Hubbell Inc (HUBB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hubbell Inc stock $296, price $419, that is 29.4% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $161.39 – $554.46 · fair‑value band $181.30 – $397.57 · the $418.79 price screens above the $295.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Hubbell Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electrical and utility solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electrical Solutions and Utility Solutions.
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The Utility Solution segment offers critical components that allow the grid to transmit and distribute energy, as well as the communications and controls technologies, including utility transmission and distribution components, such as arresters, insulators, connectors, anchors, bushings, enclosures, cutouts, and switches; and solutions that serve the edge of the utility infrastructure comprising smart meters, communications systems, and protection and control devices.
It sells its products under various brands and/or trademarks to the electrical distribution, substation and transmission markets, as well as markets for grid protection and controls, utility meters and advanced metering infrastructure and telcom and gas distribution markets.
The Electrical Solution segment offers standard and special application wiring device products, rough-in electrical products, connector and grounding products, and other electrical equipment for use in industrial, commercial, and institutional facilities by electrical contractors, maintenance personnel, electricians, utilities, and telecommunications companies.
It also designs and manufactures various industrial controls, and communication systems for use in the non-residential and industrial markets, as well as in the oil and gas, and mining industries.
This segment sells its products through electrical and industrial distributors, home centers, retail and hardware outlets, and residential product-oriented internet sites; and special application products primarily through wholesale distributors to contractors, industrial customers, and original equipment manufacturers.
The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Shelton, Connecticut.
Stock analysis
Hubbell Inc (HUBB) currently trades at $418.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $295.68, 29% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $310.01 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $418.79 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $81.14, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $181.30 (bear) to $397.57 (bull), the price of $418.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hubbell Inc reported revenue of $5.8B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $887M in FY2025, compounding +22.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $22.3B Large · P/E ratio 24.6 · P/S ratio 3.39 · EPS (TTM) $17.05 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 13.8% · Return on equity 23.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 71 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −29%, HUBB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$181.30Fair Value $295.68Bull$397.57
Price $418.79 · Downside -29.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($9.66 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $283,652 and none bought.
SaleJonathan M. Del NeroVice President, Controller2× since Feb 9, 2026: 2,792 shares, avg. $504.12$1.4MAug 11, 2026
SaleMark Eugene MikesPresident Electrical Solutions2,601 shares at $523.73$1.4MFeb 17, 2026
SaleKatherine Anne LaneSenior VP, GC & Secretary4,610 shares at $505.60$2.3MFeb 9, 2026
SaleGerben BakkerChairman, President & CEO, Director25,233 shares at $498.97$12.6MFeb 6, 2026
SaleAlyssa R FlynnChief Human Resources Officer1,228 shares at $497.14$610,486Feb 6, 2026
BuyJohn F. MalloyDirector435 shares at $429.24$186,719Nov 17, 2025
Plus 3 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+20.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.2% vs 12.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 21%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.6% a year for the price and +8.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Moderate moat from pricing power and margins forms the core strength, while insufficient public data on durability of other factors remains the key weakness.
Main risk: Elevated debt from the NSI Industries and other acquisitions could require dedicating significant cash flow from operations to principal and interest payments, reducing funds available for other purposes such as further investment or operations.
Bull case: Successful integration of recent acquisitions combined with capacity expansion could strengthen the product portfolio for data center and grid demand while steadily reducing leverage through higher earnings.
Bear case: Persistent high debt service obligations alongside any loss of business from major customers could constrain investment in growth areas and pressure margins during integration.
Hubbell recently closed its acquisition of NSI Industries, adding electrical fittings and connectors that expand exposure to data center and grid projects. Demand in these segments has supported double-digit sales growth, yet our models currently see the stock as overvalued. Will the broader product range sustain momentum through integration, or will capacity constraints in utilities limit the gains?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 565 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−29.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)23.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)13.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)20.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)24.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B5.80× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)3.39× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)25.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA14.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG1.55× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 66
PAST (return on equity)94· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)74· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)27· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubbell Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUBB
Frequently asked questions
Is Hubbell Inc (HUBB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $295.68 versus a price of $418.79, about 29% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HUBB?
Our model-based fair value for Hubbell Inc is $295.68 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $418.79.
What is the quality score of HUBB?
Hubbell Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $295.68 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $181.30, optimistic scenario $397.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hubbell Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $295.68, about 29% lower versus a price of $418.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $181.30, optimistic scenario $397.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
Hubbell Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Hubbell Inc pay a dividend?
Hubbell Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hubbell Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +13.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HUBB use?
Our models discount Hubbell Inc at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.85, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hubbell Inc that is +13.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hubbell Inc (HUBB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hubbell Inc grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies +13.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hubbell Inc (HUBB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hubbell Inc (+13.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.92 %: that much free cash flow Hubbell Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hubbell Inc it is $295.68 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $418.79. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hubbell Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, HUBB trades above its calculated fair value: price $418.79, fair value $295.68, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HUBB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($418.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($295.68). For Hubbell Inc the two are $123.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hubbell Inc worth?
The market values Hubbell Inc at about $22.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $418.79; our models calculate a fair value of $295.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HUBB?
Our models span a range for Hubbell Inc: cautious scenario $181.30, base $295.68, optimistic $397.57 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $418.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HUBB?
Hubbell Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $295.68 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 8 of the years ex one-offs: 24.4. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 5.8, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 14.9.
What is the PEG ratio of HUBB?
The PEG ratio of Hubbell Inc is 1.55 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hubbell Inc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 23.4%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HUBB from its 52-week high?
Hubbell Inc trades at $418.79, about 24% below its 52-week high of $554.46 and 4% above the low of $402.45 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $295.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hubbell Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hubbell Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $418.79, calculated fair value $295.68 (−29%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HUBB calculated?
We run Hubbell Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $295.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Hubbell Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $418.79. Our model-based fair value is $295.68, about 29% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hubbell Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($397.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($181.30 to $397.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Hubbell Inc (HUBB) come from?
Earnings per share at Hubbell Inc grew +12.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.5 %, EBIT margin +3.6 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hubbell Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The market capitalisation of Hubbell Inc is $22.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hubbell Inc is 3.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
Earnings per share at Hubbell Inc are $17.05 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The dividend yield of Hubbell Inc is 1.4% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The net margin of Hubbell Inc is 13.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hubbell Inc is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hubbell Inc is 13.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
The operating margin of Hubbell Inc is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
Revenue at Hubbell Inc is growing +24.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hubbell Inc (HUBB)?
Earnings per share at Hubbell Inc are growing +3.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hubbell Inc (HUBB) carry?
The net debt of Hubbell Inc is $2.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026