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Tecan Group Ltd (TCGGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $2.3B

TG Tecan Group Ltd logo Tecan Group Ltd TCGGY · US
Price$36.00
Fair Value$7.32
Upside-79.7%
Quality57/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 392% ABOVE our fair value of $7.32
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.5% net margin
!Trails peers (2/14)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
Loss-making · -12.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.08% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range $5.32 – $9.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $7.36 to $7.32 (−0.5%) since Jul 18, 2026.

A solid business, but trading 392% above our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$113.98 $34.53 Fair Value $7.32 Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $34.53 – $113.98 · fair‑value band $5.32 – $9.31 · the $36.00 price screens above the $7.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tecan Group Ltd (TCGGY) currently trades at $36.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.32, implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tecan Group Ltd generated revenue of $882M at a net margin of -12.5%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.6%. Net debt stands at $42.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.32 (bear case) to $9.31 (bull case); at $36.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -80%, TCGGY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $17.96 $25.59 $35.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.80 $11.56 $14.80 74
ROIC Compounder $2.53 $2.86 $3.15 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $17.67 $26.26 $38.63 38
5Y Revenue Exit $8.80 $11.27 $14.13 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.65 $22.08 $30.54 41
10Y Revenue Exit $11.90 $14.86 $18.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.62 $22.15 $30.45 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.53 $2.86 $3.15 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.28 $10.52 $15.93 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.28 $8.36 $11.10 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $5.27 $6.89 $8.51 53
EV/EBITDA $14.53 $19.24 $23.95 54
EV/Revenue $3.88 $5.36 $6.85 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.10 $12.19 $18.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $17.96 $25.59 $35.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.80 $11.56 $14.80 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.53 $2.86 $3.15 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($22.08) versus Earnings-Based ($2.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 27.3
P/S ratio 2.58 TTM
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 56.7%
Net margin -12.5% TTM
Return on equity -8.6% TTM
Return on assets 1.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 4.9% TTM
EPS (TTM) $1.32
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $882M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.2% 3y avg -8.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $103M FY2025
Net debt $42.0M FY2025 · ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Tecan Group AG provides laboratory instruments and solutions in biopharmaceuticals, forensics, and clinical diagnostics in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Life Sciences Business and Partnering Business.

Full company description

Tecan Group AG provides laboratory instruments and solutions in biopharmaceuticals, forensics, and clinical diagnostics in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Life Sciences Business and Partnering Business. The company offers liquid handling and automation, microplate readers and washers, software, consumables, sequencing reagents, immunoassays and antibodies, and Tecan Labwerx, an end-to-end automation solution. It also provides PARAMIT, a contract design and manufacturing service. Tecan Group AG has a strategic collaboration with NVIDIA Corporation to develop AI-enabled platform for data-driven laboratories to help discoveries and lab productivity. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Männedorf, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tecan Group Ltd reported revenue of $882M in FY2025 versus $947M in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$106M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$882M
Latest YoY
−5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −1.7%/yr
FY21 $947M
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $934M
FY25 $882M
Net income
FY21 $122M
FY22 $121M
FY23 $132M
FY24 $67.7M
FY25 −$106M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.6 pp

of which total revenue +9.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp

EBIT margin −3.6 pp
Tax rate +1.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TCGGY screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tecan Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TCGGY

Peer Group

Medical Instruments & Supplies · 206 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.58× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 22.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 26
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND42 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG $378.81 $150.04 -60%
EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme EL €164.40 €94.93 -42%
Medline Inc MDLN $35.50 $30.15 -15%
Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX $182.09 $100.46 -45%
Alcon Inc ALC $73.58 $39.78 -46%
ResMed Inc RMD A$31.25 A$26.33 -16%
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST $352.29 $141.58 -60%
Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM €180.30 €48.88 -73%
Straumann Holding STMN CHF 102.05 CHF 47.31 -54%
Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft SRT3 €236.00 €63.30 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tecan Group Ltd (TCGGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.32 versus a price of $36.00, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TCGGY?
Our model-based fair value for Tecan Group Ltd is $7.32 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $36.00.
What is the quality score of TCGGY?
Tecan Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tecan Group Ltd (TCGGY)?
Tecan Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $882M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TCGGY?
The net profit margin of Tecan Group Ltd is about -12.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tecan Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Tecan Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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