net margin 14.7% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% avg 5y
Free cash flow −$3.6B FY2025
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Net debt $73.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

The Southern Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity.

Full company description

The Southern Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. The company also constructs, acquires, owns, and manages power generation assets, including renewable energy facilities and sells electricity in the wholesale market; and distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, New Jersey, Florida, Tennessee, and Maryland, as well as provides gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and gas midstream operations. It owns and/or operates 33 hydroelectric generating stations, 29 fossil fuel generating stations, 3 nuclear generating stations, 15 combined cycle/cogeneration stations, 35 solar facilities, 8 wind facilities, 1 biomass facility, and 1 landfill gas facility; and constructs, operates, and maintains 82,000 miles of natural gas pipelines and 14 storage facilities with total capacity of 158 Bcf to provide natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company has 46,000 megawatts of generating capacity and 1,500 billion cubic feet of combined natural gas consumption and throughput volume serving 9 million electric and gas utility customers. It also provides products and services in the areas of distributed generation infrastructure, energy efficiency, and utility infrastructure. In addition, the company offers digital wireless communications services with various communication options, including push to talk, cellular service, text messaging, wireless Internet access, and wireless data. The Southern Company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Southern Company reported revenue of $29.6B in FY2025 versus $23.1B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3B in FY2025, compounding +16.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 37/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.6B
Latest YoY
+10.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+18.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+6.6%
Dividend yield11.8%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 6.6% vs 10Y 5.0%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24.0% (2020) → 24.7% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop58% (2021) · in USD
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 $23.1B
FY22 $29.3B
FY23 $25.3B
FY24 $26.7B
FY25 $29.6B
Net income +16.1%/yr
FY21 $2.4B
FY22 $3.5B
FY23 $4.0B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $4.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Southern Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOJC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Materials · 3597 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electric Utilities” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.60× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 16
PAST0 · sector 16
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electric Utilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SOJE SOJE $16.15 $16.27 +1%
Georgia Power Company GPJA $20.21 $21.48 +6%
Entergy Mississippi, Inc EMP $19.75 $22.54 +14%
Entergy New Orleans, LLC ENJ $19.38 $22.23 +15%
Gujarat Industries Power Company 517300 ₹175.70 ₹191.57 +9%
VEERENRGY VEERENRGY ₹14.68 ₹2.22 −85%
Veer Energy & Infrastructure Limited 503657 ₹14.30 ₹3.02 −79%
500820 500820 ₹2,757 ₹557.43 −80%
500228 500228 ₹1,292 ₹1,079 −16%
AKTR AKTR €10.18 €1.50 −85%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Southern Company (SOJC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $53.59 versus a price of $19.50, about +175% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOJC?
Our model-based fair value for The Southern Company is $53.59 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.50.
What is the quality score of SOJC?
The Southern Company has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Southern Company (SOJC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $53.59 (as of Aug 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $29.98, optimistic scenario $70.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Southern Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $53.59, about +175% upside versus a price of $19.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $29.98, optimistic scenario $70.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of SOJC?
The net profit margin of The Southern Company is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Southern Company pay a dividend?
The Southern Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.79% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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