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Prysmian SpA (PRY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Prysmian SpA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · IT · ISIN IT0004176001

PS Prysmian SpA logo Broad data Sep 18, 2026

Prysmian SpA

PRY · MI

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €77.45 · Strongly overvalued (−39%)
!Quality 59/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +14.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·0.71% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
!Moderate moat 62/100
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€156.90 €24.19 Fair Value €77.45 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €24.19 – €156.90 · fair‑value band €44.83 – €109.58 · the €126.10 price screens above the €77.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Prysmian S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells power and telecom cables and systems, and related accessories under the Prysmian, Draka, and General Cable brands worldwide. It operates through four segments: Transmission, Power Grid, Electrification, and Digital Solutions.

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Prysmian S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells power and telecom cables and systems, and related accessories under the Prysmian, Draka, and General Cable brands worldwide. It operates through four segments: Transmission, Power Grid, Electrification, and Digital Solutions. The company offers high voltage direct current (HVDC), network component high voltage, submarine power, submarine telecom, offshore specialties, and EOSS high voltage units. It also provides power distribution, overhead lines, high voltage alternate current (HVAC), network component medium voltage/low voltage, EOSS medium voltage/low voltage units. In addition, it offers electrification products; and fiber optics, optical cables, connectivity components and accessories, optical ground wire cables, and copper cables. Further, it manufactures and sells thermoplastic and metal enclosures. Prysmian S.p.A. was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.

Stock analysis

Prysmian SpA (PRY) currently trades at €126.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €77.45, implying the stock looks roughly 62.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €93.33 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the €126.10 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €13.16, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €44.83 (bear) to €109.58 (bull), the price of €126.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Prysmian SpA reported revenue of €19.7B in FY2025 versus €12.7B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.3B in FY2025, compounding +42.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €36.2B · P/E ratio 30.9 · P/S ratio 2.00 · EPS (TTM) €4.71 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 22.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −39%, PRY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €44.83 Fair Value €77.45 Bull €109.58
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.76 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €49.54 €93.33 €167.20 77
Growth DCF €49.46 €90.57 €158.66 75
EPV €46.86 €56.19 €64.35 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €49.54 €93.33 €167.20 77
Owner Earnings €39.01 €74.94 €135.56 73
5Y Revenue Exit €49.78 €93.37 €151.87 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €63.04 €120.09 €190.73 73
5Y P/E Exit €52.17 €98.19 €149.76 69
10Y Revenue Exit €47.18 €88.24 €149.57 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €57.89 €107.57 €181.39 66
10Y P/E Exit €50.75 €91.72 €147.84 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €29.55 €126.28 €172.50 64
Lynch FV €32.27 €46.11 €59.94 61
PEG = 1.0 €32.27 €46.11 €59.94 57
EPV €46.86 €56.19 €64.35 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €7.51 €15.61 €24.77 66
DDM Multi-Stage €7.51 €13.16 €16.39 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €68.44 €91.26 €114.07 63
P/S Multiple €55.41 €73.88 €92.34 58
P/B Multiple €55.41 €73.88 €92.34 55
EV/EBIT €75.29 €103.43 €131.57 66
EV/EBITDA €76.98 €105.68 €134.38 67
EV/Revenue €51.12 €76.94 €102.77 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €11.08 €14.84 €22.15 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €49.46 €90.57 €158.66 75
Rev-Margin DCF €49.78 €92.40 €146.01 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income €28.90 €39.30 €175.83 64
ROIC Compounder €53.69 €74.92 €102.47 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €54.21 €77.45 €100.68 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Revenue growth 20 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+40.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.32% vs 16%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 10%
2025 sits 133% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

PRY screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 544 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −31% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 23% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.73× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.89× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.05× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 32.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 18.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.62× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 58
PAST (return on equity)89 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)64 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥305.48 ¥679.28 +122%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 78.26 CHF 29.04 −63%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.27 SGD 2.04 SGD −80%
Vertiv Holdings VRT $234.61 $179.08 −24%
Legrand SA LR €135.30 €78.82 −42%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥85.18 ¥212.02 +149%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥51.59 ¥46.67 −10%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $439.07 $285.77 −35%
nVent Electric plc NVT $147.65 $40.68 −72%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 712,000 KRW 783,200 KRW +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Prysmian SpA (PRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €77.45 versus a price of €126.10, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PRY?
Our model-based fair value for Prysmian SpA is €77.45 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €126.10.
What is the quality score of PRY?
Prysmian SpA has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €77.45 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €44.83, optimistic scenario €109.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prysmian SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €77.45, about −39% upside versus a price of €126.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €44.83, optimistic scenario €109.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Prysmian SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €20.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Prysmian SpA pay a dividend?
Prysmian SpA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Prysmian SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +20.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PRY use?
Our models discount Prysmian SpA at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.95, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Prysmian SpA that is +20.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Prysmian SpA (PRY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Prysmian SpA grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies +20.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Prysmian SpA (PRY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Prysmian SpA (+20.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.79 %: that much free cash flow Prysmian SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prysmian SpA it is €77.45 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of €126.10. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prysmian SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, PRY trades above its calculated fair value: price €126.10, fair value €77.45, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PRY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€126.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€77.45). For Prysmian SpA the two are €48.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prysmian SpA worth?
The market values Prysmian SpA at about €36.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is €126.10; our models calculate a fair value of €77.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PRY?
Our models span a range for Prysmian SpA: cautious scenario €44.83, base €77.45, optimistic €109.58 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price €126.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PRY?
Prysmian SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.9 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €77.45 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 6.9, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 18.2.
What is the PEG ratio of PRY?
The PEG ratio of Prysmian SpA is 0.62 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prysmian SpA (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 22.4%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PRY from its 52-week high?
Prysmian SpA trades at €126.10, about 20% below its 52-week high of €157.25 and 130% above the low of €54.75 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €77.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prysmian SpA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prysmian SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price €126.10, calculated fair value €77.45 (−39%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PRY calculated?
We run Prysmian SpA through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €77.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Prysmian SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was €126.10. Our model-based fair value is €77.45, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prysmian SpA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€109.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€44.83 to €109.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Prysmian SpA (PRY) come from?
Earnings per share at Prysmian SpA grew +10.7 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.4 %, EBIT margin +1.7 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Prysmian SpA

How large is the market capitalisation of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The market capitalisation of Prysmian SpA is €36.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prysmian SpA is 2.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Earnings per share at Prysmian SpA are €4.71 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The dividend yield of Prysmian SpA is 0.7% (payout 19.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The net margin of Prysmian SpA is 6.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prysmian SpA is 22.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prysmian SpA is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The operating margin of Prysmian SpA is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Revenue at Prysmian SpA is growing +10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Earnings per share at Prysmian SpA are growing +53.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Prysmian SpA (PRY) carry?
The net debt of Prysmian SpA is €2.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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