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Wise Group (WSE) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $11.0B

WG Wise Group logo Wise Group WSE · US
Price$12.36
Fair Value$18.17
Upside+47.0%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 22.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 75/100
Evidence: High Range $16.99 – $19.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $17.96 to $18.17 (+1.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −4.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 47% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($16.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($16.99 to $19.42), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$15.40 $10.40 Fair Value $18.17 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $10.40 – $15.40 · fair‑value band $16.99 – $19.42 · the $12.36 price screens below the $18.17 fair value. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Wise Group (WSE) currently trades at $12.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.17, implying the stock looks roughly 47.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Wise Group generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 22.5%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 22.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.99 (bear case) to $19.42 (bull case); at $12.36, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 47%, WSE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $78.64 $148.14 $262.03 80
ROIC Compounder $12.27 $12.97 $13.58 72
Growth-Adj P/E $13.68 $19.54 $25.40 68
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $83.10 $126.13 $263.16 38
Owner Earnings $14.35 $22.35 $39.14 31
5Y Revenue Exit $32.72 $40.58 $56.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $34.49 $44.15 $62.69 41
5Y P/E Exit $35.22 $53.13 $74.87 38
10Y Revenue Exit $47.52 $71.13 $78.76 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $49.04 $74.93 $112.23 37
10Y P/E Exit $49.57 $76.51 $114.59 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.83 $19.76 $27.72 54
Lynch FV $9.26 $13.24 $17.21 50
PEG = 1.0 $9.26 $13.24 $17.21 46
EPV $12.27 $12.97 $13.58 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.75 $11.66 $14.58 63
P/S Multiple $5.31 $7.08 $8.85 58
P/B Multiple $5.31 $7.08 $8.85 55
EV/EBIT $18.11 $21.46 $24.80 53
EV/EBITDA $15.85 $18.44 $21.03 54
EV/Revenue $13.15 $15.32 $17.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6900 $0.9300 $1.39 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $78.64 $148.14 $262.03 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.01 $4.18 $33.68 61
ROIC Compounder $12.27 $12.97 $13.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.68 $19.54 $25.40 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($148.14) versus Asset-Based ($0.9300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.2%
Net margin 22.5%
Return on equity 29.7%
Free cash flow $4.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.5
More key figures
Operating margin 27.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.4900
EPS growth (YoY) -13.2%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wise Group plc provides cross-border and domestic financial services for personal and business customers in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Asia-Pacific, North America, and internationally. It offers international money transfer, wise account, international debit card, wise platform, business debit card, and mass payment services.

Full company description

Wise Group plc provides cross-border and domestic financial services for personal and business customers in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Asia-Pacific, North America, and internationally. It offers international money transfer, wise account, international debit card, wise platform, business debit card, and mass payment services. Wise Group plc was founded in 2010 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wise Group reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $564M in FY2022, a compound +47.4%/yr. Reported net income was $417M in FY2025, compounding +133.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.8B
Latest YoY
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+47.4%
Revenue +47.4%/yr
FY22 $564M
FY23 $986M
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.8B
Net income +133.1%/yr
FY22 $32.9M
FY23 $114M
FY24 $355M
FY25 $417M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wise Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WSE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +47% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 96 · sector 21
FUTURE 46 · sector 30
PAST 100 · sector 36
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wise Group (WSE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.17 versus a price of $12.36, about +47% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WSE?
Our model-based fair value for Wise Group is $18.17 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.36.
What is the quality score of WSE?
Wise Group has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wise Group (WSE)?
Wise Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WSE?
The net profit margin of Wise Group is about 22.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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