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VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · IN

VO Thin data Sep 13, 2026

VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD

VOGL · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹4.84 · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 27/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +161.8 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -21.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2026 0.6%
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹44.59 ₹31.32 Fair Value ₹4.84 Jun 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

3‑month range ₹31.32 – ₹44.59 · fair‑value band ₹3.39 – ₹7.14 · the ₹36.71 price screens above the ₹4.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Vedanta Oil and Gas Limited engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. It holds interests in 44 blocks covering an area of approximately 47,000 square kilometers in India. The company was formerly known as MALCO Energy Limited and changed its name to Vedanta Oil and Gas Limited in June 2026.

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Vedanta Oil and Gas Limited engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. It holds interests in 44 blocks covering an area of approximately 47,000 square kilometers in India. The company was formerly known as MALCO Energy Limited and changed its name to Vedanta Oil and Gas Limited in June 2026. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Gurugram, India. Vedanta Oil and Gas Limited operates as a subsidiary of Vedanta Resources Limited.

Stock analysis

VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL) currently trades at ₹36.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4.84, implying the stock looks roughly 658.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹28.33 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ₹36.71 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹2.35, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹3.39 (bear) to ₹7.14 (bull), the price of ₹36.71 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD reported revenue of ₹95.8B in FY2026 versus ₹5.3B in FY2023, a compound +161.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹540M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹167B (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 262.2 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.1400 · Net margin 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.3% · Operating margin −15.2% · Free cash flow −₹1.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −87%, VOGL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹1.94 to ₹28.33). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹3.39 Fair Value ₹4.84 Bull ₹7.14
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0641 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹28.29 ₹25.82 ₹17.85 66
P/E Multiple ₹1.45 ₹1.94 ₹2.42 63
Growth-Adj P/E ₹3.97 ₹5.67 ₹7.38 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹1.36 ₹6.03 ₹15.84 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹0.9400 ₹6.56 ₹9.20 59
Lynch FV ₹3.39 ₹4.84 ₹6.29 57
PEG = 1.0 ₹3.39 ₹4.84 ₹6.29 53
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1.45 ₹1.94 ₹2.42 63
P/S Multiple ₹1.76 ₹2.35 ₹2.94 58
P/B Multiple ₹1.76 ₹2.35 ₹2.94 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹21.14 ₹28.33 ₹42.28 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹28.29 ₹25.82 ₹17.85 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹3.97 ₹5.67 ₹7.38 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+161.8%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−44.5% (2023) → −1.8% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

VOGL screens 659% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −10% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −15% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 262.2× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP A$60.87 A$41.95 −31%
Vale S.A VALE $15.23 $8.95 −41%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 66.00 SAR 72.60 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.15 ¥18.88 +4%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$16.67 A$34.40 +106%
Teck Resources Limited TECK $66.44 $32.09 −52%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥58.52 ¥31.26 −47%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹576.05 ₹633.66 +10%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥37.48 ¥6.50 −83%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥37.59 ¥41.35 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VOGL

Frequently asked questions

Is VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹4.84 versus a price of ₹36.71, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VOGL?
Our model-based fair value for VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is ₹4.84 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹36.71.
What is the quality score of VOGL?
VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹4.84 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹3.39, optimistic scenario ₹7.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹4.84, about −87% upside versus a price of ₹36.71 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹3.39, optimistic scenario ₹7.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD it is ₹4.84 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹36.71. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, VOGL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹36.71, fair value ₹4.84, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VOGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹36.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹4.84). For VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD the two are ₹31.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD worth?
The market values VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD at about ₹167B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹36.71; our models calculate a fair value of ₹4.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VOGL?
Our models span a range for VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD: cautious scenario ₹3.39, base ₹4.84, optimistic ₹7.14 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹36.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VOGL?
VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 262.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹4.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (as of Sep 13, 2026): debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VOGL from its 52-week high?
VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD trades at ₹36.71, about 23% below its 52-week high of ₹47.60 and 21% above the low of ₹30.42 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹4.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹36.71, calculated fair value ₹4.84 (−87%), Quality Score 27/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VOGL calculated?
We run VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹4.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹7.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹3.39 to ₹7.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD

How large is the market capitalisation of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
The market capitalisation of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is ₹167B (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is 1.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
Earnings per share at VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD are ₹0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 262.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
The net margin of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is 0.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is −7.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL)?
The operating margin of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is −15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL) generate?
The free cash flow of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is −₹1.8B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD (VOGL) carry?
The net debt of VEDANTA OIL AND GAS LTD is ₹46.5B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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