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STOCK COMPARISON

Banco BTG Pactual vs Morgan Stanley: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Banco BTG Pactual (BPAC3) and Morgan Stanley (MS) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Morgan Stanley as the less overvalued of the two: Banco BTG Pactual trades at BRL 23.21 versus a fair value of BRL 12.72 (-45%), while Morgan Stanley trades at $217 versus $139 (-36%).
Banco BTG Pactual
BPAC3.SA · BRL · Financials
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceBRL 23.21
Fair ValueBRL 12.72
Quality25/100
Morgan Stanley
MS · USD · Financials
-36%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$217
Fair Value$139
Quality67/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Banco BTG PactualMorgan Stanley
Valuation
16.3×P/E (TTM)20.1×
6.37×P/S (TTM)4.79×
4.07×P/B3.14×
13.2×EV/EBITDA22.1×
PEG2.64×
−45.2%Fair value upside−36.0%
1.5%Dividend yield1.8%
BRL 0.35Dividend per share$4.00
Profitability
51%Operating margin41%
0.26×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.66×
25%Return on equity16%
2%Return on assets1%
Growth
32%Revenue growth (YoY)16%
57.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)22.5%
64.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)18.3%
+10.7%Value creation/yr+11.1%
Balance & size
0.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)0.4×
1.00×Debt / equity3.13×
$56BMarket cap$351B
mixedGrowth qualitymixed

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Banco BTG Pactualof which business quality 22 · market factors 36 Morgan Stanleyof which business quality 62 · market factors 72
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
36
31
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
46
56
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
0
100
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
20
26
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
36
82
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
67
58
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
24
73
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
21
87
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
0
96

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyBanco BTG PactualPrice BRL 23.21Morgan StanleyPrice $217
DCF Models+112%above the priceBRL 49.32-40%below the price$130
Earnings-Based+144%above the priceBRL 56.72-2%close to the price$214
Dividend Discount-71%below the priceBRL 6.63-63%below the price$79.85
Multiples-43%below the priceBRL 13.17-45%below the price$119
Asset-Based-83%below the priceBRL 4.05-78%below the price$47.42
Growth DCFn/a+53%above the price$332
Economic Profit-42%below the priceBRL 13.52-56%below the price$95.82
Minimum-83%below the priceBRL 4.05-78%below the price$47.42
Maximum+144%above the priceBRL 56.72+53%above the price$332
Median-43%below the priceBRL 13.35-45%below the price$119
Geometric mean-34%below the priceBRL 15.41-44%below the price$122

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Banco BTG Pactual: 6 of 9 models see the stock below the current price.

Morgan Stanley: 11 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Banco BTG Pactual
Bear BRL 7.15Fair Value BRL 12.72Bull BRL 27.41
BRL 23.21 = current price (white tick)
Morgan Stanley
Bear $77.78Fair Value $139Bull $228
$217 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Banco BTG Pactual · Financials

Quality score25 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-45% · bottom 25%

Morgan Stanley · Financials

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-36% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Morgan Stanley as the less overvalued of the two: Banco BTG Pactual trades at BRL 23.21 versus a fair value of BRL 12.72 (-45%), while Morgan Stanley trades at $217 versus $139 (-36%).

Morgan Stanley has the higher quality score (67/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.