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Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aligos Therapeutics Inc stock $8.79, price $4.07, upside +116.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Healthcare US

AT Aligos Therapeutics Inc logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Aligos Therapeutics Inc

ALGS · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 54% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $8.79 · Strongly undervalued
Revenue last quarter +28% vs. a year ago.
Quality 43/100
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −46.0 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$442.25 $3.99 Fair Value $8.79 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.99 – $442.25 · fair‑value band $5.80 – $10.99 · the $4.07 price screens below the $8.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Aligos Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of novel therapeutics to address unmet medical needs in liver and viral diseases.

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Its drug candidate, ALG-055009, a small molecule THR-ß agonist that is in the Phase 2a clinical trial for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and obesity.

The company also develops pevifoscorvir sodium, a capsid assembly modulator, which is in Phase 2 B clinical trial; and ALG-097558, a small molecule ritonavir-free pan-coronavirus protease inhibitor which has completed a Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of coronavirus.

The company has entered into license and research collaboration agreement with Emory University; and Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. Aligos Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Stock analysis

Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS) currently trades at $4.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.79, implying the stock looks roughly 54% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $5.80 (bear) to $10.99 (bull), the price of $4.07 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Aligos Therapeutics Inc reported revenue of $2.2M in FY2025 versus $4.4M in FY2021, a compound −15.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$24.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $42.5M Micro · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) $−6.46 · Return on equity −114% · Return on assets (EBIT) −81.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −6.8% · Revenue growth (YoY) +27.8% · Free cash flow −$82.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 116%, ALGS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.80 Fair Value $8.79 Bull $10.99
Price $4.07 · Upside +116.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $5.80 $8.79 $10.99 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.80 $8.79 $10.99 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 65
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 3
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 62
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−44.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−46.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,943.8% (2021) → −4,024.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 558 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +116.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −27.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −6.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 27.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.79× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.35× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 22

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Incyte Corporation INCY $119.65 $199.23 +67% vs ALGS
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $904.35 $1,275 +41% vs ALGS
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.09 $601.80 +10% vs ALGS
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,516,000 KRW 1,667,600 KRW +10% vs ALGS
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 3,527 kr 3,880 +10% vs ALGS
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$47.62 HK$52.38 +10% vs ALGS
argenx SE ARGX $927.21 $908.40 −2% vs ALGS
CSL Limited CSL A$200.77 A$183.04 −9% vs ALGS
Celltrion, Inc 068270 211,000 KRW 74,945 KRW −64% vs ALGS
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $67.30 $19.01 −72% vs ALGS

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Aligos Therapeutics Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aligos Therapeutics Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALGS

Frequently asked questions

Is Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.79 versus a price of $4.07, about +116% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALGS?
Our model-based fair value for Aligos Therapeutics Inc is $8.79 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.07.
What is the quality score of ALGS?
Aligos Therapeutics Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.79 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.80, optimistic scenario $10.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aligos Therapeutics Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.79, about +116% upside versus a price of $4.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.80, optimistic scenario $10.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aligos Therapeutics Inc it is $8.79 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $4.07. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Aligos Therapeutics Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, ALGS trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.07, fair value $8.79, a gap of about +116% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.79). For Aligos Therapeutics Inc the two are $4.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aligos Therapeutics Inc worth?
The market values Aligos Therapeutics Inc at about $42.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $4.07; our models calculate a fair value of $8.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALGS?
Our models span a range for Aligos Therapeutics Inc: cautious scenario $5.80, base $8.79, optimistic $10.99 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $4.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aligos Therapeutics Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −113.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALGS from its 52-week high?
Aligos Therapeutics Inc trades at $4.07, about 69% below its 52-week high of $13.30 and at the low of $4.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aligos Therapeutics Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, CSL Limited, argenx SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aligos Therapeutics Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $4.07, calculated fair value $8.79 (+116%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALGS calculated?
We run Aligos Therapeutics Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $8.79 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Aligos Therapeutics Inc currently trades 54% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $4.07. Our model-based fair value is $8.79, about +116% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aligos Therapeutics Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($5.80 to $10.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Aligos Therapeutics Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
The market capitalisation of Aligos Therapeutics Inc is $42.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aligos Therapeutics Inc is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
Earnings per share at Aligos Therapeutics Inc are $−6.46. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aligos Therapeutics Inc is −114% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aligos Therapeutics Inc is −81.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
The operating margin of Aligos Therapeutics Inc is −6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS)?
Revenue at Aligos Therapeutics Inc is growing +27.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −46.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS) generate?
The free cash flow of Aligos Therapeutics Inc is −$82.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Aligos Therapeutics Inc (ALGS) hold?
Aligos Therapeutics Inc holds more cash than debt, $13.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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