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HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of HCL Infosystems Limited stock ₹9.28, price ₹9.93, that is 6.5% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

5 models, one by oneBear ₹8.62 to bull ₹10.63 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 50/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Technology IN · ISIN INE236A01020

Thin data Nov 10, 2026

HCL Infosystems Limited

HCL-INSYS · BSE

Neutral

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ₹9.28 · Fairly valued

Quality 50/100

Negative equity (buybacks among others)

Weak Growth (revenue 5y −42.8 %/yr in INR)

Loss-making · -85.2% net margin (TTM)

Negative free cash flow

Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data

Thin data

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

3‑month range ₹9.10 – ₹11.72 · fair‑value band ₹8.62 – ₹10.63 · the ₹9.93 price screens above the ₹9.28 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

HCL Infosystems Limited engages in the distribution of technology, mobility, and consumer electronic products primarily in India. It operates in three segments: Hardware Products and Solutions, Learning, and Distribution.

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The Hardware Products and Solutions segment engages in the annual maintenance contracts (AMC) and supporting system integration projects. The Learning segment sells digitized educational content and learning solutions.

The Distribution segment consists of AMC related to enterprise distribution customers. HCL Infosystems Limited was founded in 1976 and is based in Noida, India.

Stock analysis

HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS) currently trades at ₹9.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹9.28, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹9.62 per share, and 2 of the 5 models we run sit above the ₹9.93 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ₹9.28, and 3 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹8.62 (bear) to ₹10.63 (bull), the price of ₹9.93 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

HCL Infosystems Limited reported revenue of ₹216M in FY2026 versus ₹694M in FY2022, a compound −25.3%/yr. Reported net income was −₹329M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹3.3B (≈ $34.8M) · P/S ratio 13.5 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.5800 · Net margin −85.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −345% · Revenue (TTM) ₹225M · Revenue growth (YoY) −25.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −7%, HCL-INSYS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹8.62 Fair Value ₹9.28 Bull ₹10.63

Price ₹9.93 · Downside -6.5%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

FCF DCF ₹9.09 ₹10.07 ₹11.66 82

Growth DCF ₹9.19 ₹10.11 ₹11.50 80

5Y Revenue Exit ₹8.34 ₹9.27 ₹10.63 74

All 5 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF ₹9.09 ₹10.07 ₹11.66 82

5Y Revenue Exit ₹8.34 ₹9.27 ₹10.63 74

10Y Revenue Exit ₹8.62 ₹9.28 ₹9.96 68

Growth DCF

Growth DCF ₹9.19 ₹10.11 ₹11.50 80

Rev-Margin DCF ₹8.21 ₹9.13 ₹10.24 74

Models of HCL-INSYS.NSE, converted to this listing with the same factor as the fair value.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 14

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 100

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 33

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 100

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 61

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 16

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 7

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 83

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−12.2%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−11.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−42.8%

Start year 2021 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−43.6%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−71.2% (2021) → −275.6% (2026)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
WPG Holdings 3702	92.50 TWD	144.03 TWD	+56%	vs HCL-INSYS
TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX	$232.50	$290.49	+25%	vs HCL-INSYS
Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347	79.10 TWD	86.30 TWD	+9%	vs HCL-INSYS
Topco Scientific Co 5434	503.00 TWD	472.85 TWD	−6%	vs HCL-INSYS
Rexel S.A RXL	€36.06	€31.78	−12%	vs HCL-INSYS
Insight Enterprises, Inc NSIT	$168.75	$142.01	−16%	vs HCL-INSYS
Unisplendour Corporation 000938	¥24.87	¥18.06	−27%	vs HCL-INSYS
Avnet, Inc AVT	$85.10	$55.48	−35%	vs HCL-INSYS
Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW	$194.14	$96.88	−50%	vs HCL-INSYS
Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062	¥19.70	¥9.23	−53%	vs HCL-INSYS

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Frequently asked questions

Is HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹9.28 versus a price of ₹9.93, about 7% lower (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of HCL-INSYS?

Our model-based fair value for HCL Infosystems Limited is ₹9.28 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹9.93.

What is the quality score of HCL-INSYS?

HCL Infosystems Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹9.28 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹8.62, optimistic scenario ₹10.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the HCL Infosystems Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹9.28, about 7% lower versus a price of ₹9.93 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹8.62, optimistic scenario ₹10.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

HCL Infosystems Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹225M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HCL Infosystems Limited it is ₹9.28 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ₹9.93. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 2 families (DCF Models, Growth DCF).

Is HCL Infosystems Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 10, 2026, HCL-INSYS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹9.93, fair value ₹9.28, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of HCL-INSYS?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹9.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹9.28). For HCL Infosystems Limited the two are ₹0.6467 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is HCL Infosystems Limited worth?

The market values HCL Infosystems Limited at about ₹3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ₹9.93; our models calculate a fair value of ₹9.28 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HCL-INSYS?

Our models span a range for HCL Infosystems Limited: cautious scenario ₹8.62, base ₹9.28, optimistic ₹10.63 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ₹9.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

Which stocks are comparable to HCL Infosystems Limited?

From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Rexel S.A, Unisplendour Corporation, Arrow Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is HCL Infosystems Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ₹9.93, calculated fair value ₹9.28 (−7%), Quality Score 50/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of HCL-INSYS calculated?

We run HCL Infosystems Limited through 5 models from 2 families: DCF Models, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹9.28 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. HCL Infosystems Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹9.93. Our model-based fair value is ₹9.28, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with HCL Infosystems Limited right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of HCL Infosystems Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

The market capitalisation of HCL Infosystems Limited is ₹3.3B (≈ $34.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

The price-to-sales ratio of HCL Infosystems Limited is 13.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

Earnings per share at HCL Infosystems Limited are ₹−0.5800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

The net margin of HCL Infosystems Limited is −85.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the EBIT return on assets of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HCL Infosystems Limited is −12.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

The operating margin of HCL Infosystems Limited is −345% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS)?

Revenue at HCL Infosystems Limited is growing −25.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How much free cash flow does HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS) generate?

The free cash flow of HCL Infosystems Limited is −₹8.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does HCL Infosystems Limited (HCL-INSYS) carry?

The net debt of HCL Infosystems Limited is ₹3.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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