Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ashmore Group Plc stock £1.47, price £2.09, that is 29.7% below the price, quality 73 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.15 – £2.65 · fair‑value band £1.37 – £1.62 · the £2.09 price screens above the £1.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Ashmore Group plc is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to retail and institutional clients. It manages separate client-focused equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds for its clients.
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It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets in emerging markets across the globe.
The firm focuses on a number of investment themes including external debt, local currency, corporate debt, blended debt, alternatives (which include special situations, real estate and infrastructure) equities Overlay/Liquidity and Multi-Asset.
The firm employs combination of fundamental analysis to make its investments. Ashmore Group Plc was founded in 1992 and is based in London, United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) currently trades at £2.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.47, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £1.81 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the £2.09 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.2600, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £1.37 (bear) to £1.62 (bull), the price of £2.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Ashmore Group Plc reported revenue of £140M in FY2026 versus £200M in FY2022, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was £103M in FY2026, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap £1.4B Small · P/E ratio 13.9 · P/S ratio 10.3 · EPS (TTM) £0.1500 · Dividend yield 8.1% · Net margin 74.2% · Return on equity 13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −30%, ASHM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£1.37Fair Value £1.47Bull£1.62
Price £2.09 · Downside -29.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10.3% vs −2.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.61% → 71%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.1% a year for the price and +6.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−28.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.4% · Above median
Return on assets9.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)74.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)21.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)8.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ashmore Group Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASHM
Frequently asked questions
Is Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.47 versus a price of £2.09, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASHM?
Our model-based fair value for Ashmore Group Plc is £1.47 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £2.09.
What is the quality score of ASHM?
Ashmore Group Plc has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.47 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.37, optimistic scenario £1.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashmore Group Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.47, about 30% lower versus a price of £2.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £1.37, optimistic scenario £1.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
Ashmore Group Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £139M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Ashmore Group Plc pay a dividend?
Ashmore Group Plc currently shows a dividend yield of 8.09% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Ashmore Group Plc pays a dividend of £0.169 per share a year, a dividend yield of 8.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 5, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2007. The payout ratio is 113% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.38 times. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What growth is priced into Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ashmore Group Plc would have to grow free cash flow by +18.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -19.9 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASHM use?
Our models discount Ashmore Group Plc at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ashmore Group Plc that is +18.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ashmore Group Plc grew -19.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ashmore Group Plc (+18.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.89 %: that much free cash flow Ashmore Group Plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashmore Group Plc it is £1.47 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of £2.09. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Ashmore Group Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, ASHM trades above its calculated fair value: price £2.09, fair value £1.47, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASHM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£2.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.47). For Ashmore Group Plc the two are £0.6200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashmore Group Plc worth?
The market values Ashmore Group Plc at about £1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is £2.09; our models calculate a fair value of £1.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASHM?
Our models span a range for Ashmore Group Plc: cautious scenario £1.37, base £1.47, optimistic £1.62 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price £2.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASHM?
Ashmore Group Plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.47 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 15.6. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 1.8, P/S 10.3, EV/EBITDA 32.4.
What is the PEG ratio of ASHM?
The PEG ratio of Ashmore Group Plc is 2.52 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashmore Group Plc (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 13.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASHM from its 52-week high?
Ashmore Group Plc trades at £2.09, about 20% below its 52-week high of £2.62 and 39% above the low of £1.50 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashmore Group Plc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashmore Group Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price £2.09, calculated fair value £1.47 (−30%), Quality Score 73/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASHM calculated?
We run Ashmore Group Plc through 12 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.47 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Ashmore Group Plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was £2.09. Our model-based fair value is £1.47, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashmore Group Plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£1.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (73/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) come from?
Earnings per share at Ashmore Group Plc grew −4.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.5 %, EBIT margin −2.7 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ashmore Group Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The market capitalisation of Ashmore Group Plc is £1.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashmore Group Plc is 10.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
Earnings per share at Ashmore Group Plc are £0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The dividend yield of Ashmore Group Plc is 8.1% (payout 113%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The net margin of Ashmore Group Plc is 74.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashmore Group Plc is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashmore Group Plc is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
The operating margin of Ashmore Group Plc is 21.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
Revenue at Ashmore Group Plc is growing +10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM)?
Earnings per share at Ashmore Group Plc are growing −23.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ashmore Group Plc (ASHM) hold?
Ashmore Group Plc holds more cash than debt, £348M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 9, 2026