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China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd HK$1.76, price HK$0.91, upside +94.5%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · HK · Home China · ISIN CNE100001QS1

CC China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd

1359 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$1.76 · Strongly undervalued (+94.5%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.7% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!3.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.96 HK$0.5499 Fair Value HK$1.76 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5499 – HK$1.96 · fair‑value band HK$1.32 – HK$2.20 · the HK$0.9050 price screens below the HK$1.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, manages, invests in, and disposes financial and non-financial institution distressed assets in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Distressed Asset Management Business and Financial Services Business.

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China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, manages, invests in, and disposes financial and non-financial institution distressed assets in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Distressed Asset Management Business and Financial Services Business. It is also involved in receivership; foreign investment; securities and futures dealing; financial bond issuance; inter-bank borrowing and lending; commercial financing for other financial institutions; approved asset securitization business; financial institutions custody; and closing and liquidation of business. The company also engages in consulting and advisory business on finance, investment, and legal and risk management; asset and project evaluation; banking business; fund management; asset management; trust; financial leasing; and real estate and industrial investments and other businesses. In addition, it is involved in cross-border securities brokerage, financial product trading, debt issuing, investment banking and holding, real estate development, commercial banking, hotel management, and aircraft leasing activities. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) currently trades at HK$0.9050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.76, implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$1.32 (bear) to HK$2.20 (bull), the price of HK$0.9050 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd reported revenue of 40.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 52.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 3.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −26.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$34.5B (≈ $4.4B) · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.39 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 8.6% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 14.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 94%, 1359 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.32 Fair Value HK$1.76 Bull HK$2.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple HK$3.83 HK$5.11 HK$6.38 55
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.00 HK$4.02 HK$6.01 53
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple HK$3.83 HK$5.11 HK$6.38 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.00 HK$4.02 HK$6.01 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+60.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.9% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−23.3% vs −13.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.88% → 45%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 661 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +94.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 16.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 14.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −39.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 4.67× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.40× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 57.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 57
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)62 · sector 82

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $118.42 $52.29 −56%
KKR & Co KKR $96.67 $29.26 −70%
Brookfield Corporation BN $36.87 $13.45 −64%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $121.69 $197.23 +62%
State Street Corporation STT $181.34 $139.37 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $493.00 $595.40 +21%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $122.01 $103.68 −15%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $175.73 $123.42 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $161.16 $317.27 +97%
Exor N.V EXO €70.55 €139.37 +98%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1359

Frequently asked questions

Is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.76 versus a price of HK$0.9050, about +94% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1359?
Our model-based fair value for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is HK$1.76 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9050.
What is the quality score of 1359?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.76 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.32, optimistic scenario HK$2.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.76, about +94% upside versus a price of HK$0.9050 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.32, optimistic scenario HK$2.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd it is HK$1.76 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9050. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1359 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9050, fair value HK$1.76, a gap of about +94% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1359?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.76). For China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd the two are HK$0.8550 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd at about HK$34.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9050; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1359?
Our models span a range for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.32, base HK$1.76, optimistic HK$2.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.9050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1359?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 57.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −0.1%, debt of 4.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1359 from its 52-week high?
China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd trades at HK$0.9050, about 34% below its 52-week high of HK$1.37 and 3% above the low of HK$0.8750 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.9050, calculated fair value HK$1.76 (+94%), Quality Score 40/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1359 calculated?
We run China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.9050. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.76, about +94% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) come from?
Earnings per share at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd grew −14.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −7.8 %, EBIT margin +0.3 %, tax rate +3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −10.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The market capitalisation of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is HK$34.5B (≈ $4.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 1.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The dividend yield of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The net margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 8.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
The operating margin of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Revenue at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is growing −39.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359)?
Earnings per share at China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd are growing −85.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) generate?
The free cash flow of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is −32.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd (1359) carry?
The net debt of China Cinda Asset Mgmt Co Ltd is 888B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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