China Cinda Asset Management Co (1359) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$37.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.80 to HK$1.85 (+2.8%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −4.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 102% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.5688 – HK$2.03 · fair‑value band HK$1.39 – HK$2.31 · the HK$0.9150 price screens below the HK$1.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Cinda Asset Management Co (1359) currently trades at HK$0.9150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.85, implying the stock looks roughly 102.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Cinda Asset Management Co generated revenue of HK$27.0B at a net margin of 13.2%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at HK$888B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.39 (bear case) to HK$2.31 (bull case); at HK$0.9150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 102%, 1359 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$4.36) versus Asset-Based (HK$3.44). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, manages, invests in, and disposes financial and non-financial institution distressed assets in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Distressed Asset Management Business and Financial Services Business.
Full company description
China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, manages, invests in, and disposes financial and non-financial institution distressed assets in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Distressed Asset Management Business and Financial Services Business. It is also involved in receivership; foreign investment; securities and futures dealing; financial bond issuance; inter-bank borrowing and lending; commercial financing for other financial institutions; approved asset securitization business; financial institutions custody; and closing and liquidation of business. The company also engages in consulting and advisory business on finance, investment, and legal and risk management; asset and project evaluation; banking business; fund management; asset management; trust; financial leasing; and real estate and industrial investments and other businesses. In addition, it is involved in cross-border securities brokerage, financial product trading, debt issuing, investment banking and holding, real estate development, commercial banking, hotel management, and aircraft leasing activities. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Cinda Asset Management Co reported revenue of HK$40.3B in FY2025 versus HK$52.5B in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.5B in FY2025, compounding −26.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −5.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 692 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,161 | $465.75 | -60% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $146.41 | $52.88 | -64% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.90 | kr 835.80 | +100% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 544.00 | kr 375.93 | -31% |
| ICICIAMC ICICIAMC | ₹3,077 | ₹1,132 | -63% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹256.05 | ₹171.84 | -33% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 321.44 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹11,579 | ₹11,257 | -3% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,490 | ₹866.78 | -65% |
| Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA | ₹1,182 | ₹311.00 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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