Saputo Inc (SAP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Saputo Inc stock C$35.55, price C$40.32, that is 11.8% below the price, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$22.07 – C$44.84 · fair‑value band C$26.66 – C$44.44 · the C$40.32 price screens above the C$35.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.
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Saputo Inc. produces, markets, and distributes dairy products in Canada, the United States, Australia, Argentina, and the United Kingdom.
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The company offers a variety of cheeses comprising mozzarella and cheddar; specialty cheeses, such as ricotta, provolone, parmesan, goat cheese, feta, havarti, snacking, romano, string, blue, and soft and processed cheeses; brie and camembert fine cheeses; and other cheeses, which includes brick, colby, farmer, munster, monterey jack, and fresh curd.
It also provides fluid milk, cream, yogurt, sour cream, cottage cheese, and ice cream mixes; and other dairy and non-dairy products, such as butter and butter blends, flavored cream, dips, half and half, whipping cream, value-added beverages, creamers, coffee beverages, aerosol whipped toppings, almond and oat milk, and aseptic food products and beverages.
In addition, the company offers dairy ingredients, including milk powder, whey powder, lactose, and whey protein concentrates, as well as lactoferrin and infant formula; and distributes fine imported cheese to specialty stores, and dairy and non-dairy products manufactured by third parties.
It serves customers in the retail, foodservice, and industrial markets.
The company sells its products under the Saputo, Armstrong, Alexis de Portneuf, Bari, Cogruet, DuVillage 1860, Kingsey, Shepherd Gourmet Dairy, Stella, Woolwich Goat Dairy, Dairyland, Neilson, Nutrilait, Baxter, Scotsburn, Trutaste, Milk2Go/Lait's Go, Baileys, Heluva Good, Black Creek, Frigo, Frigo Cheese Heads, Lugano, Montchevre, Mozzeria, Saputo Gold, Treasure Cave, DairyStar, Friendship Dairies, Caboolture, CHEER, Cracker Barrel, Devondale, Great Ocean Road, Liddells, Mersey Valley, Mil Lel, Murray Goulburn Ingredients, Warrnambool, Sungold, Tasmanian Heritage, La Paulina, Molfino, Ricrem, Cathedral City, Clover, Country Life, Davidstow, Frylight, Wensleydale Creamery, Vitalite, and Sheese brands.
Saputo Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
Stock analysis
Saputo Inc (SAP) currently trades at C$40.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$35.55, 11.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$44.32 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$40.32 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$5.64, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$26.66 (bear) to C$44.44 (bull), the price of C$40.32 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Saputo Inc reported revenue of C$17.6B in FY2026 versus C$15.0B in FY2022, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was C$672M in FY2026, compounding +25.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap C$16.6B (≈ $11.9B) Large · P/E ratio 23.6 · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) C$1.71 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −12%, SAP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$26.66Fair Value C$35.55BullC$44.44
Price C$40.32 · Downside -11.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.5444 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.8% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −4.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.4% vs 0.6%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 54% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.4% a year for the price and −0.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (79 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: The main strength is the push into higher-value whey proteins via a dedicated ingredients division, while the main weak point is the heavy tie to traditional cheese and milk volumes with low margins and returns.
Main risk: Softness in the core cheese and milk volumes could prevent margin gains from the ingredients shift and leave overall profitability subdued.
Saputo is building a dedicated ingredients division to push harder into higher-value whey proteins and other dairy components while selling its UK dairy business. The move targets surging global protein demand and industry shortages, but the bulk of operations remains tied to more traditional cheese and milk volumes. Will the shift to ingredients lift margins enough to make up for any softness in the core dairy segments?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 624 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−11.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.4% · Above median
Return on assets4.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saputo Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAP.TO
Frequently asked questions
Is Saputo Inc (SAP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$35.55 versus a price of C$40.32, about 12% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SAP?
Our model-based fair value for Saputo Inc is C$35.55 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$40.32.
What is the quality score of SAP?
Saputo Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saputo Inc (SAP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$35.55 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$26.66, optimistic scenario C$44.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saputo Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$35.55, about 12% lower versus a price of C$40.32 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$26.66, optimistic scenario C$44.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
Saputo Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$17.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
Does Saputo Inc pay a dividend?
Saputo Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Saputo Inc (SAP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Saputo Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.2 % per year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SAP use?
Our models discount Saputo Inc at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Saputo Inc that is +0.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Saputo Inc (SAP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Saputo Inc grew +4.2 % a year. The price currently implies +0.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Saputo Inc (SAP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Saputo Inc (+0.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.08 %: that much free cash flow Saputo Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saputo Inc it is C$35.55 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of C$40.32. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Saputo Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, SAP trades above its calculated fair value: price C$40.32, fair value C$35.55, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$40.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$35.55). For Saputo Inc the two are C$4.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Saputo Inc worth?
The market values Saputo Inc at about C$16.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is C$40.32; our models calculate a fair value of C$35.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAP?
Our models span a range for Saputo Inc: cautious scenario C$26.66, base C$35.55, optimistic C$44.44 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price C$40.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SAP?
Saputo Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.6 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$35.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.8, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 8.2.
What is the PEG ratio of SAP?
The PEG ratio of Saputo Inc is 0.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 1, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Saputo Inc (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAP from its 52-week high?
Saputo Inc trades at C$40.32, about 10% below its 52-week high of C$44.84 and 23% above the low of C$32.83 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$35.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Saputo Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Saputo Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price C$40.32, calculated fair value C$35.55 (−12%), Quality Score 69/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAP calculated?
We run Saputo Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$35.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Saputo Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was C$40.32. Our model-based fair value is C$35.55, about 12% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Saputo Inc right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Saputo Inc (SAP) come from?
Earnings per share at Saputo Inc grew −4.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Saputo Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The market capitalisation of Saputo Inc is C$16.6B (≈ $11.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Saputo Inc is 0.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
Earnings per share at Saputo Inc are C$1.71 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The dividend yield of Saputo Inc is 2.0% (payout 46.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The net margin of Saputo Inc is 2.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Saputo Inc is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saputo Inc is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Saputo Inc (SAP)?
The operating margin of Saputo Inc is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Saputo Inc (SAP)?
Revenue at Saputo Inc is growing +1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Saputo Inc (SAP)?
Earnings per share at Saputo Inc are growing −98.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Saputo Inc (SAP) carry?
The net debt of Saputo Inc is C$2.8B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 1, 2026