China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd stock HK$1.61, price HK$0.87, upside +85.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.5499 – HK$1.96 · fair‑value band HK$1.21 – HK$2.02 · the HK$0.8700 price screens below the HK$1.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, manages, invests in, and disposes financial and non-financial institution distressed assets in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally.
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The company operates in two segments, Distressed Asset Management Business and Financial Services Business.
It is also involved in receivership; foreign investment; securities and futures dealing; financial bond issuance; inter-bank borrowing and lending; commercial financing for other financial institutions; approved asset securitization business; financial institutions custody; and closing and liquidation of business.
The company also engages in consulting and advisory business on finance, investment, and legal and risk management; asset and project evaluation; banking business; fund management; asset management; trust; financial leasing; and real estate and industrial investments and other businesses.
In addition, it is involved in cross-border securities brokerage, financial product trading, debt issuing, investment banking and holding, real estate development, commercial banking, hotel management, and aircraft leasing activities.
The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) currently trades at HK$0.8700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.61, implying the stock looks roughly 46% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$3.99 per share, and 4 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.8700 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.6600, and 2 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.21 (bear) to HK$2.02 (bull), the price of HK$0.8700 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd reported revenue of 40.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 52.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 3.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −26.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$33.2B (≈ $4.2B) Mid · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.39 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 8.6% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 26.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 85%, 1359 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$1.21Fair Value HK$1.61BullHK$2.02
Price HK$0.8700 · Upside +85.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+60.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.9% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−23.3% vs −13.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.88% → 45%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (18 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Compare China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 634 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+85.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)16.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)26.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−37.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity4.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)16.2× · Pricier than median
P/B0.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)2.31× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA57.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)64· sector 75
HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1359
Frequently asked questions
Is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.61 versus a price of HK$0.8700, about +85% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1359?
Our model-based fair value for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is HK$1.61 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.8700.
What is the quality score of 1359?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.61 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$2.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.61, about +85% upside versus a price of HK$0.8700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$2.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.22% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) and when is the ex-dividend date?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.028 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 3, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2015. The payout ratio is 69.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What is the intrinsic value of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd it is HK$1.61 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of HK$0.8700. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, 1359 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.8700, fair value HK$1.61, a gap of about +85% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1359?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.8700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.61). For China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd the two are HK$0.7400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd at about HK$33.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.8700; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1359?
Our models span a range for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.21, base HK$1.61, optimistic HK$2.02 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price HK$0.8700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1359?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 57.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity −0.1%, debt of 4.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1359 from its 52-week high?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd trades at HK$0.8700, about 37% below its 52-week high of HK$1.37 and 4% above the low of HK$0.8400 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, SK Square Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price HK$0.8700, calculated fair value HK$1.61 (+85%), Quality Score 44/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1359 calculated?
We run China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$1.61 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd currently trades 46% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.8700. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.61, about +85% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.21). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) come from?
Earnings per share at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd fell 14.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −7.8 %, EBIT margin +0.3 %, tax rate +3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −10.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The market capitalisation of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is HK$33.2B (≈ $4.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 1.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The dividend yield of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 3.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The net margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 8.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The operating margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 26.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Revenue at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is down 37.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Earnings per share at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd are down 85.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) generate?
The free cash flow of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is −32.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) carry?
The net debt of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 888B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 11, 2026