Castelnau Group Limited (CGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Castelnau Group Limited stock £1.79, price £0.91, upside +96.7%, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.6800 – £1.10 · fair‑value band £1.34 – £2.24 · the £0.9100 price screens below the £1.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Castelnau Group Limited operates as an investment company. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Saint Peter Port, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Castelnau Group Limited (CGL) currently trades at £0.9100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.79, implying the stock looks roughly 49% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of £5.67 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the £0.9100 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.7500, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £1.34 (bear) to £2.24 (bull), the price of £0.9100 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Castelnau Group Limited reported revenue of £61.9M in FY2025 versus −£9.5M in FY2021. Reported net income was £45.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap £303M Small · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 5.62 · EPS (TTM) £0.1200 · Net margin 74.1% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 97%, CGL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£1.34Fair Value £1.79Bull£2.24
Price £0.9100 · Upside +96.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.1029 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
Compare Castelnau Group Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+96.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.8% · Above median
Return on assets9.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)74.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)5.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Castelnau Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGL
Frequently asked questions
Is Castelnau Group Limited (CGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.79 versus a price of £0.9100, about +97% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CGL?
Our model-based fair value for Castelnau Group Limited is £1.79 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.9100.
What is the quality score of CGL?
Castelnau Group Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.79 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.34, optimistic scenario £2.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Castelnau Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.79, about +97% upside versus a price of £0.9100 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £1.34, optimistic scenario £2.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Castelnau Group Limited it is £1.79 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of £0.9100. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Castelnau Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CGL trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.9100, fair value £1.79, a gap of about +97% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.9100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.79). For Castelnau Group Limited the two are £0.8800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Castelnau Group Limited worth?
The market values Castelnau Group Limited at about £303M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is £0.9100; our models calculate a fair value of £1.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGL?
Our models span a range for Castelnau Group Limited: cautious scenario £1.34, base £1.79, optimistic £2.24 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price £0.9100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CGL?
Castelnau Group Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.79 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Castelnau Group Limited (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 10.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGL from its 52-week high?
Castelnau Group Limited trades at £0.9100, about 7% below its 52-week high of £0.9800 and 17% above the low of £0.7750 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Castelnau Group Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Castelnau Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price £0.9100, calculated fair value £1.79 (+97%), Quality Score 41/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGL calculated?
We run Castelnau Group Limited through 7 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.79 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Castelnau Group Limited currently trades 49% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £0.9100. Our model-based fair value is £1.79, about +97% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Castelnau Group Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Castelnau Group Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
The market capitalisation of Castelnau Group Limited is £303M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Castelnau Group Limited is 5.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
Earnings per share at Castelnau Group Limited are £0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
The net margin of Castelnau Group Limited is 74.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Castelnau Group Limited is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Castelnau Group Limited is −4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
The operating margin of Castelnau Group Limited is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
Revenue at Castelnau Group Limited is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Castelnau Group Limited (CGL)?
Earnings per share at Castelnau Group Limited are growing −70.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Castelnau Group Limited (CGL) generate?
The free cash flow of Castelnau Group Limited is −£7.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Castelnau Group Limited (CGL) carry?
The net debt of Castelnau Group Limited is £80.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 8, 2026