transcosmos inc (TRCLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of transcosmos inc $56.90, price $20.39, upside +179.1%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.43 – $25.77 · fair‑value band $44.11 – $73.80 · the $20.39 price screens below the $56.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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transcosmos inc. provides business outsourcing services in Japan and internationally.
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transcosmos inc. provides business outsourcing services in Japan and internationally. The company offers business processing outsourcing services, such as selling, SCM, finance, and documentation; accounting, procurement, and human resource; construction support housing and housing equipment design; machine designing, built-in development, and back-office for design and production; support desk, system operation and maintenance, IoT, and multi-device lifecycle; and offshore services. It also provides contact center, customer care, sales support, industry specific call center, contact center technologies, and analytics services. In addition, the company offers digital marketing services that make use of Internet promotions, digital integration, integrated marketing, channel-integrated communication, marketing tool support, and social media services. Further, it provides e-commerce services, including various functions required for e-commerce, such as e-commerce consulting services, website launch services, service network, online merges with offline, marketing and CRM services, fulfillment services, and one-stop services. Additionally, the company offers analytics services, including customer research, big data analytics, direct marketing consulting, customer support consulting, and market research and analytics; and other DEC integrated marketing services. transcosmos inc. was founded in 1966 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
transcosmos inc (TRCLF) currently trades at $20.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $56.90, implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $52.60 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the $20.39 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.93, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $44.11 (bear) to $73.80 (bull), the price of $20.39 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
transcosmos inc reported revenue of ¥396B in FY2026 versus ¥354B in FY2022, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥13.2B in FY2026, compounding −11.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $814M · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) $2.09 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 179%, TRCLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $44.11Fair Value $56.90Bull $73.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.4% vs 6.3%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−21.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −23.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 464 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+179.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.4% · Above median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "transcosmos inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRCLF
Frequently asked questions
Is transcosmos inc (TRCLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $56.90 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $20.39, about +179% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TRCLF?
Our model-based fair value for transcosmos inc is $56.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $20.39.
What is the quality score of TRCLF?
transcosmos inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $56.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $44.11, optimistic scenario $73.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the transcosmos inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $56.90, about +179% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $20.39 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $44.11, optimistic scenario $73.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
transcosmos inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥394B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does transcosmos inc pay a dividend?
transcosmos inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, transcosmos inc would have to grow free cash flow by -21.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TRCLF use?
Our models discount transcosmos inc at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For transcosmos inc that is -21.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has transcosmos inc (TRCLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at transcosmos inc grew +3.3 % a year. The price currently implies -21.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of transcosmos inc (TRCLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into transcosmos inc (-21.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.68 %: that much free cash flow transcosmos inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For transcosmos inc it is $56.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $20.39. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is transcosmos inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TRCLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $20.39, fair value $56.90, a gap of about +179% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRCLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($56.90). For transcosmos inc the two are $36.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is transcosmos inc worth?
The market values transcosmos inc at about $814M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $20.39; our models calculate a fair value of $56.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRCLF?
Our models span a range for transcosmos inc: cautious scenario $44.11, base $56.90, optimistic $73.80 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $20.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TRCLF?
transcosmos inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $56.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 2.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for transcosmos inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRCLF from its 52-week high?
transcosmos inc trades at $20.39, at its 52-week high of $20.39 and at the low of $20.39 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $56.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to transcosmos inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is transcosmos inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $20.39, calculated fair value $56.90 (+179%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRCLF calculated?
We run transcosmos inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $56.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. transcosmos inc currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $20.39. Our model-based fair value is $56.90, about +179% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with transcosmos inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($44.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of transcosmos inc (TRCLF) come from?
Earnings per share at transcosmos inc grew +5.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.5 %, EBIT margin −0.9 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of transcosmos inc
How large is the market capitalisation of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The market capitalisation of transcosmos inc is $814M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of transcosmos inc is 0.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
Earnings per share at transcosmos inc are $2.09 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The dividend yield of transcosmos inc is 2.0% (payout 19.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The net margin of transcosmos inc is 3.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of transcosmos inc is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of transcosmos inc is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
The operating margin of transcosmos inc is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
Revenue at transcosmos inc is growing +5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at transcosmos inc (TRCLF)?
Earnings per share at transcosmos inc are growing −29.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does transcosmos inc (TRCLF) hold?
transcosmos inc holds more cash than debt, ¥66.4B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026