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Squirrel Media, S.A (SQRL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · ES · Market cap €213M

SM Squirrel Media, S.A SQRL · MC
Price€2.14
Fair Value€1.26
Upside-41.1%
Quality40/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.9500 – €1.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €1.71 to €1.26 (−26.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€4.02 €1.21 Fair Value €1.26 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.21 – €4.02 · fair‑value band €0.9500 – €1.58 · the €2.14 price screens above the €1.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Squirrel Media, S.A (SQRL) currently trades at €2.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.26, implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Squirrel Media, S.A generated revenue of €245M at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 69.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at €31.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.9500 (bear case) to €1.58 (bull case); at €2.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -41%, SQRL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.6700 €1.16 €1.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.29 €2.54 €5.14 74
ROIC Compounder €0.7200 €0.9300 €1.13 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.7200 €1.07 €2.08 38
Owner Earnings €1.05 €2.19 €4.20 31
5Y Revenue Exit €1.15 €2.21 €4.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.88 €3.67 €7.20 41
5Y P/E Exit €0.7800 €1.84 €3.29 38
10Y Revenue Exit €0.9400 €2.41 €3.41 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.44 €3.74 €7.87 37
10Y P/E Exit €0.7500 €1.73 €3.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.4300 €3.00 €4.21 54
Lynch FV €1.53 €2.19 €2.84 50
PEG = 1.0 €1.53 €2.19 €2.84 46
EPV €0.7200 €0.8200 €0.9100 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €0.9500 €1.26 €1.58 63
P/S Multiple €0.8100 €1.07 €1.34 58
P/B Multiple €0.8100 €1.07 €1.34 55
EV/EBIT €1.97 €2.67 €3.38 53
EV/EBITDA €2.51 €3.39 €4.27 54
EV/Revenue €1.28 €1.89 €2.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.3700 €0.5000 €0.7400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.6700 €1.16 €1.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.29 €2.54 €5.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.5600 €0.5900 €0.6000 61
ROIC Compounder €0.7200 €0.9300 €1.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.98 €2.82 €3.67 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€2.82) versus Asset-Based (€0.5000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €245M
Revenue growth (YoY) +69.3%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow €7.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 111.0
More key figures
Operating margin 2.0%
EPS (TTM) €0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net debt €31.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Squirrel Media, S.A. produces and distributes audiovisual contents in Spain and internationally. It primarily offers advertising, content, media communication, and technology services. The company was formerly known as Vértice Trescientos Sesenta Grados, S.A. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Madrid, Spain. Squirrel Media, S.A.

Full company description

Squirrel Media, S.A. produces and distributes audiovisual contents in Spain and internationally. It primarily offers advertising, content, media communication, and technology services. The company was formerly known as Vértice Trescientos Sesenta Grados, S.A. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Madrid, Spain. Squirrel Media, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of SQUIRREL Capital SL.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Squirrel Media, S.A reported revenue of €244M in FY2025 versus €69.7M in FY2021, a compound +36.7%/yr. Reported net income was €6.1M in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€244M
Latest YoY
+68.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+49.5%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue +36.7%/yr
FY21 €69.7M
FY22 €78.3M
FY23 €130M
FY24 €144M
FY25 €244M
Net income +2.2%/yr
FY21 €5.6M
FY22 €3.5M
FY23 €10.3M
FY24 €2.9M
FY25 €6.1M

SQRL screens 41% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Squirrel Media, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SQRL

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −41% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 69% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 111.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.01× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 35.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 30 · sector 36
HEALTH 82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Squirrel Media, S.A (SQRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.26 versus a price of €2.14, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SQRL?
Our model-based fair value for Squirrel Media, S.A is €1.26 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.14.
What is the quality score of SQRL?
Squirrel Media, S.A has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Squirrel Media, S.A (SQRL)?
Squirrel Media, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €245M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SQRL?
The net profit margin of Squirrel Media, S.A is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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