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Bradespar S.A (XBRPO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ES · Market cap €1.2B

BS Bradespar S.A XBRPO · MC
Price€3.14
Fair Value€4.05
Upside+29.0%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range €3.03 – €5.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €3.06 to €4.05 (+32.5%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −0.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 29% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€3.84 €1.46 Fair Value €4.05 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.46 – €3.84 · fair‑value band €3.03 – €5.06 · the €3.14 price screens below the €4.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Bradespar S.A (XBRPO) currently trades at €3.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.05, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €15.9M. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.03 (bear case) to €5.06 (bull case); at €3.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 29%, XBRPO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €14.88 €15.32 €15.36 76
Growth DCF €14.33 €18.31 €24.48 72
P/E Multiple €20.87 €27.83 €34.79 63
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit €16.15 €23.88 €33.12 38
10Y P/E Exit €15.05 €19.89 €24.47 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €9.46 €11.56 €13.01 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple €20.87 €27.83 €34.79 63
P/B Multiple €17.74 €23.66 €29.57 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.73 €13.03 €19.46 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €14.33 €18.31 €24.48 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €14.88 €15.32 €15.36 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (€23.66) versus Earnings-Based (€11.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €15.9M
Return on equity 9.5%
Free cash flow €670M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.4
EPS (TTM) €0.3200
EPS growth (YoY) +11.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bradespar S.A., through its interest in VALE, operates as a mining company in the production of iron ore and pellets, and nickel in Brazil. It also produces copper, platinum group metals, gold, cobalt, and silver. The company was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bradespar S.A reported revenue of €646M in FY2025 versus €8.1B in FY2021, a compound −46.9%/yr. Reported net income was €547M in FY2025, compounding −49.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€646M
Latest YoY
−48.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−44.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−15.6%
Revenue −46.9%/yr
FY21 €8.1B
FY22 €3.8B
FY23 €2.0B
FY24 €1.3B
FY25 €646M
Net income −49.0%/yr
FY21 €8.1B
FY22 €3.7B
FY23 €1.9B
FY24 €1.2B
FY25 €547M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bradespar S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XBRPO

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 88.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 72 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 38 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bradespar S.A (XBRPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.05 versus a price of €3.14, about +29% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XBRPO?
Our model-based fair value for Bradespar S.A is €4.05 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €3.14.
What is the quality score of XBRPO?
Bradespar S.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bradespar S.A (XBRPO)?
Bradespar S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €15.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XBRPO?
The net profit margin of Bradespar S.A is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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