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Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Penguin Solutions, Inc. stock $30.93, price $41.83, that is 26.1% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

PS Penguin Solutions, Inc. logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

Penguin Solutions, Inc.

PENG · US
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 26% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin (TTM)
Positive coverage
Revenue last quarter +68% vs. a year ago.
Quality 51/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr in USD)
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 62/100 · thin data
Insiders sold $3.6M (6M)
Some data
Fair value $30.93 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$81.39 $12.63 Fair Value $30.93 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.63 – $81.39 · fair‑value band $26.57 – $39.82 · the $41.83 price screens above the $30.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Penguin Solutions, Inc. designs, builds, deploys and manages enterprise solutions worldwide.

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The company operates through three segments: Advanced Computing, Integrated Memory, and Optimized LED. It offers hardware, software, and services focusing on technical computing for core and cloud environments through high-performance computing and AI solutions under the Penguin Solutions, Penguin Computing, Stratus, and Penguin Edge brands.

The company also provides Penguin Solutions OriginAI, an AI infrastructure solution for customers deploying GPUs at scale; continuous availability of customers critical data and applications in data centers and edge locations under the Stratus brand products; and dynamic random-access memory, modules, solid-state/flash storage, and other integrated memory solutions to networking and telecom, data analytics, AI, and ML under the SMART Modular Technologies brand.

In addition, it provides Zefr, a memory module; Altus and AMD EPYC based servers for expansive memory for AI workloads; flash memory products comprising solid-state drives, Serial Advanced Technology Attachment, and PCIe NVMe products in 2.5 enclosures, M.2, EDSFF, and other module form factors; and multimediacard and embedded and removable USB products, and SD and microSD Card configurations, as well as firmware development.

Further, the company offers procurement, logistics, inventory management, temporary warehousing, programming, kitting, and packaging supply chain services; and LEDs under the Cree LED brand; Cree LED XLamp and J Series packaged LED components.

It serves OEMs, enterprise, government, and other end customers through direct and third-party channels. The company has a collaboration with Deepgram and Dell Technologies. The company was formerly known as SMART Global Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Penguin Solutions, Inc. in October 2024.

Penguin Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

Stock analysis

Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) currently trades at $41.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.93, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $87.82 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the $41.83 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.78, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $26.57 (bear) to $39.82 (bull), the price of $41.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Penguin Solutions, Inc. reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2026 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was $181M in FY2026, compounding +28.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $2.1B Mid · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) $2.82 · Net margin 10.4% · Return on equity 27.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 13.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 158% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −26%, PENG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $26.57 Fair Value $30.93 Bull $39.82
Price $41.83 · Downside -26.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 2 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4986 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $21.77 $29.60 $39.82 77
EPV $25.29 $27.92 $30.06 74
ROIC Compounder $26.57 $30.93 $35.55 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $21.77 $29.60 $39.82 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $23.97 $82.23 $110.38 64
Lynch FV $18.95 $27.07 $35.19 61
PEG = 1.0 $18.95 $27.07 $35.19 57
EPV $25.29 $27.92 $30.06 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $74.02 $98.69 $123.36 63
P/S Multiple $44.94 $59.92 $74.90 58
P/B Multiple $45.46 $60.62 $75.77 55
EV/EBIT $54.27 $73.66 $93.05 66
EV/EBITDA $52.95 $71.90 $90.85 67
EV/Revenue $25.51 $38.11 $50.72 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.50 $3.78 $4.73 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $17.39 $22.14 $33.67 69
ROIC Compounder $26.57 $30.93 $35.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $61.47 $87.82 $114.16 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 51
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 67
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 50
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 70
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 86
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $3.6M and none bought.

  • SaleJoseph Gates ClarkSVP and Pres, Optimized LED11× since Feb 10, 2026: 63,743 shares, avg. $34.90$2.2MNov 2, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleAnthony George FreySVP and Chief Revenue Officer4,631 shares at $58.91$272,812Oct 29, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleAnne KuykendallSVP and Chief Legal Officer8× since Feb 25, 2026: 22,215 shares, avg. $42.07$934,560Oct 22, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleMaximiliane C StraubDirector2× since May 11, 2026: 15,000 shares, avg. $45.62$684,360May 14, 2026
  • SaleSandeep NayyarDirector20,000 shares at $44.52$890,358May 12, 2026

Plus 15 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 60/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+57.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+57.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%

PENG screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Strong AI-driven sales growth and raised outlook highlight momentum in the shift to infrastructure, yet limited durable advantages and low returns on equity signal ongoing competitive pressure.
Main risk: Competitive pressures and execution risks may cap the ability to sustain superior growth from the accelerating shift toward AI infrastructure and data-center offerings.
Penguin Solutions posted record fourth-quarter sales driven by 141 percent growth in its AI businesses, which made up 78 percent of revenue, and raised its full-year outlook on new neocloud data center wins. Our models currently see the stock as overvalued even as memory and infrastructure demand accelerates. Will the operating leverage from this AI shift sustain superior growth, or will competitive pressures and execution risks cap the upside sooner than expected?
Join the discussion →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 479 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −26.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 27.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 10.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 13.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 67.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 14.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.20× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 32
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $64.72 $139.68 +116% vs PENG
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹198.00 ₹287.86 +45% vs PENG
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,181 ₹1,655 +40% vs PENG
Accenture plc ACN $260.50 $332.90 +28% vs PENG
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,499 ₹2,993 +20% vs PENG
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,440 ₹1,602 +11% vs PENG
Amadeus IT Group AMS €60.52 €66.57 +10% vs PENG
CDW Corporation CDW $157.00 $165.54 +5% vs PENG
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR $190.40 $161.18 −15% vs PENG
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $245.00 $185.39 −24% vs PENG

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Penguin Solutions, Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Penguin Solutions, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PENG

Frequently asked questions

Is Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.93 versus a price of $41.83, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PENG?
Our model-based fair value for Penguin Solutions, Inc. is $30.93 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $41.83.
What is the quality score of PENG?
Penguin Solutions, Inc. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $30.93 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $26.57, optimistic scenario $39.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Penguin Solutions, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $30.93, about 26% lower versus a price of $41.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $26.57, optimistic scenario $39.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
Penguin Solutions, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Penguin Solutions, Inc. pay a dividend?
Penguin Solutions, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Penguin Solutions, Inc. it is $30.93 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $41.83. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Penguin Solutions, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, PENG trades above its calculated fair value: price $41.83, fair value $30.93, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PENG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($41.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($30.93). For Penguin Solutions, Inc. the two are $10.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Penguin Solutions, Inc. worth?
The market values Penguin Solutions, Inc. at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $41.83; our models calculate a fair value of $30.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PENG?
Our models span a range for Penguin Solutions, Inc.: cautious scenario $26.57, base $30.93, optimistic $39.82 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $41.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PENG?
Penguin Solutions, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $30.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 8.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Penguin Solutions, Inc. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 27.6%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PENG from its 52-week high?
Penguin Solutions, Inc. trades at $41.83, about 49% below its 52-week high of $81.39 and 158% above the low of $16.24 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $30.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Penguin Solutions, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Penguin Solutions, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $41.83, calculated fair value $30.93 (−26%), Quality Score 51/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PENG calculated?
We run Penguin Solutions, Inc. through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $30.93 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Penguin Solutions, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $41.83. Our model-based fair value is $30.93, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Penguin Solutions, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($39.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Penguin Solutions, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
The market capitalisation of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
Earnings per share at Penguin Solutions, Inc. are $2.82 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
The net margin of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is 10.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is 27.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
The operating margin of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
Revenue at Penguin Solutions, Inc. is growing +67.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)?
Earnings per share at Penguin Solutions, Inc. are growing +11.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) generate?
The free cash flow of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is −$163M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) carry?
The net debt of Penguin Solutions, Inc. is $200M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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