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Squirrel Media SA (SQRL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Squirrel Media SA €1.77, price €2.09, upside -15.3%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · ES · ISIN ES0183304080

SM Some data Sep 23, 2026

Squirrel Media SA

SQRL · MC

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value €1.77 · Overvalued (−15%)
!Quality 40/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +49.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/14)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 13 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€4.00 €1.21 Fair Value €1.77 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.21 – €4.00 · fair‑value band €0.9200 – €2.50 · the €2.09 price screens above the €1.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Squirrel Media, S.A. produces and distributes audiovisual contents in Spain and internationally. It primarily offers advertising, content, media communication, and technology services. The company was formerly known as Vértice Trescientos Sesenta Grados, S.A. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Madrid, Spain. Squirrel Media, S.A.

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Squirrel Media, S.A. produces and distributes audiovisual contents in Spain and internationally. It primarily offers advertising, content, media communication, and technology services. The company was formerly known as Vértice Trescientos Sesenta Grados, S.A. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Madrid, Spain. Squirrel Media, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of SQUIRREL Capital SL.

Stock analysis

Squirrel Media SA (SQRL) currently trades at €2.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.77, implying the stock looks roughly 18.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €3.17 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the €2.09 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.5000, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €0.9200 (bear) to €2.50 (bull), the price of €2.09 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Squirrel Media SA reported revenue of €244M in FY2025 versus €69.7M in FY2021, a compound +36.7%/yr. Reported net income was €6.1M in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €200M · P/E ratio 104.5 · P/S ratio 2.60 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% · Operating margin 2.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 66% fair-value upside, at −15%, SQRL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.9200 Fair Value €1.77 Bull €2.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0146 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €1.04 €1.52 €2.91 77
Growth DCF €0.9700 €1.65 €2.72 76
EPV €0.7200 €0.8200 €0.9100 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €1.04 €1.52 €2.91 77
Owner Earnings €1.35 €2.79 €5.30 72
5Y Revenue Exit €1.26 €2.34 €4.60 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.65 €5.13 €10.02 71
5Y P/E Exit €1.14 €2.63 €4.64 67
10Y Revenue Exit €1.13 €2.69 €3.70 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €2.04 €5.23 €10.95 63
10Y P/E Exit €1.10 €2.45 €4.64 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.4300 €3.00 €4.21 63
Lynch FV €1.53 €2.19 €2.84 61
PEG = 1.0 €1.53 €2.19 €2.84 57
EPV €0.7200 €0.8200 €0.9100 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.33 €1.77 €2.21 63
P/S Multiple €0.8100 €1.07 €1.34 58
P/B Multiple €0.8100 €1.07 €1.34 55
EV/EBIT €2.67 €3.61 €4.55 66
EV/EBITDA €3.52 €4.75 €5.97 67
EV/Revenue €1.28 €1.89 €2.50 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.3700 €0.5000 €0.7400 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.9700 €1.65 €2.72 76
Rev-Margin DCF €1.41 €2.69 €5.37 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.5600 €0.5900 €0.6000 71
ROIC Compounder €0.7200 €0.9300 €1.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.22 €3.17 €4.11 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+68.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +55.7% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +53.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+53.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 53% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.6% a year for the price.

SQRL screens 18% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 490 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 69% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 104.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.19× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 32.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 16.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.46× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)13 · sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)30 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $231.38 $188.22 −19%
Accenture plc ACN $183.72 $305.06 +66%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,090 ₹2,993 +43%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,021 ₹1,690 +66%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,257 ₹1,926 +53%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $34.96 $32.47 −7%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $58.68 $132.01 +125%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹164.90 ₹287.90 +75%
Capgemini SE CAP €106.30 €223.90 +111%
CDW Corporation CDW $147.43 $162.00 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Squirrel Media SA (SQRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.77 versus a price of €2.09, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SQRL?
Our model-based fair value for Squirrel Media SA is €1.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.09.
What is the quality score of SQRL?
Squirrel Media SA has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.9200, optimistic scenario €2.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Squirrel Media SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.77, about −15% upside versus a price of €2.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.9200, optimistic scenario €2.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
Squirrel Media SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €245M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Squirrel Media SA would have to grow free cash flow by +27.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +49.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SQRL use?
Our models discount Squirrel Media SA at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for Spain. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Squirrel Media SA that is +27.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Squirrel Media SA (SQRL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Squirrel Media SA grew +49.5 % a year. The price currently implies +27.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Squirrel Media SA (+27.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.49 %: that much free cash flow Squirrel Media SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Squirrel Media SA it is €1.77 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €2.09. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Squirrel Media SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SQRL trades above its calculated fair value: price €2.09, fair value €1.77, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SQRL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.77). For Squirrel Media SA the two are €0.3200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Squirrel Media SA worth?
The market values Squirrel Media SA at about €200M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €2.09; our models calculate a fair value of €1.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SQRL?
Our models span a range for Squirrel Media SA: cautious scenario €0.9200, base €1.77, optimistic €2.50 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €2.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SQRL?
Squirrel Media SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 104.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.77 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 3.2, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 16.6.
What is the PEG ratio of SQRL?
The PEG ratio of Squirrel Media SA is 0.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Squirrel Media SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SQRL from its 52-week high?
Squirrel Media SA trades at €2.09, about 27% below its 52-week high of €2.86 and 3% above the low of €2.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Squirrel Media SA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Squirrel Media SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €2.09, calculated fair value €1.77 (−15%), Quality Score 40/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SQRL calculated?
We run Squirrel Media SA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Squirrel Media SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €2.09. Our model-based fair value is €1.77, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Squirrel Media SA right now?
Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (€0.9200 to €2.50). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Squirrel Media SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
The market capitalisation of Squirrel Media SA is €200M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Squirrel Media SA is 2.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
Earnings per share at Squirrel Media SA are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 104.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
The net margin of Squirrel Media SA is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Squirrel Media SA is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Squirrel Media SA is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
The operating margin of Squirrel Media SA is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
Revenue at Squirrel Media SA is growing +69.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +46.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Squirrel Media SA (SQRL)?
Earnings per share at Squirrel Media SA are growing −1.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Squirrel Media SA (SQRL) carry?
The net debt of Squirrel Media SA is €31.2M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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