Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yaskawa Electric Corp stock $22.06, price $44.42, that is 50.3% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $35.56 – $103.39 · fair‑value band $12.47 – $33.97 · the $44.42 price screens above the $22.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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YASKAWA Electric Corporation engages in motion control, robotics, and system engineering businesses worldwide.
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It offers rotary servo motors, direct drive motors, linear motors/linear sliders, machine controllers, positioning sensor encoders, and servo amplifiers for use in industrial robots, semiconductor manufacturing apparatus, machine tools, flat panel display manufacturing equipment, and metal working machines; and arc and spot welding, handling/assembling, collaborative, biomedical, palletizing, press handling, sealing/cutting/laser machining, deburring, painting, glass substrates transfer, and semiconductor wafer transfer robots for use in semiconductor wafer conveyance, arc welding, spot welding, handling, assembly, and palletizing applications.
The company also manufactures and sells various AC drives, including general purpose AC drives, specific purpose AC drives, AC Drive for systems, regenerative energy saving units, and PM motors for use in household appliances, such as air conditioners and refrigerators; social infrastructures comprising elevators, escalators, trains, cranes, fans, and pumps; and factories that manufacture printing machinery, textile machinery, rubber machinery, and other materials.
In addition, it provides industrial system electrical products, such as medium-voltage AC drives, system use AC drives, and system controllers for use in iron and steel systems, water and wastewater treatment, crane, and paper-making/film/port cargo handling/fiber/printing applications.
Further, the company offers equipment for energy saving and creation comprising PV inverters, control equipment for small-scale power generation, and motor drive systems for use in photovoltaic power generation and electric vehicles.
The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Kitakyushu, Japan.
Stock analysis
Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) currently trades at $44.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.06, 50% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $36.84 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the $44.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.96, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $12.47 (bear) to $33.97 (bull), the price of $44.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Yaskawa Electric Corp reported revenue of ¥566B in FY2026 versus ¥479B in FY2022, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥36.8B in FY2026, compounding −1.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $6.0B Mid · P/E ratio 25.1 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) $1.77 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 40 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −50%, YASKY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$12.47Fair Value $22.06Bull$33.97
Price $44.42 · Downside -50.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.23 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.4% vs 5.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+52.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +49.6% a year for the price and +4.8% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Motion control and automation focus positions the company to capture data center and robotics demand, yet modest margins and lack of a clear moat point to average competitive standing.
Main risk: Repeated disruptions during scaling of output would hit the conversion of the order backlog into sustained earnings growth.
Yaskawa is accelerating production to work through a rising order backlog driven by data center and robotics demand after a core system migration caused temporary shortfalls in the first half. The motion control and automation focus positions the company for longer-term industrial shifts, yet scaling output without repeated disruptions will determine results. Will the backlog convert cleanly into sustained earnings growth, or will integration challenges continue to cap margins?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 564 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−50.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.6% · Above median
Return on assets4.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)6.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)9.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yaskawa Electric Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YASKY
Frequently asked questions
Is Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.06 versus a price of $44.42, about 50% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YASKY?
Our model-based fair value for Yaskawa Electric Corp is $22.06 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $44.42.
What is the quality score of YASKY?
Yaskawa Electric Corp has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.06 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.47, optimistic scenario $33.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yaskawa Electric Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.06, about 50% lower versus a price of $44.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $12.47, optimistic scenario $33.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
Yaskawa Electric Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥568B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Yaskawa Electric Corp pay a dividend?
Yaskawa Electric Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 0.82% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Yaskawa Electric Corp has a dividend yield of 0.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Feb 27, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2013. The payout ratio is 50.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.34 times. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.8% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.8% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What growth is priced into Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yaskawa Electric Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +52.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.8 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of YASKY use?
Our models discount Yaskawa Electric Corp at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yaskawa Electric Corp that is +52.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yaskawa Electric Corp grew +7.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +52.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yaskawa Electric Corp (+52.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.68 %: that much free cash flow Yaskawa Electric Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yaskawa Electric Corp it is $22.06 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $44.42. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Yaskawa Electric Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, YASKY trades above its calculated fair value: price $44.42, fair value $22.06, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YASKY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($44.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.06). For Yaskawa Electric Corp the two are $22.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yaskawa Electric Corp worth?
The market values Yaskawa Electric Corp at about $6.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $44.42; our models calculate a fair value of $22.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YASKY?
Our models span a range for Yaskawa Electric Corp: cautious scenario $12.47, base $22.06, optimistic $33.97 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $44.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of YASKY?
Yaskawa Electric Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.1 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.06 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 31.0. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 2.0, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 13.8.
What is the PEG ratio of YASKY?
The PEG ratio of Yaskawa Electric Corp is 1.59 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yaskawa Electric Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 7.6%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YASKY from its 52-week high?
Yaskawa Electric Corp trades at $44.42, about 54% below its 52-week high of $95.58 and at the low of $44.28 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yaskawa Electric Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yaskawa Electric Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $44.42, calculated fair value $22.06 (−50%), Quality Score 50/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YASKY calculated?
We run Yaskawa Electric Corp through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $22.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Yaskawa Electric Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $44.42. Our model-based fair value is $22.06, about 50% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yaskawa Electric Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($33.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($12.47 to $33.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) come from?
Earnings per share at Yaskawa Electric Corp grew +9.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin +2.0 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Yaskawa Electric Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The market capitalisation of Yaskawa Electric Corp is $6.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yaskawa Electric Corp is 1.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
Earnings per share at Yaskawa Electric Corp are $1.77 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The dividend yield of Yaskawa Electric Corp is 0.8% (payout 20.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The net margin of Yaskawa Electric Corp is 6.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yaskawa Electric Corp is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yaskawa Electric Corp is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
The operating margin of Yaskawa Electric Corp is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
Revenue at Yaskawa Electric Corp is growing +9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY)?
Earnings per share at Yaskawa Electric Corp are growing +19.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY) carry?
The net debt of Yaskawa Electric Corp is ¥63.8B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 10.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026