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STOCK COMPARISON

Cn Logistics International vs United Parcel Service: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Cn Logistics International (2130) and United Parcel Service (UPS) compare, as of Oct 1, 2026.

As of Oct 1, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the more attractively valued of the two: Cn Logistics International trades at HK$3.11 versus a fair value of HK$1.86 (−40.3%), while United Parcel Service trades at $93.44 versus $107 (+14.9%).
Cn Logistics International
2130.HK · HKD · Industrials
−40.3%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$3.11
Fair ValueHK$1.86
Quality51/100
United Parcel Service
UPS · USD · Industrials
+14.9%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$93.44
Fair Value$107
Quality61/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Cn Logistics InternationalUnited Parcel Service
Valuation
62.2×P/E (TTM)17.8×
n/aP/E ex one-offs (FY2025)13.1×
n/aForward P/E (FY2027)11.6×
n/aMedian P/E at FY-end (10 FY, ex one-offs where documented)18.5×
0.30×P/S (TTM)0.88×
1.67×P/B4.90×
5.4×EV/EBITDA8.0×
n/aPEG1.36×
−40.3%Fair value upside+14.9%
0.6%Dividend yield7.0%
HK$0.02Dividend per share$6.56
Profitability
2.4%Operating margin9.1%
0.43×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.83×
4.1%Return on equity29.6%
3.1%Return on assets7.3%
Growth
1.6%Revenue growth (YoY)7.6%
2.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.9%
8.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)1.0%
−11.0%Value creation/yr+12.8%
Balance & size
3.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.8×
0.00×Debt / equity1.45×
$116MMarket cap$80B
mixedGrowth qualityweak
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.
United Parcel Service, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 18.5.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

United Parcel Service leads: 7 to 8 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Cn Logistics Internationalof which business quality 53 · market factors 45 United Parcel Serviceof which business quality 58 · market factors 50
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
42
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
42
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
60
45
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
51
45
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
63
95
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
77
62
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
34
44
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
28
47
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
67
83

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyCn Logistics InternationalPrice HK$3.11United Parcel ServicePrice $93.44
DCF Models+66.7%above the priceHK$5.19+16.4%above the price$109
Earnings-Based−69.3%below the priceHK$0.96−25.6%below the price$69.51
Dividend Discount−92.8%below the priceHK$0.23n/a
Multiples−10.6%close to the priceHK$2.78+50.6%above the price$141
Asset-Based−61.1%below the priceHK$1.21−84.5%below the price$14.51
Growth DCF+63.7%above the priceHK$5.09+7.2%close to the price$100
Economic Profit−41.0%below the priceHK$1.84−31.6%below the price$63.89
Growth Earnings−71.7%below the priceHK$0.88+35.3%above the price$126
Minimum−92.8%below the priceHK$0.23−84.5%below the price$14.51
Maximum+66.7%above the priceHK$5.19+50.6%above the price$141
Median−51.0%below the priceHK$1.52+7.2%close to the price$100
Geometric mean−50.6%below the priceHK$1.53−20.5%below the price$74.28

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Cn Logistics International: 13 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

United Parcel Service: 7 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Cn Logistics International
Price HK$3.11
Fair Value HK$1.86
Bear HK$1.86Bull HK$2.28
United Parcel Service
Price $93.44
Fair Value $107
Bear $62.40Bull $164

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Cn Logistics International · Industrials

Quality score51 · below median
Fair value upside−40.3% · below median

United Parcel Service · Industrials

Quality score61 · above median
Fair value upside+14.9% · above median

Bottom line

As of Oct 1, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the more attractively valued of the two: Cn Logistics International trades at HK$3.11 versus a fair value of HK$1.86 (−40.3%), while United Parcel Service trades at $93.44 versus $107 (+14.9%).

United Parcel Service has the higher quality score (61/100).

Open United Parcel Service live analysis →
Cn Logistics International · United Parcel Service

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.