Capitalonline Data Service Co (300846) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 11.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥3.97 to ¥5.53 (+39.3%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −3.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.19 – ¥37.80 · fair‑value band ¥4.13 – ¥6.93 · the ¥20.63 price screens above the ¥5.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Capitalonline Data Service Co (300846) currently trades at ¥20.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.53, implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Capitalonline Data Service Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of -11.8%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.7%. Net debt stands at 36.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.13 (bear case) to ¥6.93 (bull case); at ¥20.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -73%, 300846 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥6.16) versus Asset-Based (¥1.05). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Capitalonline Data Service Co., Ltd. provides cloud hosts and bare metal products in China, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides cloud services, communication network services, IDC services, and general computing and intelligent computing services.
Full company description
Capitalonline Data Service Co., Ltd. provides cloud hosts and bare metal products in China, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides cloud services, communication network services, IDC services, and general computing and intelligent computing services. It offers global dedicated internet services; premium internet routing; BGP IP transit; mirror hosting; and ChinaEdge, an internet content provider services; and internet content provider services. In addition, the company provides Vmware cloud services, such as cloud migration services, compute, database as a service, dedicated private cloud, disaster recovery as a service, hosted private cloud, hybrid cloud, infrastructure as a service, managed network, platform as a service, software as a service, and VMware Horizon DaaS services; enterprise bare metal services; and colocation services. In addition, it offers global private network and enhanced internet services, as well as MaaS platform and AIInfra Platform. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Capitalonline Data Service Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥170M in FY2025.
300846 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 488 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.98 | $175.76 | -26% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 300.07 MXN | -88% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,350 | ₹3,473 | +48% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,176 | ₹1,998 | +70% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,365 | ₹1,722 | +26% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹183.94 | ₹314.26 | +71% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,625 | ₹1,521 | -6% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 235,500 KRW | 235,321 KRW | -0% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,474 | ₹3,259 | -40% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 433,000 KRW | 186,323 KRW | -57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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