BHP Group vs Southern Copper: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and Southern Copper (SCCO) compare, as of Aug 23, 2026.
As of Aug 23, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £35.25 versus a fair value of £19.35 (-45%), while Southern Copper trades at $216 versus $85.17 (-61%).
BHP Group
BHP.LSE · GBX · Materials
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£35.25
Fair Value£19.35
Quality64/100
Southern Copper
SCCO · USD · Materials
-61%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$216
Fair Value$85.17
Quality72/100
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Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
BHP GroupSouthern Copper
Valuation
19.8×P/E (TTM)30.8×
3.89×P/S (TTM)10.07×
4.54×P/B13.28×
8.3×EV/EBITDA16.8×
—PEG5.41×
3.8%Dividend yield1.5%
£1.33Dividend per share$3.30
Profitability
19%Net margin34%
41%Operating margin58%
25%Return on equity46%
12%Return on assets24%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)36%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)10.1%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)10.9%
Balance & size
0.44×Debt / equity0.61×
$210BMarket cap$147B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy
Southern Copper leads: 6 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 82Southern Copperof which business quality 70 · market factors 69
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
81
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
34
76
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
55
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
70
35
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
79
75
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
98
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
35
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
BHP Group
DCF Models£27.19
Earnings-Based£25.15
Dividend Discount£19.67
Multiples£28.74
Asset-Based£6.10
Growth DCF£22.49
Economic Profit£20.84
Growth Earnings£25.38
21 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
Southern Copper
DCF Models$90.60
Earnings-Based$54.55
Dividend Discount$52.41
Multiples$64.01
Asset-Based$8.86
Growth DCF$60.29
Economic Profit$57.08
Growth Earnings$79.36
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
BHP Group
Bear £12.88Fair Value £19.35Bull £27.71
£35.25 = current price (white tick)
Southern Copper
Bear $49.56Fair Value $85.17Bull $110
$216 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
BHP Group · Materials
Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-45% · below median
Southern Copper · Materials
Quality score72 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-61% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 23, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £35.25 versus a fair value of £19.35 (-45%), while Southern Copper trades at $216 versus $85.17 (-61%).
Southern Copper has the higher quality score (72/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
