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STOCK COMPARISON

Amazon.com vs Tesla: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Amazon.com (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) compare, as of Oct 21, 2026.

As of Oct 21, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amazon.com as the less overvalued of the two: Amazon.com trades at $263 versus a fair value of $140 (−46.5%), while Tesla trades at $374 versus $40.03 (−89.3%).
Amazon.com
AMZN · USD · Consumer Discretionary
−46.5%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$263
Fair Value$140
Quality56/100
Tesla
TSLA · USD · Consumer Discretionary
−89.3%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$374
Fair Value$40.03
Quality49/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Amazon.comTesla
Valuation
21.1×P/E (TTM)346.0×
36.6×P/E ex one-offs (FY2025)339.7×
25.0×Forward P/E (FY2027)170.1×
3.69×P/S (TTM)14.24×
6.97×P/B17.97×
16.8×EV/EBITDAn/a
1.48×PEG4.54×
−46.5%Fair value upside−89.3%
Profitability
13.7%Operating margin1.4%
1.90×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.73×
30.6%Return on equity4.7%
9.5%Return on assets2.8%
Growth
19.6%Revenue growth (YoY)25.5%
11.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.2%
13.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)24.6%
+27.7%Value creation/yr−1.2%
Balance & size
35.2×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)12.9×
0.16×Debt / equity0.08×
$2.9TMarket cap$1.5T
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported. Amazon.com: FY 2026 earnings estimate probably distorted by a special item known to analysts (12.88 is not between the FY 2025 actual of 7.17 and the FY 2027 estimate of 10.48).

Amazon.com leads: 11 to 3 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Amazon.com Tesla
ProfitabilityHow much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
65
31
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns getting better?
52
20
CashflowDo the profits arrive as real cash?
44
52
Financial strengthDebt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
80
82
InvestmentDoes it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
3
23
Low VolatilityHow calm the share price moves, does not count
42
16
MomentumPrice trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
54
34
Near the 52-week highDistance to the 52-week high, does not count
67
28
New sharesBuys back shares or issues new ones?
72
89

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAmazon.comPrice $263TeslaPrice $374
DCF Models−29.1%below the price$186−89.7%below the price$38.43
Earnings-Based−30.1%below the price$183−91.0%below the price$33.62
Multiples−49.0%below the price$134−94.2%below the price$21.52
Asset-Based−91.0%below the price$23.52−99.1%below the price$3.28
Growth DCF−74.7%below the price$66.36−90.7%below the price$34.79
Economic Profit−71.4%below the price$75.16−96.8%below the price$12.06
Growth Earnings−9.1%close to the price$239−88.1%below the price$44.63
Minimum−91.0%below the price$23.52−99.1%below the price$3.28
Maximum−9.1%close to the price$239−88.1%below the price$44.63
Median−49.0%below the price$134−91.0%below the price$33.62
Geometric mean−60.6%below the price$104−94.4%below the price$20.84

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Amazon.com: 22 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Tesla: 24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Amazon.com
Price $263
Fair Value $140
Bear $70.25Bull $176
Tesla
Price $374
Fair Value $40.03
Bear $22.41Bull $58.02

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Amazon.com · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside−46.5% · bottom 25%

Tesla · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score49 · below median
Fair value upside−89.3% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Oct 21, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amazon.com as the less overvalued of the two: Amazon.com trades at $263 versus a fair value of $140 (−46.5%), while Tesla trades at $374 versus $40.03 (−89.3%).

Amazon.com has the higher quality score (56/100).

Open Amazon.com live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.