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Valion Bio, Inc (TIVC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.0M

VB Valion Bio, Inc logo Valion Bio, Inc TIVC · US
Price$0.5500
Fair Value$1.54
Upside+180.0%
Quality11/100
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Evidence: Low Range $1.15 – $2.29 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $10.00 to $1.54 (−84.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −28.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.38 $0.5140 Fair Value $1.54 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $0.5140 – $4.38 · fair‑value band $1.15 – $2.29 · the $0.5500 price screens below the $1.54 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Valion Bio, Inc (TIVC) currently trades at $0.5500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.54, implying the stock looks roughly 180.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 11/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $482K. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -82.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.15 (bear case) to $2.29 (bull case); at $0.5500, the current price sits below that range. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 180%, TIVC screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $482K
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.9%
Return on equity -82.7%
Free cash flow −$7.6M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-6.92
Net cash $6.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Valion Bio, Inc. operates as a late-stage immunotherapeutics company. Its lead drug candidate is Entolimod, a TLR5 agonist that is in late-stage development to treat acute radiation syndrome. The company's pipeline also comprises Entolimod to treat Neutropenia and lymphocyte exhaustion; and Entolasta, an immunologically optimized variant of Entolimod for chronic applications. In addition, it offers CDMO services. The company was formerly known as Tivic Health Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Valion Bio, Inc. in April 2026. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Valion Bio, Inc reported revenue of $382K in FY2025 versus $1.2M in FY2021, a compound −24.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.9M in FY2025.

Revenue −24.3%/yr
FY21 $1.2M
FY22 $1.8M
FY23 $1.2M
FY24 $780K
FY25 $382K
Net income
FY21 −$8.5M
FY22 −$10.1M
FY23 −$8.2M
FY24 −$5.7M
FY25 −$8.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Valion Bio, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIVC

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Frequently asked questions

Is Valion Bio, Inc (TIVC) undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.54 versus a price of $0.5500, about +180% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TIVC?
Our model-based fair value for Valion Bio, Inc is $1.54 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.5500.
What is the quality score of TIVC?
Valion Bio, Inc has a Quality Score of 11/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Valion Bio, Inc (TIVC)?
Valion Bio, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $482K (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TIVC?
The net profit margin of Valion Bio, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.