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Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC (SPMC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $204M

SP Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC logo Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC SPMC · US
Price$10.69
Fair Value$6.45
Upside-39.7%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -174.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Low Range $4.82 – $9.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.82 to $9.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$16.68 $7.86 Fair Value $6.45 Jun 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range $7.86 – $16.68 · fair‑value band $4.82 – $9.63 · the $10.69 price screens above the $6.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC (SPMC) currently trades at $10.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.45, implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $72.5M. Revenue declined 33.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -43.5%. Net debt stands at $54.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.82 (bear case) to $9.63 (bull case); at $10.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -40%, SPMC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $6.14 $8.19 $10.23 55
NCAV (Graham) $4.82 $6.45 $9.63 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $6.14 $8.19 $10.23 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.82 $6.45 $9.63 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($8.19) versus Asset-Based ($6.45). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $72.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -33.3%
Net margin -174%
Return on equity -43.5%
Free cash flow $6.7M FY2025
Operating margin 79.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-6.15
Net debt $54.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC operates as a closed-end management investment company in the United States. It focuses on investing primarily in equity and mezzanine tranches of collateralized loan obligations, which are collateralized by portfolios consisting primarily of below-investment grade U.S. senior secured loans.

Full company description

Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC operates as a closed-end management investment company in the United States. It focuses on investing primarily in equity and mezzanine tranches of collateralized loan obligations, which are collateralized by portfolios consisting primarily of below-investment grade U.S. senior secured loans. The company was founded in 2022 and is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC reported revenue of −$108M in FY2025 versus $64.5M in FY2023. Reported net income was −$126M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$70.1M
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Revenue
FY23 $64.5M
FY24 $70.1M
FY25 −$108M
Net income
FY23 $63.6M
FY24 $17.6M
FY25 −$126M

SPMC screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPMC

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40% · Below median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -174% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 80% · Above median
Revenue growth -33% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.81× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 30.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC (SPMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.45 versus a price of $10.69, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPMC?
Our model-based fair value for Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC is $6.45 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.69.
What is the quality score of SPMC?
Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC (SPMC)?
Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $72.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPMC?
The net profit margin of Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC is about -174.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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