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Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd stock ¥5.50, price ¥18.05, that is 69.5% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE1000040X8

CD Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 11, 2026

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd

300846 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 70% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 46/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.2 %/yr in CNY)
Fair value ¥5.50 · Strongly overvalued
Loss-making · -4.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/12)
Narrow moat 11/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥37.80 ¥8.19 Fair Value ¥5.50 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.19 – ¥37.80 · fair‑value band ¥4.11 – ¥6.89 · the ¥18.05 price screens above the ¥5.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Capitalonline Data Service Co., Ltd. provides cloud hosts and bare metal products in China, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides cloud services, communication network services, IDC services, and general computing and intelligent computing services.

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It offers global dedicated internet services; premium internet routing; BGP IP transit; mirror hosting; and ChinaEdge, an internet content provider services; and internet content provider services.

In addition, the company provides Vmware cloud services, such as cloud migration services, compute, database as a service, dedicated private cloud, disaster recovery as a service, hosted private cloud, hybrid cloud, infrastructure as a service, managed network, platform as a service, software as a service, and VMware Horizon DaaS services; enterprise bare metal services; and colocation services.

In addition, it offers global private network and enhanced internet services, as well as MaaS platform and AIInfra Platform. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846) currently trades at ¥18.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.50, 70% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥4.11 (bear) to ¥6.89 (bull), the price of ¥18.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −170M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B) Small · P/S ratio 7.15 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −4.9% · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at −70%, 300846 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥4.11 Fair Value ¥5.50 Bull ¥6.89
Price ¥18.05 · Downside -69.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA ¥4.11 ¥5.50 ¥6.89 67
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5500 ¥0.7300 ¥1.09 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥4.11 ¥5.50 ¥6.89 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5500 ¥0.7300 ¥1.09 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 11
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 19
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 72
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 16
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 66
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 9/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.4% (2020) → −9.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300846 screens overvalued: fair value 70% below the price. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 518 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −8.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 11.55× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 7.17× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 64.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $64.43 $139.68 +117% vs 300846
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹197.99 ₹287.86 +45% vs 300846
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,155 ₹1,655 +43% vs 300846
Accenture plc ACN $253.66 $332.90 +31% vs 300846
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,472 ₹2,993 +21% vs 300846
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,395 ₹1,602 +15% vs 300846
Amadeus IT Group AMS €62.30 €68.53 +10% vs 300846
CDW Corporation CDW $173.08 $165.54 −4% vs 300846
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR $192.85 $161.18 −16% vs 300846
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $248.22 $185.39 −25% vs 300846

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Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300846

Frequently asked questions

Is Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.50 versus a price of ¥18.05, about 70% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300846?
Our model-based fair value for Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is ¥5.50 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.05.
What is the quality score of 300846?
Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.50 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.11, optimistic scenario ¥6.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.50, about 70% lower versus a price of ¥18.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.11, optimistic scenario ¥6.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.1%.
What is the intrinsic value of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd it is ¥5.50 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of ¥18.05. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, 300846 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥18.05, fair value ¥5.50, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300846?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥18.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.50). For Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd the two are ¥12.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd worth?
The market values Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd at about 9.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is ¥18.05; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300846?
Our models span a range for Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.11, base ¥5.50, optimistic ¥6.89 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price ¥18.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Balance-sheet figures for Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity −6.7%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300846 from its 52-week high?
Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd trades at ¥18.05, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥37.80 and 20% above the low of ¥15.06 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price ¥18.05, calculated fair value ¥5.50 (−70%), Quality Score 46/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300846 calculated?
We run Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥5.50 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was ¥18.05. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.50, about 70% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
The market capitalisation of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is 7.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Earnings per share at Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd are ¥−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
The dividend yield of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
The net margin of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is −4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is −5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
The operating margin of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Revenue at Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846)?
Earnings per share at Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd are growing +29.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846) generate?
The free cash flow of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is −204M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd (300846) carry?
The net debt of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd is 36.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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