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Wendel (WNDLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Wendel $181, price $86.77, upside +109.1%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Wendel
WNDLF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $181.40 · Strongly undervalued (+109.1%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $51.17 – $127.22 · fair‑value band $107.89 – $285.32 · the $86.77 price screens below the $181.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Wendel is a private equity firm specializing in equity financing in middle markets and later stages through leveraged buy-out and transactions and acquisitions. It invests in both listed and non-listed companies. The firm also invest in private debt and secondary.
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Wendel is a private equity firm specializing in equity financing in middle markets and later stages through leveraged buy-out and transactions and acquisitions. It invests in both listed and non-listed companies. The firm also invest in private debt and secondary. The firm typically invests in btob, education technology, energy transition, technology services, software, business services, healthcare, and industrial technology. The firm seeks to invest in Africa, Europe, European Developed Markets, Western Europe, particularly France, and North America (United States and Canada). It invests between 300 million ($354.04 million) and 800 million ($944.12 million). It targets majority/control/large minority investments in listed or unlisted companies. The firm seeks to take a seat on the board of directors or supervisory board and key committees of its portfolio companies. It makes balance sheet investments. Wendel was founded in 1704 and is headquartered in Paris, France with additional offices across Asia, North America, United Kingdom and Europe.
Stock analysis
Wendel (WNDLF) currently trades at $86.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $181.40, implying the stock looks roughly 52.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $407.78 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the $86.77 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $67.82, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $107.89 (bear) to $285.32 (bull), the price of $86.77 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Wendel reported revenue of €7.6B in FY2025 versus €7.5B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€152M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.7B · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) $−4.58 · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin −2.0% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin 11.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 109%, WNDLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $107.89
Fair Value $181.40
Bull $285.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
$468.33
$691.57
$994.90
78
Owner Earnings
$76.27
$136.02
$222.18
74
Rev-Margin DCF
$270.31
$407.78
$566.00
73
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$76.27
$136.02
$222.18
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$66.55
$132.61
$200.80
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$66.55
$105.55
$139.98
66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$50.61
$67.82
$101.23
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$468.33
$691.57
$994.90
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$270.31
$407.78
$566.00
73
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
39/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Profitability
27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
4
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
’14
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’21
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’23
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.8% (2020) → 10.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−16.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −18.7% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.4%
Watch WNDLF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- Wendel SE (STU:WIS) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Shareholder Returns and Fee ...
- WENDEL: David Darmon, Group Deputy CEO and member of Wendel’s Executive Board, will leave his position on November 30, 2026
- WENDEL: 2026 Half-Year Results
- WENDEL: Cyril Marie appointed to Wendel’s Executive Board
Compare Wendel with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $112.09 | $52.29 | −53% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $93.18 | $29.26 | −69% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | $36.87 | $13.45 | −64% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $116.06 | $197.23 | +70% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $177.78 | $139.37 | −22% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $494.82 | $595.40 | +20% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $122.01 | $103.68 | −15% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $175.73 | $123.42 | −30% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $161.16 | $317.27 | +97% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €68.10 | €136.20 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Wendel (WNDLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $181.40 versus a price of $86.77, about +109% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WNDLF?
Our model-based fair value for Wendel is $181.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $86.77.
What is the quality score of WNDLF?
Wendel has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wendel (WNDLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $181.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $107.89, optimistic scenario $285.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wendel stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $181.40, about +109% upside versus a price of $86.77 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $107.89, optimistic scenario $285.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wendel (WNDLF)?
Wendel reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €7.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Wendel pay a dividend?
Wendel currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wendel (WNDLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wendel would have to grow free cash flow by -16.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WNDLF use?
Our models discount Wendel at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.02, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wendel that is -16.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wendel (WNDLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wendel grew +2.1 % a year. The price currently implies -16.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wendel (WNDLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wendel (-16.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 35.90 %: that much free cash flow Wendel produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wendel (WNDLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wendel it is $181.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $86.77. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wendel stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WNDLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $86.77, fair value $181.40, a gap of about +109% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WNDLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($86.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($181.40). For Wendel the two are $94.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wendel worth?
The market values Wendel at about $4.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $86.77; our models calculate a fair value of $181.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WNDLF?
Our models span a range for Wendel: cautious scenario $107.89, base $181.40, optimistic $285.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $86.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wendel (WNDLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wendel (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 1.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WNDLF from its 52-week high?
Wendel trades at $86.77, about 16% below its 52-week high of $103.34 and 5% above the low of $82.96 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $181.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wendel?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wendel stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $86.77, calculated fair value $181.40 (+109%), Quality Score 39/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WNDLF calculated?
We run Wendel through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $181.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Wendel currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $86.77. Our model-based fair value is $181.40, about +109% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wendel right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($107.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($107.89 to $285.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Wendel
How large is the market capitalisation of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The market capitalisation of Wendel is $4.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wendel is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wendel (WNDLF)?
Earnings per share at Wendel are $−4.58. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The dividend yield of Wendel is 7.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The net margin of Wendel is −2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wendel is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wendel (WNDLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wendel is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wendel (WNDLF)?
The operating margin of Wendel is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wendel (WNDLF)?
Revenue at Wendel is growing +7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Wendel (WNDLF) carry?
The net debt of Wendel is €3.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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