Watch Energy Vault Holdings Inc for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.

Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Energy Vault Holdings Inc stock $2.05, price $3.53, that is 41.9% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

EstimateBear $1.54 to bull $2.56 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 31/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials US

Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Energy Vault Holdings Inc

NRGV · US

Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 42% below what the stock costs today.

Positive coverage

Revenue last quarter +104% vs. a year ago.

Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +11.8 %/yr in USD)

Moderate debt

Insiders bought $426,211 (6M) · sold $691,850

Fair value $2.05 · Strongly overvalued

Quality 31/100

Loss-making · -48.6% net margin (TTM)

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (1/10)

Narrow moat 9/100

Thin data

Estimate

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6298 – $21.64 · fair‑value band $1.54 – $2.56 · the $3.53 price screens above the $2.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and deploys utility-scale energy storage solutions in the United States, Switzerland, United Kingdom, North America, Australia, and internationally.

Show moreShow less

The company offers B-Vault, an electrochemical battery energy storage solution for short-duration energy storage needs; G-Vault, a gravity energy storage solution for long-duration energy storage needs; and H-Vault, a hydrogen or hybrid energy storage solution.

It also provides software solutions, such as Vault-OS Energy Management System which provides real-time monitoring, operational control, and optimized dispatch across an array of generation and short to ultra-long duration energy storage assets; Vault-Bidder, which utilizes artificial intelligence to leverage diverse, live data from directly monitored assets and external drivers to provide dispatch and revenue optimization; and Vault-Manager, which converts diverse, real-time data into clear asset performance visibility and insights, facilitating improved decision-making regarding maintenance, augmentation, and expansion.

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2020 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.

Stock analysis

Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV) currently trades at $3.53, while our estimate is $2.05, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $1.54 (bear) to $2.56 (bull), the price of $3.53 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Energy Vault Holdings Inc reported revenue of $204M in FY2025 versus $42.9M in FY2021, a compound +47.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$104M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $630M Small · P/S ratio 2.56 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6700 · Net margin −48.6% · Return on equity −179% · Return on assets (EBIT) −32.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −142% · Revenue (TTM) $226M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −42%, NRGV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $1.54 Fair Value $2.05 Bull $2.56

Price $3.53 · Downside -41.9%

Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 100

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 2

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 30

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 67

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 18

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 19

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 30

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 0

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $426,211, on Aug 17, 2026. Over the same period, 2 people sold shares worth $691,850.

SaleStephanie UnwinDirector115,000 shares at $3.71$426,650Aug 26, 2026
BuyDylan HixonDirector2× since Aug 14, 2026: 112,990 shares, avg. $3.77$426,211Aug 17, 2026
SaleMichael Thomas BeerChief Financial Officer3× since Dec 23, 2025: 180,000 shares, avg. $3.99$717,400Jul 6, 2026
BuyRobert PiconiChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner3× since Nov 14, 2025: 30,000 shares, avg. $3.15$94,575Mar 31, 2026
BuyMary Beth MandanasDirector5,000 shares at $3.65$18,250Mar 25, 2026
BuyThomas R ErtelDirector5,450 shares at $3.37$18,367Mar 4, 2026
BuyAkshay LadwaChief Operations Officer4,000 shares at $3.09$12,360Mar 2, 2026
BuyLarry PaulsonDirector5,000 shares at $3.15$15,750Feb 27, 2026
SaleSB INVESTMENT ADVISERS (UK) LTD10% owner3,000,000 shares at $5.65$17.0MJan 15, 2026

Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−62.5% (2021) → −36.5% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

NRGV screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (85 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive

Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Eagle Point Provides Strategic Equipment Financing to Energy Vault for Behind the Meter Power Infrastructure Yahoo Finance · Oct 29, 2026
2G Energy Receives 275 MW Order from Energy Vault Holding Inc, (NYSE: NRGV) for U.S. AI Energy Infrastructure Solutions Yahoo Finance · Sep 23, 2026
Energy Vault Closes Financing on 275 MW of Rolls-Royce MTU Reciprocating Engine Generation Capacity for Hyperscale AI Infrastructure Yahoo Finance · Sep 10, 2026
Energy Vault Accelerates 125 MW / 1 GWh Stoney Creek BESS Toward Construction with Full Project Land Acquisition Milestone in Australia Yahoo Finance · Sep 3, 2026

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 590 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −41.9% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets −33.1% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (12 months) −48.6% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (12 months) −142.0% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 104.1% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.56× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 9.33× · Priciest 25%

P/S (12 months) 2.79× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 66

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25

HEALTH (low debt)72 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750	¥249.95	¥648.35	+159%	vs NRGV
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274	¥79.60	¥182.32	+129%	vs NRGV
NARI Technology Co 600406	¥23.40	¥29.39	+26%	vs NRGV
Vertiv Holdings VRT	$194.22	$178.64	−8%	vs NRGV
Samsung SDI Co 006400	456,000 KRW	395,019 KRW	−13%	vs NRGV
Legrand SA LR	€135.60	€82.49	−39%	vs NRGV
Prysmian S.p.A PRY	€107.20	€64.29	−40%	vs NRGV
ABB Ltd ABBN	CHF 68.98	CHF 29.62	−57%	vs NRGV
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA	193.00 THB	39.14 THB	−80%	vs NRGV
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220	330,500 KRW	53,325 KRW	−84%	vs NRGV

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Energy Vault Holdings Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NRGV?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=badge" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"><img src="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/embed/NRGV.US.svg" width="360" height="84" alt="Energy Vault Holdings Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy"></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Energy Vault Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NRGV

Frequently asked questions

Is Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $2.05 versus a price of $3.53, about 42% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of NRGV?

Our estimate for Energy Vault Holdings Inc is $2.05 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.53.

What is the quality score of NRGV?

Energy Vault Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

Our calculated price target is the estimate of $2.05 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $1.54, optimistic scenario $2.56. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.

What is the Energy Vault Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our estimate puts fair value at $2.05, about 42% lower versus a price of $3.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.54, optimistic scenario $2.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

Energy Vault Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $226M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Energy Vault Holdings Inc it is $2.05 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $3.53.

Is Energy Vault Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 10, 2026, NRGV trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.53, fair value $2.05, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of NRGV?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.05). For Energy Vault Holdings Inc the two are $1.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Energy Vault Holdings Inc worth?

The market values Energy Vault Holdings Inc at about $630M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $3.53; our models calculate a fair value of $2.05 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NRGV?

Our models span a range for Energy Vault Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $1.54, base $2.05, optimistic $2.56 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $3.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

Balance-sheet figures for Energy Vault Holdings Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −178.6%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is NRGV from its 52-week high?

Energy Vault Holdings Inc trades at $3.53, about 46% below its 52-week high of $6.49 and 41% above the low of $2.51 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.05 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Energy Vault Holdings Inc?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Energy Vault Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $3.53, calculated fair value $2.05 (−42%), Quality Score 31/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Energy Vault Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $3.53. Our estimate is $2.05, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Energy Vault Holdings Inc right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Energy Vault Holdings Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

The market capitalisation of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is $630M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is 2.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

Earnings per share at Energy Vault Holdings Inc are $−0.6700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

The net margin of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is −48.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is −179% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is −32.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

The operating margin of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is −142% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)?

Revenue at Energy Vault Holdings Inc is growing +104% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How much free cash flow does Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV) generate?

The free cash flow of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is −$46.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV) carry?

The net debt of Energy Vault Holdings Inc is $33.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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