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Thai Oil Public Company (TOP) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · TH · Market cap 101B THB

TO Thai Oil Public Company TOP · BK
Price44.50 THB
Fair Value91.40 THB
Upside+105.4%
Quality88/100
Evidence: Medium Range 68.55 THB – 114.25 THB

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

50.76 THB 23.33 THB Fair Value 91.40 THB Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range 23.33 THB – 50.76 THB · fair‑value band 68.55 THB – 114.25 THB · the 44.50 THB price screens below the 91.40 THB fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Thai Oil Public Company (TOP) currently trades at 44.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 91.40 THB — implying the stock looks roughly 105.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 88/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Oil Public Company generated revenue of 347B THB at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. Net debt stands at 71.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 347B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 15.5%
Free cash flow 38.1B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 3.3
More key figures
Operating margin 24.0%
EPS (TTM) 13.79 THB
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +456%
Net debt 71.1B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Thai Oil Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the oil refining and distributions, petrochemicals, lube base oil, and other businesses in Thailand, Indonesia, and internationally. It operates through Oil Refinery, Lube Base Oil Refinery, Aromatics and LAB, Power Generation, Solvent, Ethanol, Olefins, and Others segments. The company offers refined fuels, including gasoline, diesel/gas oil, jet fuel, kerosene, fuel oil, and liquefied petroleum gas; and lube base oil, bitumen/asphalt, by-products, and special products, such as treated distillate aromatics extract and slack wax. It also provides petrochemicals comprising paraxylene, benzene, toluene, and mixed xylenes; linear alkyl benzene, heavy alkyl benzene, and molex raffinates; and polyethylene and polypropylene resins, styrene monomer, butadiene, and olefins. In addition, the company operates natural gas-fired co-generation power plants that generate and distribute electricity, steam, industrial water…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Oil Public Company reported revenue of 394B THB in FY2025 versus 336B THB in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was 14.6B THB in FY2025, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 336B THB
FY22 506B THB
FY23 469B THB
FY24 456B THB
FY25 394B THB
Net income +3.8%/yr
FY21 12.6B THB
FY22 32.7B THB
FY23 19.4B THB
FY24 10.0B THB
FY25 14.6B THB

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Similar stocks

6 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,259 ₹835.66 -34%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $263.28 $114.61 -56%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $243.78 $127.32 -48%
Phillips 66 PSX $183.08 $50.63 -72%
Neste Oyj NESTE €28.45 €6.38 -78%
ENEOS Holdings JXHLY $15.31 $17.72 +16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Oil Public Company (TOP) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 91.40 THB versus a price of 44.50 THB — about +105% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TOP?
Our 21-model fair value for Thai Oil Public Company is 91.40 THB (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 44.50 THB.
What is the quality score of TOP?
Thai Oil Public Company has a Quality Score of 88/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Thai Oil Public Company (TOP)?
Thai Oil Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 347B THB (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TOP?
The net profit margin of Thai Oil Public Company is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thai Oil Public Company pay a dividend?
Thai Oil Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.91% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.