Medline Inc (MDLN) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $70.3B
Medline Inc
MDLN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −19.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($20.79 to $37.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $20.79 (bear) to $37.69 (bull), base $30.15. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (8 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range $33.19 – $49.99 · fair‑value band $20.79 – $37.69 · the $34.51 price screens above the $30.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Medline Inc (MDLN) currently trades at $34.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.15, implying the stock looks roughly 12.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Medline Inc generated revenue of $29.1B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at $10.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $20.79 (bear case) to $37.69 (bull case); at $34.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -13%, MDLN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($42.98) versus Asset-Based ($8.51). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Medline Inc. manufactures med-surg products serving the hospital, surgery centers, physician offices, post-acute facilities, and nursing home sites of care in the United States and Internationally. It operates through two segments: Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions.
Full company description
Medline Inc. manufactures med-surg products serving the hospital, surgery centers, physician offices, post-acute facilities, and nursing home sites of care in the United States and Internationally. It operates through two segments: Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions. The Medline Brand segment procures and manufactures products from three product categories include surgical solutions, front line care, and laboratory and diagnostics. Its front line care offers med-surg products for patient-facing needs, including wound care products, exam gloves, skin care and incontinence products, environment cleaning supplies, textiles, hand sanitizer, durable medical equipment, patient plastics, and decolonization and infection control products. Its surgical solutions provide operating room and perioperative environment product solutions, including surgical procedure trays, drapes and gowns, personal protective equipment, sterile wraps, surgical instruments, surgeon's gloves, procedure kits, and orthopedic implants. Its laboratory and diagnostics offer laboratory and diagnostic product solutions, including point of care testing, analyzers and instrumentation, lab and diagnostic consumables, diagnostic instruments, vital signs monitors, and anatomic pathology and phlebotomy products. It provides its products to domestic and international consumers. The Supply Chain Solutions segment procures and distributes a variety of third-party products from national brands. It provides logistics and supply chain optimization services to domestic and international consumers. It also provides supply chain optimization services, such as consulting engagements, outsourced warehouse and technology management, put-away-ready packaging, third-party logistics, inventory rationalization, and route planning. The company was founded in 1966 and is based in Northfield, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Medline Inc reported revenue of $28.4B in FY2025 versus $21.4B in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025.
MDLN screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Medline (MDLN) One of the Best Up and Coming Stocks to Invest In Right Now?
- INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Medline Industries, Inc. - MDLN
- Medline Inc. (MDLN) Shares Up Since Jim Cramer Said It Could Be A Buy
- Jim Cramer Calls Medline the “Best IPO of the Year”
Peer Group
Medical Instruments & Supplies · 204 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG | $402.33 | $150.04 | -63% |
| EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme 1EL | €175.00 | €70.52 | -60% |
| Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX | $150.65 | $103.53 | -31% |
| Alcon Inc ALC | $70.26 | $39.78 | -43% |
| ResMed Inc RMD | $203.87 | $187.89 | -8% |
| West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST | $353.71 | $143.97 | -59% |
| Straumann Holding STMN | CHF 106.00 | CHF 47.31 | -55% |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM | €188.50 | €51.16 | -73% |
| Coloplast A/S COLOB | kr 414.00 | kr 382.22 | -8% |
| Solventum Corporation SOLV | $81.31 | $117.08 | +44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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