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STOCK COMPARISON

Archer-Daniels-Midland vs Bunge Global: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) and Bunge Global (BG) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Archer-Daniels-Midland as the less overvalued of the two: Archer-Daniels-Midland trades at $84.38 versus a fair value of $49.20 (-42%), while Bunge Global trades at $120 versus $47.76 (-60%).
Archer-Daniels-Midland
ADM · USD · Consumer Staples
-42%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$84.38
Fair Value$49.20
Quality65/100
Bunge Global
BG · USD · Consumer Staples
-60%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$120
Fair Value$47.76
Quality28/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Archer-Daniels-MidlandBunge Global
Valuation
37.0×P/E (TTM)30.5×
0.49×P/S (TTM)0.29×
1.74×P/B1.45×
18.2×EV/EBITDA13.8×
2.49×PEG1.71×
−41.7%Fair value upside−60.2%
2.4%Dividend yield2.3%
$2.05Dividend per share$2.82
Profitability
1%Operating margin1%
0.67×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.44×
5%Return on equity5%
2%Return on assets2%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)88%
-7.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)1.5%
4.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)11.2%
−4.3%Value creation/yr−12.0%
Balance & size
2.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)2.0×
0.34×Debt / equity0.56×
$40BMarket cap$23B
weakGrowth qualityexpensive

Bunge Global leads: 6 to 8 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Archer-Daniels-Midlandof which business quality 64 · market factors 75 Bunge Globalof which business quality 32 · market factors 68
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
41
37
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
47
37
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
60
15
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
61
43
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
33
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
82
76
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
64
54
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
87
83
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
99
27

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyArcher-Daniels-MidlandPrice $84.38Bunge GlobalPrice $120
DCF Models-18%below the price$69.32n/a
Earnings-Based-82%below the price$14.95-85%below the price$18.07
Dividend Discount-65%below the price$29.69-70%below the price$36.16
Multiples-55%below the price$38.02-40%below the price$71.76
Asset-Based-63%below the price$31.60-54%below the price$54.92
Growth DCF+2%close to the price$86.34n/a
Economic Profit-69%below the price$25.96-71%below the price$34.67
Growth Earnings-55%below the price$37.92-39%below the price$72.78
Minimum-82%below the price$14.95-85%below the price$18.07
Maximum+2%close to the price$86.34-39%below the price$72.78
Median-59%below the price$34.76-62%below the price$45.54
Geometric mean-57%below the price$36.49-64%below the price$43.20

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Archer-Daniels-Midland: 23 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Bunge Global: 15 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Archer-Daniels-Midland
Bear $36.90Fair Value $49.20Bull $61.50
$84.38 = current price (white tick)
Bunge Global
Bear $45.75Fair Value $47.76Bull $61.02
$120 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Archer-Daniels-Midland · Consumer Staples

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-42% · below median

Bunge Global · Consumer Staples

Quality score28 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-60% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Archer-Daniels-Midland as the less overvalued of the two: Archer-Daniels-Midland trades at $84.38 versus a fair value of $49.20 (-42%), while Bunge Global trades at $120 versus $47.76 (-60%).

Archer-Daniels-Midland has the higher quality score (65/100).

See the full analysis →
Archer-Daniels-Midland · Bunge Global

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.