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STOCK COMPARISON

MCC Meili Paper Industry Co vs UPM-Kymmene Oyj: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how MCC Meili Paper Industry Co (000815) and UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPM) compare, as of Sep 13, 2026.

As of Sep 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees UPM-Kymmene Oyj as the less overvalued of the two: MCC Meili Paper Industry Co trades at ¥15.44 versus a fair value of ¥1.56 (-90%), while UPM-Kymmene Oyj trades at €25.77 versus €19.43 (-25%).
MCC Meili Paper Industry Co
000815.SHE · CNY · Materials
-90%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥15.44
Fair Value¥1.56
Quality69/100
UPM-Kymmene Oyj
UPM.HE · EUR · Materials
-25%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€25.77
Fair Value€19.43
Quality60/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

MCC Meili Paper Industry CoUPM-Kymmene Oyj
Valuation
147.1×P/E (TTM)23.0×
33.37×P/S (TTM)1.51×
8.24×P/B1.44×
86.5×EV/EBITDA14.4×
PEG12.89×
−89.9%Fair value upside−24.6%
0.1%Dividend yield6.2%
Dividend per share€1.50
Profitability
27%Operating margin10%
4.07×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.51×
6%Return on equity5%
2%Return on assets2%
Growth
-1%Revenue growth (YoY)-5%
-32.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-6.3%
-21.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)2.4%
+6.1%Value creation/yr−8.3%
Balance & size
3.7×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)4.2×
0.11×Debt / equity0.28×
$2BMarket cap$14B
weakGrowth qualityweak

UPM-Kymmene Oyj leads: 4 to 9 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

MCC Meili Paper Industry Coof which business quality 66 · market factors 44 UPM-Kymmene Oyjof which business quality 58 · market factors 62
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
31
26
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
40
38
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
96
66
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
69
55
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
88
96
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
39
90
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
49
44
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
40
63
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
88

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyMCC Meili Paper Industry CoPrice ¥15.44UPM-Kymmene OyjPrice €25.77
DCF Models-85%below the price¥2.37-45%below the price€14.17
Earnings-Based-94%below the price¥0.91-84%below the price€4.21
Dividend Discountn/a-37%below the price€16.20
Multiples-91%below the price¥1.43-40%below the price€15.45
Asset-Based-91%below the price¥1.33-51%below the price€12.71
Growth DCF-83%below the price¥2.56-36%below the price€16.37
Economic Profit-92%below the price¥1.18-69%below the price€7.88
Growth Earnings-92%below the price¥1.24-54%below the price€11.81
Minimum-94%below the price¥0.91-84%below the price€4.21
Maximum-83%below the price¥2.56-36%below the price€16.37
Median-91%below the price¥1.33-48%below the price€13.44
Geometric mean-90%below the price¥1.48-56%below the price€11.42

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

MCC Meili Paper Industry Co: 22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj: 24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

MCC Meili Paper Industry Co
Bear ¥1.50Fair Value ¥1.56Bull ¥1.94
¥15.44 = current price (white tick)
UPM-Kymmene Oyj
Bear €13.96Fair Value €19.43Bull €23.42
€25.77 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

MCC Meili Paper Industry Co · Materials

Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-90% · bottom 25%

UPM-Kymmene Oyj · Materials

Quality score60 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-25% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees UPM-Kymmene Oyj as the less overvalued of the two: MCC Meili Paper Industry Co trades at ¥15.44 versus a fair value of ¥1.56 (-90%), while UPM-Kymmene Oyj trades at €25.77 versus €19.43 (-25%).

MCC Meili Paper Industry Co has the higher quality score (69/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.