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State Street Corp (STT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of State Street Corp stock $139, price $165, that is 15.7% below the price, quality 76 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

SS State Street Corp logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

State Street Corp

STT · US
Strong quality, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 16% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 76/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.4 %/yr in USD)
Highly profitable · 23.8% net margin (TTM)
2.1% dividend yield · Low payout
Wide moat 69/100
Positive coverage
Profit last quarter +33% vs. a year ago.
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Insiders sold $14.1M (6M)
Some data
Fair value $139.37 · Overvalued (−15.7%)

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩New ETF issuers eroding market share🚩Fintech and bank rivals in RIA custody
Watch State Street Corp for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$193.24 $52.25 Fair Value $139.37 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $52.25 – $193.24 · fair‑value band $104.53 – $174.21 · the $165.23 price screens above the $139.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

State Street Corporation provides various financial products and services to institutional investors.

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It offers custody, accounting, and fund administration services for traditional and alternative assets, as well as multi-asset class investments; recordkeeping, client reporting, and investment book of record, transaction management, loans, cash, derivatives, and collateral services; investor services operations outsourcing; performance, risk, and compliance analytics; financial data management to support institutional investors; foreign exchange, brokerage, and other trading services; securities finance, such as prime services products; and deposit and short-term investment facilities.

The company also provides the State Street Alpha platform that combines portfolio management, trading and execution, analytics and compliance tools, and advanced data aggregation and integration with other industry platforms and providers; front-office technology that automates and simplifies the institutional investment process comprising portfolio management and risk analytics, trading, and post-trade settlement with integrated compliance and managed data; investment management solutions; and portfolio management, trading compliance, and manager/sponsor communication.

In addition, it offers investment management solutions, such as strategies across equity, fixed income, cash, multi-asset, and alternatives; and ETFs, custom indexed, managed funds, and mandates.

The company provides its products and services to mutual funds, collective investment funds and other investment pools, corporate and public retirement plans, insurance companies, wealth managers, investment managers, foundations, and endowments.

The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

State Street Corp (STT) currently trades at $165.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $139.37, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $462.52 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $165.23 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $45.72, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $104.53 (bear) to $174.21 (bull), the price of $165.23 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

State Street Corp reported revenue of $22.6B in FY2025 versus $12.0B in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.9B in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $46.7B Large · P/E ratio 13.5 · P/S ratio 3.02 · EPS (TTM) $12.24 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 23.8% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −16%, STT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $104.53 Fair Value $139.37 Bull $174.21
Price $165.23 · Downside -15.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($7.47 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Growth DCF $514.26 $685.97 $910.20 79
Owner Earnings $378.13 $511.07 $696.05 77
Residual Income $87.78 $96.66 $118.53 76
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $378.13 $511.07 $696.05 77
5Y P/E Exit $314.24 $382.03 $449.20 72
10Y P/E Exit $387.37 $462.52 $547.03 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $72.90 $224.74 $298.62 65
Lynch FV $48.55 $69.36 $90.17 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $33.77 $63.95 $92.06 67
DDM Multi-Stage $33.77 $53.47 $67.93 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $104.53 $139.37 $174.21 63
P/B Multiple $71.66 $95.54 $119.43 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.12 $45.72 $68.24 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $514.26 $685.97 $910.20 79
Rev-Margin DCF $324.68 $407.97 $502.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $87.78 $96.66 $118.53 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 27
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 81
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 78
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 54
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 60
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 75
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $14.1M and none bought.

  • SaleW. Bradford HuEVP and Chief Risk Officer3× since May 26, 2026: 26,069 shares, avg. $169.89$4.4MOct 26, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleHanley Ronald P OChairman, CEO and President, Director4× since Mar 2, 2026: 72,767 shares, avg. $151.10$11.0MOct 20, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleElizabeth SchaeferSVP, Chief Accounting Officer2× since May 13, 2026: 1,000 shares, avg. $166.03$166,030Aug 3, 2026
  • SaleKathryn M HorganExecutive Vice President4× since Nov 28, 2025: 22,375 shares, avg. $147.79$3.3MJul 21, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleMichael L RichardsEVP and Chief Admin Officer3× since Feb 24, 2026: 7,000 shares, avg. $146.38$1.0MJun 8, 2026
  • SaleMostapha TahiriEVP and COO9,611 shares at $152.93$1.5MApr 22, 2026
  • SaleJohn PlanskyExecutive Vice President16,100 shares at $124.32$2.0MMar 11, 2026
  • BuyBrian J. PorterDirector2,500 shares at $124.99$312,475Mar 5, 2026
  • SaleJoerg AmbrosiusExecutive Vice President8,765 shares at $128.00$1.1MFeb 23, 2026

Plus 23 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.5% vs 7.8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 17%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

STT screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: State Street benefits from scale in institutional custody and services yet shows thin differentiation with limited signals of durable advantage.
Main risk: A surge in new ETF issuers has reduced the big three's share of industry inflows from around 80 percent to 55 percent, which could shrink assets in State Street's SPDR ETFs and pressure fees.
Bull case: By combining its institutional custody scale with digital tools and tokenization partnerships State Street could win new ETF and custody mandates from both institutions and expanding retail channels.
Bear case: Sustained inflows to lower-cost or niche ETFs from dozens of new issuers could erode State Street's ETF franchise and limit its ability to expand beyond core institutional custody.
State Street's low-cost S&P 500 ETF serves as the automatic default for the new Treasury program that has opened accounts for nearly 70 million children. This funnels fresh assets into one of its products and could build ties with future individual savers. Yet the company's strength has always been custody and services for large institutions. Will the added retail exposure expand its ETF franchise more than it pulls focus from that institutional core?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 593 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −15.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 13.1% · Above median
Return on assets 0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 23.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 34.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 13.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.90× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 13.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.68× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.02× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 10.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.67× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)67 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)52 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)55 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)42 · sector 81

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.35 €139.37 +90% vs STT
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $164.82 $281.42 +71% vs STT
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $117.27 $197.52 +68% vs STT
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $509.32 $609.56 +20% vs STT
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.72 $99.35 −26% vs STT
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $171.39 $123.42 −28% vs STT
Principal Financial Group PFG $112.82 $52.47 −53% vs STT
Blackstone Inc BX $119.82 $52.29 −56% vs STT
Brookfield Corporation BN $41.76 $13.42 −68% vs STT
KKR & Co KKR $98.30 $27.32 −72% vs STT

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State Street Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "State Street Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STT

Frequently asked questions

Is State Street Corp (STT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $139.37 versus a price of $165.23, about 16% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STT?
Our model-based fair value for State Street Corp is $139.37 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $165.23.
What is the quality score of STT?
State Street Corp has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for State Street Corp (STT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $139.37 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $104.53, optimistic scenario $174.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the State Street Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $139.37, about 16% lower versus a price of $165.23 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $104.53, optimistic scenario $174.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of State Street Corp (STT)?
State Street Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.5B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does State Street Corp pay a dividend?
State Street Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of State Street Corp (STT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For State Street Corp it is $139.37 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $165.23. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is State Street Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, STT trades above its calculated fair value: price $165.23, fair value $139.37, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($165.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($139.37). For State Street Corp the two are $25.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is State Street Corp worth?
The market values State Street Corp at about $46.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $165.23; our models calculate a fair value of $139.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STT?
Our models span a range for State Street Corp: cautious scenario $104.53, base $139.37, optimistic $174.21 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $165.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STT?
State Street Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $139.37 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.5. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.7, P/S 3.0.
What is the PEG ratio of STT?
The PEG ratio of State Street Corp is 0.67 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of State Street Corp (STT)?
Balance-sheet figures for State Street Corp (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 76/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STT from its 52-week high?
State Street Corp trades at $165.23, about 14% below its 52-week high of $193.24 and 50% above the low of $110.23 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $139.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to State Street Corp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is State Street Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $165.23, calculated fair value $139.37 (−16%), Quality Score 76/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STT calculated?
We run State Street Corp through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $139.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. State Street Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of State Street Corp (STT)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $165.23. Our model-based fair value is $139.37, about 16% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with State Street Corp right now?
A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of State Street Corp (STT) come from?
Earnings per share at State Street Corp grew +5.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.5 %, EBIT margin −3.9 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of State Street Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of State Street Corp (STT)?
The market capitalisation of State Street Corp is $46.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of State Street Corp (STT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of State Street Corp is 3.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of State Street Corp (STT)?
Earnings per share at State Street Corp are $12.24 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of State Street Corp (STT)?
The dividend yield of State Street Corp is 2.1% (payout 28.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of State Street Corp (STT)?
The net margin of State Street Corp is 23.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of State Street Corp (STT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of State Street Corp is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of State Street Corp (STT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of State Street Corp is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of State Street Corp (STT)?
The operating margin of State Street Corp is 34.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at State Street Corp (STT)?
Revenue at State Street Corp is growing +13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at State Street Corp (STT)?
Earnings per share at State Street Corp are growing +32.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does State Street Corp (STT) generate?
The free cash flow of State Street Corp is $4.3B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does State Street Corp (STT) hold?
State Street Corp holds more cash than debt, $102B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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