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SiriusPoint Ltd (SPNT) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $2.8B

SL SiriusPoint Ltd logo SiriusPoint Ltd SPNT · US
Price$23.03
Fair Value$48.46
Upside+110.4%
Quality63/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $36.34 – $60.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $46.12 to $48.46 (+5.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −5.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 110% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($36.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$26.31 $4.16 Fair Value $48.46 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.16 – $26.31 · fair‑value band $36.34 – $60.58 · the $23.03 price screens below the $48.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

SiriusPoint Ltd (SPNT) currently trades at $23.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $48.46, implying the stock looks roughly 110.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SiriusPoint Ltd generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $42.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $36.34 (bear case) to $60.58 (bull case); at $23.03, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 96% fair-value upside, at 110%, SPNT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $25.32 $35.68 $167.68 76
Gordon GGM $1.20 $2.38 $3.61 70
P/E Multiple $38.12 $50.83 $63.54 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.20 $2.38 $3.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.20 $2.06 $2.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $38.12 $50.83 $63.54 63
P/B Multiple $22.06 $29.42 $36.77 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.51 $14.08 $21.01 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $25.32 $35.68 $167.68 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($35.68) versus Dividend Discount ($2.06). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.5%
Net margin 16.5%
Return on equity 23.1%
Free cash flow $102M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.1
More key figures
Operating margin 18.0%
EPS (TTM) $3.97
EPS growth (YoY) +67.3%
Net cash $42.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 87
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SiriusPoint Ltd. provides multi-line reinsurance and insurance products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Global P&C Programs, Global Reinsurance, Global Accident & Health, and London Market Specialty. Global P&C Programs segment offers programs space, by further strengthening its offering to clients and distribution partners globally.

Full company description

SiriusPoint Ltd. provides multi-line reinsurance and insurance products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Global P&C Programs, Global Reinsurance, Global Accident & Health, and London Market Specialty. Global P&C Programs segment offers programs space, by further strengthening its offering to clients and distribution partners globally. , Global Reinsurance segment provides casualty, property, and other specialties, such as proportional and excess of loss, treaty and facultative, aviation and space, marine and energy and, credit to insurance and reinsurance companies, government entities, and other risk bearing vehicles. London Market Specialty segment provides London casualty, energy, property, and marine leaders services. It provides accident and health, property and casualty, aviation and space, credit, surety, marine and energy, and mortgage. It offers medical insurance products, trip cancellation programs, medical management services, and 24/7 emergency medical and travel assistance services. The company was formerly known as Third Point Reinsurance Ltd. and changed its name to SiriusPoint Ltd. in February 2021. SiriusPoint Ltd. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SiriusPoint Ltd reported revenue of $3.2B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was $460M in FY2025, compounding +67.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.2B
Latest YoY
+22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+22.3%
Revenue +9.6%/yr
FY21 $2.2B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $2.7B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $3.2B
Net income +67.7%/yr
FY21 $58.1M
FY22 −$387M
FY23 $355M
FY24 $200M
FY25 $460M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SiriusPoint Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPNT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Reinsurance · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +110% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Reinsurance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 27.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 90
FUTURE 33 · sector 0
PAST 92 · sector 57
HEALTH 86 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 87

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Reinsurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
1MUV2 1MUV2 €522.60 €669.36 +28%
Swiss Re AG SREN CHF 132.60 CHF 218.88 +65%
Hannover Rück SE HNR1 €255.00 €284.58 +12%
Reinsurance Group RGA $241.79 $234.55 -3%
Everest Group EG $364.13 $522.67 +44%
RenaissanceRe Holdings RNR $314.99 $629.98 +100%
SCOR SE SDRC €33.04 €66.08 +100%
General Insurance Corporation GICRE ₹364.85 ₹715.98 +96%
China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation 1508 HK$1.37 HK$2.74 +100%
Hamilton Insurance Group HG $34.60 $69.20 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SiriusPoint Ltd (SPNT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $48.46 versus a price of $23.03, about +110% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SPNT?
Our model-based fair value for SiriusPoint Ltd is $48.46 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $23.03.
What is the quality score of SPNT?
SiriusPoint Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SiriusPoint Ltd (SPNT)?
SiriusPoint Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPNT?
The net profit margin of SiriusPoint Ltd is about 16.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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