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Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sao Ta Foods JSC stock VND 103,200, price VND 34,400, upside +200.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive VN · ISIN VN000000FMC4

ST Sao Ta Foods JSC logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Sao Ta Foods JSC

FMC · VN
Meets all rules

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 103,200 VND · Strongly undervalued
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Costs just 5 times its yearly profit.
Quality 55/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr in VND)
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin (TTM)
Moderate moat 49/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

59,159 VND 24,711 VND Fair Value 103,200 VND Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 24,711 VND – 59,159 VND · fair‑value band 70,462 VND – 143,633 VND · the 34,400 VND price screens below the 103,200 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Sao Ta Foods Joint Stock Company engages in farming, processing, and preserving aquatic products. It provides breaded items, pre-fried shrimps, raw foods, nobashi, and cooked products.

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It also trades in food, foodstuffs, and semi-processed agricultural products; and produces, exports, and consumes agricultural products. Sao Ta Foods Joint Stock Company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Can Tho, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC) currently trades at 34,400 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 103,200 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 129,294 VND per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the 34,400 VND price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 19,706 VND, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 70,462 VND (bear) to 143,633 VND (bull), the price of 34,400 VND sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Sao Ta Foods JSC reported revenue of 8.2T VND in FY2025 versus 5.2T VND in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was 349B VND in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.2T VND (≈ $87.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.0 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) 6,883 VND · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 18.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 200%, FMC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 70,462 VND Fair Value 103,200 VND Bull 143,633 VND
Price 34,400 VND · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (5,902 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 84,016 VND 118,890 VND 191,572 VND 77
Growth DCF 81,530 VND 119,409 VND 166,773 VND 76
Residual Income 30,119 VND 33,863 VND 41,391 VND 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 84,016 VND 118,890 VND 191,572 VND 77
Owner Earnings 93,602 VND 145,244 VND 222,587 VND 73
5Y Revenue Exit 71,269 VND 108,421 VND 159,437 VND 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 85,171 VND 139,340 VND 209,990 VND 71
5Y P/E Exit 89,766 VND 149,560 VND 221,634 VND 67
10Y Revenue Exit 74,557 VND 108,048 VND 160,922 VND 64
10Y EBITDA Exit 82,914 VND 126,281 VND 196,010 VND 65
10Y P/E Exit 85,343 VND 132,308 VND 204,092 VND 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 36,258 VND 215,635 VND 300,410 VND 63
Lynch FV 61,325 VND 87,607 VND 113,888 VND 61
PEG = 1.0 61,325 VND 87,607 VND 113,888 VND 57
EPV 44,817 VND 47,544 VND 49,689 VND 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 15,053 VND 23,199 VND 28,402 VND 69
DDM Multi-Stage 15,053 VND 22,887 VND 25,109 VND 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 83,981 VND 111,974 VND 139,968 VND 63
P/S Multiple 67,984 VND 90,646 VND 113,307 VND 58
P/B Multiple 130,838 VND 174,451 VND 218,064 VND 55
EV/EBIT 57,301 VND 78,280 VND 99,259 VND 63
EV/EBITDA 69,438 VND 94,463 VND 119,487 VND 64
EV/Revenue 39,284 VND 58,535 VND 77,786 VND 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13,006 VND 19,706 VND 24,632 VND 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 81,530 VND 119,409 VND 166,773 VND 76
Rev-Margin DCF 71,269 VND 107,686 VND 158,581 VND 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 30,119 VND 33,863 VND 41,391 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 47,478 VND 54,185 VND 62,068 VND 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 89,488 VND 127,841 VND 166,193 VND 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 54
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 56
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 59
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 92
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 40
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 27
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−25.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 4%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.8%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Vietnam: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 18.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 5.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 7.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −10.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 5.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 4.9× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)75 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs FMC
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.45 ¥41.84 +33% vs FMC
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs FMC
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.78 ¥39.22 +10% vs FMC
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs FMC
Danone S.A BN €67.12 €50.65 −25% vs FMC
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 85.85 CHF 59.51 −31% vs FMC
Kerry Group KRZ €98.00 €60.33 −38% vs FMC
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,282 ₹724.74 −43% vs FMC
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.21 ¥12.21 −53% vs FMC

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 103,200 VND versus a price of 34,400 VND, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FMC?
Our model-based fair value for Sao Ta Foods JSC is 103,200 VND (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 34,400 VND.
What is the quality score of FMC?
Sao Ta Foods JSC has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 103,200 VND (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 70,462 VND, optimistic scenario 143,633 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sao Ta Foods JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 103,200 VND, about +200% upside versus a price of 34,400 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 70,462 VND, optimistic scenario 143,633 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
Sao Ta Foods JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.4T VND (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sao Ta Foods JSC would have to grow free cash flow by -4.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FMC use?
Our models discount Sao Ta Foods JSC at 14.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sao Ta Foods JSC that is -4.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sao Ta Foods JSC grew +13.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -4.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sao Ta Foods JSC (-4.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.50 %: that much free cash flow Sao Ta Foods JSC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sao Ta Foods JSC it is 103,200 VND per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 34,400 VND. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Sao Ta Foods JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, FMC trades below its calculated fair value: price 34,400 VND, fair value 103,200 VND, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FMC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (34,400 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (103,200 VND). For Sao Ta Foods JSC the two are 68,800 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sao Ta Foods JSC worth?
The market values Sao Ta Foods JSC at about 2.2T VND (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 34,400 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 103,200 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FMC?
Our models span a range for Sao Ta Foods JSC: cautious scenario 70,462 VND, base 103,200 VND, optimistic 143,633 VND per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 34,400 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FMC?
Sao Ta Foods JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 103,200 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sao Ta Foods JSC (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 18.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FMC from its 52-week high?
Sao Ta Foods JSC trades at 34,400 VND, about 18% below its 52-week high of 42,005 VND and 6% above the low of 32,400 VND (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 103,200 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sao Ta Foods JSC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sao Ta Foods JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 34,400 VND, calculated fair value 103,200 VND (+200%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FMC calculated?
We run Sao Ta Foods JSC through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 103,200 VND builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Sao Ta Foods JSC currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 34,400 VND. Our model-based fair value is 103,200 VND, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sao Ta Foods JSC right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (70,462 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (70,462 VND to 143,633 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Sao Ta Foods JSC

How large is the market capitalisation of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
The market capitalisation of Sao Ta Foods JSC is 2.2T VND (≈ $87.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sao Ta Foods JSC is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
Earnings per share at Sao Ta Foods JSC are 6,883 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
The net margin of Sao Ta Foods JSC is 5.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sao Ta Foods JSC is 18.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sao Ta Foods JSC is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
The operating margin of Sao Ta Foods JSC is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
Revenue at Sao Ta Foods JSC is growing −10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC)?
Earnings per share at Sao Ta Foods JSC are growing +127% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sao Ta Foods JSC (FMC) carry?
The net debt of Sao Ta Foods JSC is 369B VND (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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