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Tieto Oyj (TIETO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · FI · Market cap €2.0B

TO Tieto Oyj TIETO · HE
Price€18.73
Fair Value€6.71
Upside-64.2%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.95% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range €6.71 – €6.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €17.59 to €6.71 (−61.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€6.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€24.15 €13.43 Fair Value €6.71 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €13.43 – €24.15 · the €18.73 price screens above the €6.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Tieto Oyj (TIETO) currently trades at €18.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.71, implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €1.8B. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at €603M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -64%, TIETO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €15.33 €21.39 €32.07 80
Residual Income €6.74 €6.52 €5.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF €12.31 €19.57 €28.77 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €14.62 €20.86 €32.87 38
Owner Earnings €17.23 €24.33 €38.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit €12.31 €19.12 €29.33 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €25.83 €42.16 €64.35 41
5Y P/E Exit €5.00 €6.68 €8.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit €12.67 €18.41 €24.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €21.18 €33.02 €46.37 37
10Y P/E Exit €8.71 €10.52 €12.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.53 €2.34 €2.80 54
EPV €10.43 €12.73 €14.72 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €13.74 €15.92 €18.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage €13.74 €17.76 €22.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.38 €4.51 €5.63 63
P/S Multiple €2.87 €3.83 €4.79 58
P/B Multiple €2.87 €3.83 €4.79 55
EV/EBIT €19.90 €27.92 €35.93 53
EV/EBITDA €39.11 €53.52 €67.94 54
EV/Revenue €12.07 €19.01 €25.96 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.77 €6.39 €9.54 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €15.33 €21.39 €32.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF €12.31 €19.57 €28.77 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.74 €6.52 €5.25 76
ROIC Compounder €10.47 €13.10 €15.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.39 €3.42 €4.44 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€19.57) versus Earnings-Based (€2.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.8%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow €225M FY2025
P/E ratio 32.3
Operating margin 17.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €0.6400
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.7%
Net debt €603M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tieto Oyj operates as a software and digital engineering company in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tieto Tech Consulting, Tieto Banktech, Tieto Caretech, and Tieto Indtech Services.

Full company description

Tieto Oyj operates as a software and digital engineering company in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tieto Tech Consulting, Tieto Banktech, Tieto Caretech, and Tieto Indtech Services. The Tieto Tech Consulting segment provides business advisory and design, data engineering, and other software research and development services. The Tieto Banktech segment offers Banking-as-a-Service platform and software products for payments, cards, wealth management, financial crime prevention, and credit domains. The Tieto Caretech segment provides modular, open, and interoperable software for customers in the health and social care sectors. The Tieto Indtech segment offers software and services to various industries, such as case management, pulp, paper, and fiber; and supports processes, including billing and invoicing and industry messaging, as well as purchase-to-pay process automation. It serves automotive, banking and financial services, education, energy and utilities, healthcare and welfare, manufacturing, public sector, pulp, paper, fibre, packaging and tissue, and telecom sectors. The company was formerly known as TietoEVRY Oyj and changed its name to Tieto Oyj in March 2026. Tieto Oyj was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tieto Oyj reported revenue of €1.9B in FY2025 versus €2.8B in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was €25.6M in FY2025, compounding −45.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.9B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+3.7%
Revenue −10.0%/yr
FY21 €2.8B
FY22 €2.9B
FY23 €2.9B
FY24 €2.8B
FY25 €1.9B
Net income −45.6%/yr
FY21 €292M
FY22 €189M
FY23 €172M
FY24 −€62.8M
FY25 €25.6M

TIETO screens 64% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tieto Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIETO

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.57× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.16× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.28× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.10× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 27 · sector 36
HEALTH 72 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 99 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tieto Oyj (TIETO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.71 versus a price of €18.73, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIETO?
Our model-based fair value for Tieto Oyj is €6.71 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €18.73.
What is the quality score of TIETO?
Tieto Oyj has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tieto Oyj (TIETO)?
Tieto Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TIETO?
The net profit margin of Tieto Oyj is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tieto Oyj pay a dividend?
Tieto Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.32% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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