Prysmian SpA (PRY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Prysmian SpA stock €64.29, price €100, that is 35.8% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €24.19 – €156.90 · fair‑value band €35.21 – €83.57 · the €100.20 price screens above the €64.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Prysmian S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells power and telecom cables and systems, and related accessories under the Prysmian, Draka, and General Cable brands worldwide.
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It operates through four segments: Transmission, Power Grid, Electrification, and Digital Solutions. The company offers high voltage direct current (HVDC), network component high voltage, submarine power, submarine telecom, offshore specialties, and EOSS high voltage units.
It also provides power distribution, overhead lines, high voltage alternate current (HVAC), network component medium voltage/low voltage, EOSS medium voltage/low voltage units.
In addition, it offers electrification products; and fiber optics, optical cables, connectivity components and accessories, optical ground wire cables, and copper cables. Further, it manufactures and sells thermoplastic and metal enclosures.
Prysmian S.p.A. was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.
Stock analysis
Prysmian SpA (PRY) currently trades at €100.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €64.29, 36% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €75.63 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the €100.20 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €9.96, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €35.21 (bear) to €83.57 (bull), the price of €100.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Prysmian SpA reported revenue of €19.7B in FY2025 versus €12.7B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.3B in FY2025, compounding +42.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €32.0B Large · P/E ratio 24.9 · P/S ratio 1.43 · EPS (TTM) €4.02 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −36%, PRY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€35.21Fair Value €64.29Bull€83.57
Price €100.20 · Downside -35.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.65 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF€30.84€54.60€89.3978
Growth DCF€30.40€51.60€80.8977
Owner Earnings€26.30€47.34€78.1674
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF€30.84€54.60€89.3978
Owner Earnings€26.30€47.34€78.1674
5Y Revenue Exit€41.42€79.49€130.6870
5Y EBITDA Exit€53.14€103.06€164.9373
5Y P/E Exit€43.54€83.74€128.8369
10Y Revenue Exit€34.96€67.17€115.3564
10Y EBITDA Exit€43.52€82.57€140.6566
10Y P/E Exit€37.82€69.95€113.9862
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd€28.86€123.32€168.4564
Lynch FV€31.52€45.02€58.5361
PEG = 1.0€31.52€45.02€58.5357
EPV€32.44€37.96€42.5374
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM€6.09€10.83€14.7468
DDM Multi-Stage€6.09€9.96€11.5967
Multiples
P/E Multiple€66.84€89.12€111.3963
P/S Multiple€54.11€72.14€90.1858
P/B Multiple€13.72€18.30€22.8755
EV/EBIT€73.13€100.61€128.0966
EV/EBITDA€74.78€102.81€130.8467
EV/Revenue€49.53€74.75€99.9753
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)€2.03€2.72€4.0754
Growth DCF
Growth DCF€30.40€51.60€80.8977
Rev-Margin DCF€41.42€78.53€125.1471
Economic Profit
Residual Income€23.35€30.77€49.6874
ROIC Compounder€35.48€46.86€60.7172
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E€52.94€75.63€98.3267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+40.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31.9% vs 16.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 10%
2025 sits 133% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.2% a year for the price and +15.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Core transmission and power grid operations deliver record results with raised guidance and Atkore adds electrical exposure, yet insufficient data and one-off margin effects limit the overall quality assessment.
Main risk: Chinese manufacturers such as Hengtong and YOFC could intensify price competition in the fiber and telecom segment and erode Prysmian's margins there.
Bull case: Prysmian could leverage its scale, US capacity expansion and partnerships such as with Molex to secure long-term contracts and maintain premium pricing despite Asian rivals.
Bear case: If low-cost rivals capture significant share in fiber, Prysmian might face sustained margin compression in its Digital Solutions segment and slower cash-flow growth from the North Carolina expansion.
Prysmian derives only a high single-digit percentage of sales from data centers, yet its shares dropped sharply with the broader cooling of AI investment sentiment. Core businesses in transmission and power grids delivered record results and raised guidance again, while the Atkore acquisition adds to electrical solutions exposure. Our models currently see the stock as overvalued. Will the company gain more from sustained electrification demand or feel the effects if data center capex disappoints?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 565 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−35.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)16.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)9.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)22.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)24.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B4.95× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.43× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)27.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA16.9× · Pricier than median
PEG1.41× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 66
PAST (return on equity)67· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)64· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prysmian SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PRY
Frequently asked questions
Is Prysmian SpA (PRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €64.29 versus a price of €100.20, about 36% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PRY?
Our model-based fair value for Prysmian SpA is €64.29 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €100.20.
What is the quality score of PRY?
Prysmian SpA has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €64.29 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €35.21, optimistic scenario €83.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prysmian SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €64.29, about 36% lower versus a price of €100.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €35.21, optimistic scenario €83.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Prysmian SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €22.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Prysmian SpA pay a dividend?
Prysmian SpA currently shows a dividend yield of 0.90% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Prysmian SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +20.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PRY use?
Our models discount Prysmian SpA at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.92, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Prysmian SpA that is +20.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Prysmian SpA (PRY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Prysmian SpA grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies +20.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Prysmian SpA (PRY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Prysmian SpA (+20.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.68 %: that much free cash flow Prysmian SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prysmian SpA it is €64.29 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of €100.20. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prysmian SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, PRY trades above its calculated fair value: price €100.20, fair value €64.29, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PRY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€100.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€64.29). For Prysmian SpA the two are €35.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prysmian SpA worth?
The market values Prysmian SpA at about €32.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is €100.20; our models calculate a fair value of €64.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PRY?
Our models span a range for Prysmian SpA: cautious scenario €35.21, base €64.29, optimistic €83.57 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price €100.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PRY?
Prysmian SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.9 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €64.29 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 33.8 (reported for FY2025: 26.1). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 25.2. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 5.0, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 16.9.
What is the PEG ratio of PRY?
The PEG ratio of Prysmian SpA is 1.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prysmian SpA (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 16.8%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PRY from its 52-week high?
Prysmian SpA trades at €100.20, about 36% below its 52-week high of €156.90 and 25% above the low of €80.20 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €64.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prysmian SpA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prysmian SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price €100.20, calculated fair value €64.29 (−36%), Quality Score 51/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PRY calculated?
We run Prysmian SpA through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €64.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Prysmian SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was €100.20. Our model-based fair value is €64.29, about 36% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prysmian SpA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€83.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€35.21 to €83.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Prysmian SpA (PRY) come from?
Earnings per share at Prysmian SpA grew +14.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin +4.6 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Prysmian SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The market capitalisation of Prysmian SpA is €32.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prysmian SpA is 1.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Earnings per share at Prysmian SpA are €4.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The dividend yield of Prysmian SpA is 0.9% (payout 28.9%, on adjusted earnings, reported 22.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The net margin of Prysmian SpA is 5.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prysmian SpA is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prysmian SpA is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
The operating margin of Prysmian SpA is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Revenue at Prysmian SpA is growing +22.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Prysmian SpA (PRY)?
Earnings per share at Prysmian SpA are growing +12.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Prysmian SpA (PRY) carry?
The net debt of Prysmian SpA is €2.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026