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Münchener Rück AG (MUV2) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Münchener Rück AG stock €399, price €595, that is 32.8% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services DE · ISIN DE0008430026

MR Münchener Rück AG logo Broad data Nov 5, 2026

Münchener Rück AG

MUV2 · XETRA
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 33% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 11.2% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Wide moat 68/100
Broad data
Quality 53/100
4.0% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Fair value €399.41 · Overvalued (−32.8%)
Trails peers (4/15)

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Softening reinsurance market reducing pricing power🚩Alternative capital from hedge funds and ILS🚩EU regulatory overhaul increasing compliance costs
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€594.60 €171.33 Fair Value €399.41 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €171.33 – €594.60 · fair‑value band €328.44 – €585.00 · the €594.60 price screens above the €399.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft in München engages in the insurance and reinsurance businesses worldwide.

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The company operates through six segments: Life and Health Reinsurance, Property-Casualty Reinsurance, Global Specialty Insurance, ERGO Life and Health Germany, ERGO Property-Casualty Germany, and ERGO International.

The company offers life and health reinsurance solutions, such as digital underwriting and advanced analytics solutions, health insurance management system, financial market risks, financing, portfolio risk management, digitalized investment-linked solution, data analytics, underwriting and claims, medical research, capital management, and health market, as well as MIRA digital suite that includes MIRA PoS, MIRApply insured and physician, claims risk assessment, and CLARA plus.

It also provides property and casualty reinsurance solutions, including agricultural reinsurance; business advisory, personal lines, portfolio management, insurance consulting, commercial motor consulting; infrastructure risk; property insurance, location risk, insurance linked securities, and NatCatSERVICE for natural catastrophe loss database; prospective structured and retroactive reinsurance; risk transfer; cyber; and data analytics, REALYTIX ZERO, and cert2go.

In addition, the company offers solutions for industry clients, such as corporate risk, new tech, green tech, parametric, and aviation and space solutions, as well as risk services.

Further, it provides specialty property casualty insurance, such as professional liability, marine, cyber, aviation, and space for commercial and private customers.

Additionally, the company offers life, property-casualty, health, legal protection, and travel insurance products under the ERGO brand; and insurance solutions for agriculture, captive, epidemic, cyber, and renewable energy sectors. The company was founded in 1880 and is based in Munich, Germany.

Stock analysis

Münchener Rück AG (MUV2) currently trades at €594.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €399.41, 33% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €399.41 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €594.60 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €145.41, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €328.44 (bear) to €585.00 (bull), the price of €594.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Münchener Rück AG reported revenue of €69.3B in FY2025 versus €63.9B in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was €6.1B in FY2025, compounding +20.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €75.3B Large · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 1.22 · EPS (TTM) €53.29 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 11.2% · Return on equity 21.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −33%, MUV2 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €328.44 Fair Value €399.41 Bull €585.00
Price €594.60 · Downside -32.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€24.80 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income €328.44 €399.41 €593.97 75
Gordon GGM €212.42 €337.24 €486.63 68
DDM Multi-Stage €212.42 €316.77 €449.55 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €212.42 €337.24 €486.63 68
DDM Multi-Stage €212.42 €316.77 €449.55 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €474.11 €632.15 €790.19 63
P/B Multiple €227.88 €303.84 €379.80 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €108.51 €145.41 €217.03 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €328.44 €399.41 €593.97 75

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 39
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 32
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 7
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 73
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 95
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 59
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 75
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+24.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.0% vs 9.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.4% a year for the price and −0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−1.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.4%

MUV2 screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with Swiss Re AG →

Note from the team Nov 6, 2026
AI conclusion: Moderate moat from organization capital and pricing power in reinsurance forms the main strength, while thin evidence on other factors and softening market conditions represent the key weakness.
Main risk: Growing inflows of alternative capital from hedge funds, family offices and insurance-linked securities could increase supply in catastrophe reinsurance and force lower prices or reduced volumes for Munich Re's property-catastrophe business.
Bull case: Munich Re could leverage its scale, data expertise and new AI-driven products like aiSure to capture demand for coverage of emerging AI and cyber risks while maintaining underwriting discipline.
Bear case: If alternative capital continues to flood the market and regulatory costs rise, Munich Re might see sustained pressure on reinsurance margins and volumes in its core property-catastrophe lines without offsetting growth in specialty areas.
Munich Re raised its 2026 profit guidance after a strong preliminary third-quarter result that benefited from solid operating performance across segments, below-average major losses and robust investment income. At the same time the reinsurance market is softening, reducing pricing power. Our models see the shares as overvalued: will the earnings momentum prove durable once loss experience normalises, or will the softer pricing environment erode margins faster than expected?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Reinsurance · 22 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −32.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 21.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 11.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 17.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 1.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Reinsurance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.26× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.22× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow 68.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.03× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)7 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)85 · sector 54
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)81 · sector 82

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Reinsurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation 1508 HK$1.24 HK$2.38 +92% vs MUV2
RenaissanceRe Holdings RNR $353.66 $559.93 +58% vs MUV2
Hamilton Insurance Group HG $37.28 $52.40 +41% vs MUV2
SiriusPoint Ltd SPNT $25.82 $34.01 +32% vs MUV2
General Insurance Corporation GICRE ₹339.25 ₹406.44 +20% vs MUV2
SCOR SE SCR €35.60 €37.12 +4% vs MUV2
Everest Group EG $421.30 $424.02 +1% vs MUV2
Reinsurance Group RGA $266.65 $198.66 −26% vs MUV2
Hannover Rück SE HNR1 €306.40 €216.20 −29% vs MUV2
Swiss Re AG SREN CHF 159.20 CHF 109.58 −31% vs MUV2

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Münchener Rück AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MUV2

Frequently asked questions

Is Münchener Rück AG (MUV2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €399.41 versus a price of €594.60, about 33% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MUV2?
Our model-based fair value for Münchener Rück AG is €399.41 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €594.60.
What is the quality score of MUV2?
Münchener Rück AG has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €399.41 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €328.44, optimistic scenario €585.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Münchener Rück AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €399.41, about 33% lower versus a price of €594.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €328.44, optimistic scenario €585.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
Münchener Rück AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €61.5B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Münchener Rück AG pay a dividend?
Münchener Rück AG currently shows a dividend yield of 4.04% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Münchener Rück AG would have to grow free cash flow by +28.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.4 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MUV2 use?
Our models discount Münchener Rück AG at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Münchener Rück AG that is +28.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Münchener Rück AG (MUV2) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Münchener Rück AG grew +3.4 % a year. The price currently implies +28.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Münchener Rück AG (+28.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.47 %: that much free cash flow Münchener Rück AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Münchener Rück AG it is €399.41 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of €594.60. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Münchener Rück AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, MUV2 trades above its calculated fair value: price €594.60, fair value €399.41, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MUV2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€594.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€399.41). For Münchener Rück AG the two are €195.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Münchener Rück AG worth?
The market values Münchener Rück AG at about €75.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is €594.60; our models calculate a fair value of €399.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MUV2?
Our models span a range for Münchener Rück AG: cautious scenario €328.44, base €399.41, optimistic €585.00 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price €594.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MUV2?
Münchener Rück AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €399.41 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 12.4. Other multiples: PEG 2.0, P/B 2.3, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 10.6.
What is the PEG ratio of MUV2?
The PEG ratio of Münchener Rück AG is 2.03 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
Balance-sheet figures for Münchener Rück AG (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 21.3%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MUV2 from its 52-week high?
Münchener Rück AG trades at €594.60, at its 52-week high of €594.60 and 35% above the low of €439.00 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €399.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Münchener Rück AG?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Swiss Re AG, Hannover Rück SE, Reinsurance Group, Everest Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Münchener Rück AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price €594.60, calculated fair value €399.41 (−33%), Quality Score 53/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MUV2 calculated?
We run Münchener Rück AG through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €399.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Münchener Rück AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was €594.60. Our model-based fair value is €399.41, about 33% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Münchener Rück AG right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2) come from?
Earnings per share at Münchener Rück AG grew +8.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.4 %, EBIT margin +6.2 %, tax rate −2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Münchener Rück AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The market capitalisation of Münchener Rück AG is €75.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Münchener Rück AG is 1.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
Earnings per share at Münchener Rück AG are €53.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The dividend yield of Münchener Rück AG is 4.0% (payout 45.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The net margin of Münchener Rück AG is 11.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Münchener Rück AG is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Münchener Rück AG is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
The operating margin of Münchener Rück AG is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
Revenue at Münchener Rück AG is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Münchener Rück AG (MUV2)?
Earnings per share at Münchener Rück AG are growing +9.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Münchener Rück AG (MUV2) carry?
The net debt of Münchener Rück AG is €1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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