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Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $630B

EM Exxon Mobil Corporation logo Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM · US
Price$139.73
Fair Value$90.37
Upside-35.3%
Quality62/100
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Evidence: High Range $59.53 – $117.22

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −8.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$173.59 $104.54 Fair Value $90.37 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $104.54 – $173.59 · fair‑value band $59.53 – $117.22 · the $139.73 price screens above the $90.37 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) currently trades at $139.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $90.37 — implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Exxon Mobil Corporation generated revenue of $326B at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $32.9B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $326B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6%
Net margin 7.8%
Return on equity 9.9%
Free cash flow $23.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 25.6
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) $5.94
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -43.4%
Net debt $32.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products segment offers fuels, aromatics, and catalysts, as well as licensing services. Its Chemical Products segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. The Specialty Products segment offers finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins. It is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center, and …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Exxon Mobil Corporation reported revenue of $324B in FY2025 versus $277B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was $28.8B in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 $277B
FY22 $399B
FY23 $335B
FY24 $339B
FY25 $324B
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY21 $23.0B
FY22 $55.7B
FY23 $36.0B
FY24 $33.7B
FY25 $28.8B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $90.37 versus a price of $139.73 — about −35% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of XOM?
Our model-based fair value for Exxon Mobil Corporation is $90.37 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $139.73.
What is the quality score of XOM?
Exxon Mobil Corporation has a Quality Score of 62/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)?
Exxon Mobil Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $326B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XOM?
The net profit margin of Exxon Mobil Corporation is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Exxon Mobil Corporation pay a dividend?
Exxon Mobil Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.65% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.