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STOCK COMPARISON

Hotai Motor Co vs Carvana: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Hotai Motor Co (2207) and Carvana (CVNA) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Hotai Motor Co as the less overvalued of the two: Hotai Motor Co trades at TWD 539 versus a fair value of TWD 475 (-12%), while Carvana trades at $73.43 versus $14.95 (-80%).
Hotai Motor Co
2207.TW · TWD · Consumer Discretionary
-12%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceTWD 539
Fair ValueTWD 475
Quality36/100
Carvana
CVNA · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-80%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$73.43
Fair Value$14.95
Quality47/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Hotai Motor CoCarvana
Valuation
14.1×P/E (TTM)38.3×
0.95×P/S (TTM)3.21×
3.08×P/B20.98×
5.1×EV/EBITDA31.9×
0.80×PEG
−11.9%Fair value upside−79.6%
3.7%Dividend yield9.6%
TWD 20.00Dividend per share
Profitability
13%Operating margin9%
1.11×EBIT margin trend (5Y)
21%Return on equity60%
4%Return on assets11%
Growth
-2%Revenue growth (YoY)52%
7.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)14.3%
3.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)29.5%
+6.5%Value creation/yr−8.0%
Balance & size
4.1×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)3.7×
0.10×Debt / equity1.40×
$8BMarket cap$72B
healthyGrowth qualitymixed

Hotai Motor Co leads: 10 to 4 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Hotai Motor Coof which business quality 36 · market factors 52 Carvanaof which business quality 47 · market factors 31
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
40
72
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
51
54
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
58
40
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
13
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
39
63
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
81
0
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
41
48
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
39
40
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
14
0

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyHotai Motor CoPrice TWD 539CarvanaPrice $73.43
DCF Models+53%above the priceTWD 823-69%below the price$22.83
Earnings-Based-27%below the priceTWD 394-40%below the price$43.91
Dividend Discount-31%below the priceTWD 373+46%above the price$107
Multiples+27%above the priceTWD 686-82%below the price$13.06
Asset-Based-81%below the priceTWD 104-97%below the price$2.06
Growth DCF+43%above the priceTWD 772-72%below the price$20.30
Economic Profit-16%below the priceTWD 452-85%below the price$10.73
Growth Earnings+23%above the priceTWD 661-21%below the price$58.29
Minimum-81%below the priceTWD 104-97%below the price$2.06
Maximum+53%above the priceTWD 823+46%above the price$107
Median+3%close to the priceTWD 557-71%below the price$21.56
Geometric mean-15%close to the priceTWD 459-72%below the price$20.93

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Hotai Motor Co: 7 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Carvana: 24 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Hotai Motor Co
Bear TWD 356Fair Value TWD 475Bull TWD 637
TWD 539 = current price (white tick)
Carvana
Bear $7.25Fair Value $14.95Bull $20.33
$73.43 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Hotai Motor Co · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score36 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-12% · below median

Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score47 · below median
Fair value upside-80% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Hotai Motor Co as the less overvalued of the two: Hotai Motor Co trades at TWD 539 versus a fair value of TWD 475 (-12%), while Carvana trades at $73.43 versus $14.95 (-80%).

Carvana has the higher quality score (47/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.