Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hamilton Lane Inc stock $72.97, price $89.46, that is 18.4% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $53.15 – $194.17 · fair‑value band $37.95 – $114.03 · the $89.46 price screens above the $72.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Hamilton Lane Incorporated is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth, turnaround, middle market, mature, mid-venture, bridge, buyout, distressed/vulture, loan, mezzanine in growth capital companies.
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The firm manages alternative investment strategies like direct credit, direct, fund of fund, evergreen and real assets.
For primary and secondary fund of fund investments, the firm focuses to invest in private equity, buyout, special situations, credit, growth equity, middle market, mature, turnarounds, mezzanine and venture capital funds. The firm prefers to invest in disruptive technologies and innovative companies.
It prefers to invest in space, engine, alternative energy resources, environmental & facilities services, households durables, leisure products, textiles, manufacturing services, water purification, online training service, healthcare services & technology, energy, industrials, commercial services, internet software & services, consumer discretionary, health care, real estate, information technology, tech-enabled businesses, financials, utilities, and consumer services.
The firm prefers to invest in Africa/Middle East, Asia/Pacific, Europe, Southeast Asia, Korea, China, India, Latin America and Caribbean, United States of America, New York, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Washington, California and surrounding states, Australia, Japan, Brazil, United Kingdom, and Canada.
The firm prefers to invest between $0.25 million and $100 million in companies with small- to mid-sized enterprise values. It prefers to take majority stake.
Hamilton Lane Incorporated was founded in 1991 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with additional offices across Europe, North America, Asia Pacific and the Middle East.
Stock analysis
Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) currently trades at $89.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $72.97, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $113.23 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the $89.46 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.06, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $37.95 (bear) to $114.03 (bull), the price of $89.46 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hamilton Lane Inc reported revenue of $759M in FY2026 versus $368M in FY2022, a compound +19.8%/yr. Reported net income was $249M in FY2026, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $6.0B Mid · P/E ratio 13.3 · P/S ratio 4.26 · EPS (TTM) $6.74 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 32.4% · Return on equity 31.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 88 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −18%, HLNE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$37.95Fair Value $72.97Bull$114.03
Price $89.46 · Downside -18.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.72 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Growth DCF$59.82$102.32$169.4074
Owner Earnings$58.23$105.07$183.9472
Rev-Margin DCF$29.67$43.42$59.6871
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings$58.23$105.07$183.9472
5Y P/E Exit$48.79$84.18$125.3368
10Y P/E Exit$52.55$85.85$134.1561
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$31.14$162.71$225.1161
Lynch FV$44.62$63.74$82.8658
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$13.92$26.44$38.1665
DDM Multi-Stage$13.92$23.47$28.0765
Multiples
P/E Multiple$44.65$59.53$74.4161
P/B Multiple$17.33$23.11$28.8953
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$8.25$11.06$16.5152
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$59.82$102.32$169.4074
Rev-Margin DCF$29.67$43.42$59.6871
Economic Profit
Residual Income$25.94$36.18$69.5770
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
BuyErik R. HirschCo-Chief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner9,225 shares at $107.13$988,274Feb 20, 2026
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+14.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11.0% vs 3.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 43%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.8%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.2% a year for the price and +10.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: The business holds a moderate moat from high margins and cash conversion in alternative asset management, yet limited public signals on human capital and innovation restrict differentiation.
Main risk: StepStone Group and larger platforms such as Blackstone Alternatives could win bespoke advisory mandates and secondaries deals away from Hamilton Lane, reducing its fee income from non-discretionary relationships.
Bull case: Hamilton Lane could deepen its FactSet partnership and Helix AI tools to deliver unique data insights that differentiate its advisory services from rivals and retain institutional clients.
Bear case: If peers capture more mandates and scrutiny prompts outflows from evergreen funds, Hamilton Lane might see sustained declines in advisory fees and assets under supervision.
Hamilton Lane draws the bulk of its assets under supervision from advisory relationships rather than discretionary mandates. The planned retirement of long-time leader Mario Giannini in early 2027 arrives while co-chief executives already handle day-to-day operations and the firm prepares its next earnings release. Our models see it as overvalued. Does the current structure preserve the edge in flexible private markets access for clients, or does it create openings for different ways to grow fee income?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside−18.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)31.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets16.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)50.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)42.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.3× · Pricier than median
P/B6.61× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)10.79× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)20.7× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hamilton Lane Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HLNE
Frequently asked questions
Is Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $72.97 versus a price of $89.46, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HLNE?
Our model-based fair value for Hamilton Lane Inc is $72.97 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $89.46.
What is the quality score of HLNE?
Hamilton Lane Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $72.97 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $37.95, optimistic scenario $114.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hamilton Lane Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $72.97, about 18% lower versus a price of $89.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $37.95, optimistic scenario $114.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Hamilton Lane Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $872M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Hamilton Lane Inc pay a dividend?
Hamilton Lane Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.55% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hamilton Lane Inc pays a dividend of $2.28 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.5%. The next ex-dividend date is Dec 21, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2017. The payout ratio is 21.8% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 33.8%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.53 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hamilton Lane Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -0.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.3 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HLNE use?
Our models discount Hamilton Lane Inc at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.17, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hamilton Lane Inc that is -0.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hamilton Lane Inc grew +17.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hamilton Lane Inc (-0.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.34 %: that much free cash flow Hamilton Lane Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hamilton Lane Inc it is $72.97 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $89.46. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Hamilton Lane Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, HLNE trades above its calculated fair value: price $89.46, fair value $72.97, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HLNE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($89.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($72.97). For Hamilton Lane Inc the two are $16.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hamilton Lane Inc worth?
The market values Hamilton Lane Inc at about $6.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $89.46; our models calculate a fair value of $72.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HLNE?
Our models span a range for Hamilton Lane Inc: cautious scenario $37.95, base $72.97, optimistic $114.03 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $89.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HLNE?
Hamilton Lane Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $72.97 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 12.6 (reported for FY2026: 19.5). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), earnings ex one-offs: 16.1. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 6.6, P/S 10.8, EV/EBITDA 23.7.
What is the PEG ratio of HLNE?
The PEG ratio of Hamilton Lane Inc is 1.39 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hamilton Lane Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 31.2%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HLNE from its 52-week high?
Hamilton Lane Inc trades at $89.46, about 41% below its 52-week high of $150.85 and 22% above the low of $73.29 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $72.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hamilton Lane Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hamilton Lane Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $89.46, calculated fair value $72.97 (−18%), Quality Score 63/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HLNE calculated?
We run Hamilton Lane Inc through 13 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $72.97 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hamilton Lane Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $89.46. Our model-based fair value is $72.97, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hamilton Lane Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($37.95 to $114.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) come from?
Earnings per share at Hamilton Lane Inc grew +5.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.1 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate −2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hamilton Lane Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The market capitalisation of Hamilton Lane Inc is $6.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hamilton Lane Inc is 4.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Earnings per share at Hamilton Lane Inc are $6.74 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The dividend yield of Hamilton Lane Inc is 2.5% (payout 21.8%, on adjusted earnings, reported 33.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The net margin of Hamilton Lane Inc is 32.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hamilton Lane Inc is 31.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hamilton Lane Inc is 17.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
The operating margin of Hamilton Lane Inc is 42.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Revenue at Hamilton Lane Inc is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Earnings per share at Hamilton Lane Inc are growing +10.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) hold?
Hamilton Lane Inc holds more cash than debt, $7.4M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 7, 2026