Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $630B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −8.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $104.54 – $173.59 · fair‑value band $59.53 – $117.22 · the $139.73 price screens above the $90.37 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) currently trades at $139.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $90.37 — implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Exxon Mobil Corporation generated revenue of $326B at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $32.9B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products segment offers fuels, aromatics, and catalysts, as well as licensing services. Its Chemical Products segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. The Specialty Products segment offers finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins. It is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center, and …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Exxon Mobil Corporation reported revenue of $324B in FY2025 versus $277B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was $28.8B in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
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- Sector Update: Energy Stocks Decline Wednesday Afternoon
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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| Chevron Corporation CVX | $189.80 | $84.90 | -55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.