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TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA (TGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · NO · Market cap 25.7B NOK

TN TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA TGS · OL
Pricekr 137.30
Fair Valuekr 48.33
Upside-64.8%
Quality40/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss over the last twelve months · -0.2% net margin · fiscal year 2025 1.2%
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.47% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range kr 18.77 – kr 66.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from kr 3.06 to kr 48.33 (+1,479.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 66.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 18.77 to kr 66.56). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 168.55 kr 60.85 Fair Value kr 48.33 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 60.85 – kr 168.55 · fair‑value band kr 18.77 – kr 66.56 · the kr 137.30 price screens above the kr 48.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA (TGS) currently trades at kr 137.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 48.33, implying the stock looks roughly 64.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA generated revenue of 1.3B NOK at a net margin of -0.2%. Revenue declined 42.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.1%. Net debt stands at 438M NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 18.77 (bear case) to kr 66.56 (bull case); at kr 137.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -65%, TGS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 216.45 kr 398.71 kr 711.26 80
Residual Income kr 64.72 kr 60.97 kr 44.21 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 98.06 kr 159.13 kr 239.40 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 218.88 kr 419.60 kr 774.48 38
Owner Earnings kr 145.27 kr 283.79 kr 528.71 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 98.06 kr 157.82 kr 234.24 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 178.24 kr 325.09 kr 509.14 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 62.47 kr 83.45 kr 103.59 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 134.40 kr 205.40 kr 306.46 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 189.94 kr 328.75 kr 539.20 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 112.77 kr 150.51 kr 195.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 5.90 kr 28.66 kr 39.43 54
Lynch FV kr 7.68 kr 10.96 kr 14.24 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 7.68 kr 10.96 kr 14.24 46
EPV kr 39.90 kr 49.64 kr 58.16 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 53.29 kr 110.71 kr 175.71 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 53.29 kr 93.38 kr 116.23 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 9.18 kr 12.18 kr 15.27 63
P/S Multiple kr 11.15 kr 14.80 kr 18.54 58
P/B Multiple kr 11.15 kr 14.80 kr 18.54 55
EV/EBIT kr 46.46 kr 68.18 kr 89.91 53
EV/EBITDA kr 173.46 kr 237.52 kr 301.59 54
EV/Revenue kr 42.33 kr 68.56 kr 94.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 47.20 kr 63.22 kr 94.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 216.45 kr 398.71 kr 711.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 98.06 kr 159.13 kr 239.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 64.72 kr 60.97 kr 44.21 76
ROIC Compounder kr 39.90 kr 49.64 kr 58.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 9.83 kr 13.96 kr 18.17 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 205.40) versus Earnings-Based (kr 10.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -42.2%
Net margin -0.2%
Return on equity -0.1%
Free cash flow 381M NOK FY2025
Operating margin 22.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.1000
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -84.8%
Net debt 438M NOK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 5
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TGS ASA provides geoscience data services to the oil and gas industry in Norway and internationally. It operates through Multi client, Marine Data Acquisition (MDA), Imaging, New Energy Solutions (NES), and Shared Services segments.

Full company description

TGS ASA provides geoscience data services to the oil and gas industry in Norway and internationally. It operates through Multi client, Marine Data Acquisition (MDA), Imaging, New Energy Solutions (NES), and Shared Services segments. The company offers seismic data using robust technology and imaging solutions; well data recorded expertly matched and validated, from permit to abandonment; carbon storage and monitoring solutions; wind energy data partner throughout the wind development lifecycle; solar operations; and asset management services. It also offers applications for oil and gas, new energies, data platforms, and ai/machine learning. TGS ASA has a agreement with Ministry of Hydrocarbon and Mining Development of the Republic of Equatorial Guinea to create an offshore MegaSurvey. The company was formerly known as TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA and changed its name to TGS ASA in June 2021. TGS ASA was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA reported revenue of kr 1.5B in FY2025 versus kr 519M in FY2021, a compound +31.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 18.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B NOK
Latest YoY
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue +31.0%/yr
FY21 kr 519M
FY22 kr 717M
FY23 kr 794M
FY24 kr 1.3B
FY25 kr 1.5B
Net income
FY21 −kr 76.0M
FY22 kr 87.8M
FY23 kr 21.6M
FY24 kr 94.2M
FY25 kr 18.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −15.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.8 pp

of which total revenue +0.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.3 pp

EBIT margin −10.3 pp
Tax rate −1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TGS screens 65% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGS.OL

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 193 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -42% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.92× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH85 · sector 93
DIVIDEND9 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 488.45 MXN -42%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $64.28 $32.40 -50%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $75.27 $27.43 -64%
Halliburton Company HAL $33.29 $21.50 -35%
Tenaris S.A TS $53.15 $45.68 -14%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥144.58 ¥34.17 -76%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.56 €2.72 -40%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 341.20 kr 221.37 -35%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.02 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €204.60 €95.01 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA (TGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 48.33 versus a price of kr 137.30, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TGS?
Our model-based fair value for TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA is kr 48.33 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 137.30.
What is the quality score of TGS?
TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA (TGS)?
TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B NOK (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TGS?
The net profit margin of TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA is about -0.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA pay a dividend?
TGS NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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