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Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Swiss Re Ltd $32.31, price $42.77, upside -24.5%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · Home Switzerland · ISIN US8708861088

SR Swiss Re Ltd logo Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Swiss Re Ltd

SSREY · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $32.31 · Overvalued (−24.5%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·5.2% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
✓Wide moat 67/100
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$46.04 $14.02 Fair Value $32.31 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.02 – $46.04 · fair‑value band $26.67 – $47.61 · the $42.77 price screens above the $32.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments.

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Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments. The Property & Casualty Reinsurance segment underwrites property reinsurance, including property, credit, surety and political, engineering and project, aviation, marine, agriculture, renewable energy, retakaful, and facultative reinsurance solutions; and casualty reinsurance, such as liability, motor, worker's compensation, personal accident, management and professional liability, cyber, and facultative reinsurance solutions. Its Life & Health Reinsurance segment underwrites life and health insurance products. The Corporate Solutions segment offers standard risk transfer covers and multi-line programs to customized solutions. It serves stock and mutual insurance companies, public sector and governmental entities, mid-sized and large corporations, and individuals. The company was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY) currently trades at $42.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.31, 24.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $30.50 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $42.77 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $14.26, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $26.67 (bear) to $47.61 (bull), the price of $42.77 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Swiss Re Ltd reported revenue of $48.2B in FY2025 versus $45.9B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $4.8B in FY2025, compounding +34.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $51.1B · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) $3.89 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 18% fair-value upside, at −24%, SSREY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $26.67 Fair Value $32.31 Bull $47.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.94 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $25.12 $30.50 $43.32 75
Gordon GGM $16.95 $24.68 $32.73 69
DDM Multi-Stage $16.95 $23.97 $32.06 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.95 $24.68 $32.73 69
DDM Multi-Stage $16.95 $23.97 $32.06 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $39.38 $52.50 $65.63 63
P/B Multiple $22.35 $29.80 $37.26 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.64 $14.26 $21.29 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $25.12 $30.50 $43.32 75

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+43.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+38.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.33.7% vs 2.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 13%
2025 sits 58% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.7% a year for the price and −3.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−11.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.0%

SSREY screens overvalued: fair value 24% below the price. Compare with MUV2 →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Very negative
Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.

Compare Swiss Re Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Reinsurance · 25 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −21.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 19.5% · Above median
Return on assets 3.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.34× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Reinsurance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.00× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.79× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 56
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)78 · sector 50
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 92

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Reinsurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
MUV2 MUV2 €498.80 €399.41 −20%
Swiss Re AG SREN CHF 141.45 CHF 111.50 −21%
Hannover Rück SE HNR1 €255.00 €207.39 −19%
Reinsurance Group RGA $252.94 $198.66 −21%
Everest Group EG $369.80 $424.02 +15%
RenaissanceRe Holdings RNR $324.90 $578.58 +78%
SCOR SE SCR €31.38 €37.15 +18%
China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation 1508 HK$1.21 HK$2.41 +100%
General Insurance Corporation GICRE ₹337.50 ₹406.44 +20%
Hamilton Insurance Group HG $33.23 $52.40 +58%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swiss Re Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SSREY

Frequently asked questions

Is Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.31 versus a price of $42.77, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SSREY?
Our model-based fair value for Swiss Re Ltd is $32.31 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $42.77.
What is the quality score of SSREY?
Swiss Re Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $32.31 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $26.67, optimistic scenario $47.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Swiss Re Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $32.31, about −24% upside versus a price of $42.77 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $26.67, optimistic scenario $47.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
Swiss Re Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $42.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Swiss Re Ltd pay a dividend?
Swiss Re Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Swiss Re Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.9 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SSREY use?
Our models discount Swiss Re Ltd at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Swiss Re Ltd that is +4.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Swiss Re Ltd grew +1.9 % a year. The price currently implies +4.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Swiss Re Ltd (+4.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.94 %: that much free cash flow Swiss Re Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Swiss Re Ltd it is $32.31 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $42.77. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Swiss Re Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, SSREY trades above its calculated fair value: price $42.77, fair value $32.31, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SSREY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($42.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($32.31). For Swiss Re Ltd the two are $10.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Swiss Re Ltd worth?
The market values Swiss Re Ltd at about $51.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $42.77; our models calculate a fair value of $32.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SSREY?
Our models span a range for Swiss Re Ltd: cautious scenario $26.67, base $32.31, optimistic $47.61 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $42.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SSREY?
Swiss Re Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $32.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 2.0, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 8.2.
What is the PEG ratio of SSREY?
The PEG ratio of Swiss Re Ltd is 0.79 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Swiss Re Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 19.5%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SSREY from its 52-week high?
Swiss Re Ltd trades at $42.77, about 7% below its 52-week high of $46.04 and 19% above the low of $36.02 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $32.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Swiss Re Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value MUV2, Swiss Re AG, Hannover Rück SE, Reinsurance Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Swiss Re Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $42.77, calculated fair value $32.31 (−24%), Quality Score 60/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SSREY calculated?
We run Swiss Re Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $32.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Swiss Re Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $42.77. Our model-based fair value is $32.31, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Swiss Re Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY) come from?
Earnings per share at Swiss Re Ltd grew −1.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.4 %, EBIT margin −1.7 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Swiss Re Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The market capitalisation of Swiss Re Ltd is $51.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Swiss Re Ltd is 1.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
Earnings per share at Swiss Re Ltd are $3.89 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The dividend yield of Swiss Re Ltd is 5.2% (payout 57.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The net margin of Swiss Re Ltd is 9.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Swiss Re Ltd is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Swiss Re Ltd is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
The operating margin of Swiss Re Ltd is 20.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
Revenue at Swiss Re Ltd is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY)?
Earnings per share at Swiss Re Ltd are growing +18.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY) carry?
The net debt of Swiss Re Ltd is $6.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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