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Cn Logistics International Holdings (2130) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$944M

CL Cn Logistics International Holdings 2130 · HK
PriceHK$3.13
Fair ValueHK$1.82
Upside-41.7%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.63% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.38 – HK$2.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.07 to HK$1.82 (+70.3%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −0.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$10.17 HK$2.93 Fair Value HK$1.82 Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.93 – HK$10.17 · fair‑value band HK$1.38 – HK$2.28 · the HK$3.13 price screens above the HK$1.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Cn Logistics International Holdings (2130) currently trades at HK$3.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.82, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cn Logistics International Holdings generated revenue of HK$3.0B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at HK$233M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.38 (bear case) to HK$2.28 (bull case); at HK$3.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at -42%, 2130 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$3.69 HK$5.12 HK$7.08 80
Residual Income HK$1.23 HK$1.16 HK$0.9000 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.50 HK$5.08 HK$7.04 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.71 HK$5.28 HK$7.55 38
Owner Earnings HK$4.29 HK$6.19 HK$8.95 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.50 HK$5.09 HK$7.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.14 HK$8.35 HK$12.29 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$2.49 HK$3.09 HK$3.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.48 HK$4.92 HK$6.97 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.53 HK$7.05 HK$10.73 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.94 HK$3.60 HK$4.42 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.3500 HK$1.41 HK$1.91 54
Lynch FV HK$0.3500 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6500 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.3500 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6500 46
EPV HK$2.36 HK$2.54 HK$2.70 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1500 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3800 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1500 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.8100 HK$1.07 HK$1.34 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.6500 HK$0.8700 HK$1.09 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.6500 HK$0.8700 HK$1.09 55
EV/EBIT HK$4.43 HK$5.57 HK$6.71 53
EV/EBITDA HK$6.57 HK$8.43 HK$10.29 54
EV/Revenue HK$3.45 HK$4.49 HK$5.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.9100 HK$1.21 HK$1.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.69 HK$5.12 HK$7.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.50 HK$5.08 HK$7.04 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.23 HK$1.16 HK$0.9000 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.48 HK$2.85 HK$3.29 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.6100 HK$0.8800 HK$1.14 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$5.09) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow HK$80.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 62.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net debt HK$233M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CN Logistics International Holdings Limited provides logistics solutions in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Taiwan, Italy, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Air Freight; Ocean Freight; Cruise Logistics; and Distribution and Logistics Services.

Full company description

CN Logistics International Holdings Limited provides logistics solutions in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Taiwan, Italy, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Air Freight; Ocean Freight; Cruise Logistics; and Distribution and Logistics Services. The Air Freight segment offers air freight forwarding services, which include arranging for consignment upon receipt of booking instructions from customers, cargo pick up, obtaining cargo space, preparation of freight documentation, arranging for customs clearance, and cargo handling at origin and destination, as well as other related logistics services comprising supporting transportation for freight forwarding purposes. The Ocean Freight segment offers ocean freight forwarding services primarily to its air freight forwarding services and other customers. The Cruise Logistics segment engages in shipments of supplies for drydock on project basis and cruise replenishment. This segment also offers delivery of parts and equipment to be used in the repair and maintenance of cruise ships; and supplies to shipyards, drydock, and designated ports. The Distribution And Logistics Services segment provides a range of logistics services, such as managing vendor inventory, pick and pack finished goods, delivery, recycling, quality control and various ancillary value-added services, such as supply chain management and storage services; distribution and logistics services for wine products. It serves direct and freight forwarder customers, high-end fashion retailers, brand owners, and wholesalers and retailers of wine. CN Logistics International Holdings Limited was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong. CN Logistics International Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of DP World Logistics FZE.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cn Logistics International Holdings reported revenue of HK$3.0B in FY2025 versus HK$2.7B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$15.4M in FY2025, compounding −34.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.0B
Latest YoY
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 HK$2.7B
FY22 HK$2.8B
FY23 HK$2.1B
FY24 HK$2.7B
FY25 HK$3.0B
Net income −34.5%/yr
FY21 HK$83.4M
FY22 HK$86.6M
FY23 HK$48.3M
FY24 HK$32.0M
FY25 HK$15.4M

2130 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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HK$1.82 −42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cn Logistics International Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2130

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 40
FUTURE 8 · sector 8
PAST 16 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 199,700 KRW 468,982 KRW +135%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Cn Logistics International Holdings (2130) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.82 versus a price of HK$3.13, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2130?
Our model-based fair value for Cn Logistics International Holdings is HK$1.82 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$3.13.
What is the quality score of 2130?
Cn Logistics International Holdings has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cn Logistics International Holdings (2130)?
Cn Logistics International Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2130?
The net profit margin of Cn Logistics International Holdings is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cn Logistics International Holdings pay a dividend?
Cn Logistics International Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.63% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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