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Wise Group (WISE) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · GB · Market cap 9.4B GBX

WG Wise Group WISE · LSE
Price£9.60
Fair Value£7.64
Upside-20.4%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: High Range £5.73 – £25.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from £8.33 to £7.64 (−8.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (£5.73 to £25.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£12.16 £3.12 Fair Value £7.64 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £3.12 – £12.16 · fair‑value band £5.73 – £25.42 · the £9.60 price screens above the £7.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Wise Group (WISE) currently trades at £9.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £7.64, implying the stock looks roughly 20.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wise Group generated revenue of £1.7B at a net margin of 22.5%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £20.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £5.73 (bear case) to £25.42 (bull case); at £9.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -20%, WISE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £107.41 £185.29 £310.76 80
Residual Income £2.53 £3.43 £20.44 76
ROIC Compounder £24.25 £24.73 £25.15 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £113.00 £162.53 £316.99 38
Owner Earnings £26.81 £33.64 £47.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit £50.31 £57.90 £72.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £50.83 £58.94 £74.31 41
5Y P/E Exit £51.67 £67.90 £86.37 38
10Y Revenue Exit £69.50 £95.65 £102.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £70.02 £96.74 £132.75 37
10Y P/E Exit £70.62 £98.51 £135.97 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £2.60 £18.12 £25.42 54
Lynch FV £9.36 £13.37 £17.38 50
PEG = 1.0 £9.36 £13.37 £17.38 46
EPV £24.25 £24.73 £25.15 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple £5.73 £7.64 £9.55 63
P/S Multiple £3.89 £5.18 £6.48 58
P/B Multiple £3.32 £4.42 £5.53 55
EV/EBIT £27.40 £29.47 £31.54 53
EV/EBITDA £25.79 £27.32 £28.85 54
EV/Revenue £24.83 £26.38 £27.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.7400 £0.9900 £1.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £107.41 £185.29 £310.76 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income £2.53 £3.43 £20.44 76
ROIC Compounder £24.25 £24.73 £25.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £12.06 £17.23 £22.40 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£185.29) versus Asset-Based (£0.9900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.8%
Net margin 19.9%
Return on equity 27.2%
Free cash flow 5.7B GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 25.8
More key figures
Operating margin 59.8%
EPS (TTM) £0.3700
EPS growth (YoY) -4.5%
Net cash 20.7B GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wise Group plc provides cross-border and domestic financial services for personal and business customers in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Asia-Pacific, North America, and internationally. It offers international money transfer, wise account, international debit card, wise platform, business debit card, and mass payment services.

Full company description

Wise Group plc provides cross-border and domestic financial services for personal and business customers in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Asia-Pacific, North America, and internationally. It offers international money transfer, wise account, international debit card, wise platform, business debit card, and mass payment services. Wise Group plc was founded in 2010 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Wise Group reported revenue of £2.0B in FY2026 versus £560M in FY2022, a compound +38.3%/yr. Reported net income was £377M in FY2026, compounding +84.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£2.0B
Latest YoY
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+27.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+37.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+78.8%
Revenue +38.3%/yr
FY22 £560M
FY23 £986M
FY24 £1.5B
FY25 £1.8B
FY26 £2.0B
Net income +84.0%/yr
FY22 £32.9M
FY23 £114M
FY24 £355M
FY25 £417M
FY26 £377M

WISE screens 20% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wise Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WISE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 482 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.71× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 6 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 100 · sector 37
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wise Group (WISE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £7.64 versus a price of £9.60, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WISE?
Our model-based fair value for Wise Group is £7.64 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £9.60.
What is the quality score of WISE?
Wise Group has a Quality Score of 59/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wise Group (WISE)?
Wise Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WISE?
The net profit margin of Wise Group is about 22.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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