Trinity Industries, Inc (TRN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.6B
Trinity Industries, Inc
TRN · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $41.34 to $51.32 (+24.1%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $22.71 – $36.84 · fair‑value band $35.92 – $69.69 · the $35.07 price screens below the $51.32 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Trinity Industries, Inc (TRN) currently trades at $35.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $51.32 — implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Trinity Industries, Inc generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue declined 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. Net debt stands at $5.2B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Trinity Industries, Inc. provides railcar products and services under the TrinityRail trade name in North America. The company operates in two segments, Railcar Leasing and Services Group, and Rail Products Group. The Railcar Leasing and Services Group segment leases freight and tank railcars; originates and manages railcar leases for third-party investors; and provides fleet leasing, management, and administrative services, as well as railcar maintenance and modification services, and other railcar logistics products and services. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 101,485 railcars. This segment serves industrial shipper and railroad companies operating in refined products and chemicals, energy, agriculture, construction and metals, and consumer products. The Rail Products Group segment manufactures freight and tank railcars for transporting various liquids, gases, and dry cargo; and manufactures and sells railcars and related parts and components. This segment serves railr…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trinity Industries, Inc reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was $253M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | 4,617 MXN | 133.28 MXN | -97% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $46.20 | $11.13 | -76% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $89.60 | $29.46 | -67% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $121.23 | $57.36 | -53% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $308.93 | $102.07 | -67% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $276.75 | $144.80 | -48% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.