STOCK COMPARISON
Constellation Energy vs Vistra: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Constellation Energy (CEG) and Vistra (VST) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.
As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Vistra as the less overvalued of the two: Constellation Energy trades at $261 versus a fair value of $89.08 (-66%), while Vistra trades at $141 versus $85.66 (-39%).
Constellation Energy
CEG · USD · Utilities
-66%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$261
Fair Value$89.08
Quality45/100
Vistra
VST · USD · Utilities
-39%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$141
Fair Value$85.66
Quality35/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Constellation EnergyVistra
Valuation
22.4×P/E (TTM)26.6×
3.08×P/S (TTM)2.76×
6.34×P/B10.48×
12.0×EV/EBITDA10.1×
3.74×PEG0.47×
0.6%Dividend yield0.6%
$1.59Dividend per share$0.91
Profitability
13%Net margin12%
22%Operating margin27%
16%Return on equity43%
4%Return on assets6%
Growth
64%Revenue growth (YoY)43%
1.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-1.6%
7.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)8.9%
Balance & size
0.50×Debt / equity3.10×
$92BMarket cap$54B
healthyGrowth qualityexpensive
Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Constellation Energyof which business quality 52 · market factors 24
Vistraof which business quality 38 · market factors 20
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
46
33
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
43
1
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
46
51
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
43
6
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
55
51
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
41
27
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
20
24
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
13
5
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
90
100
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Constellation Energy
DCF Models$86.41
Earnings-Based$49.28
Dividend Discount$20.92
Multiples$120
Asset-Based$27.24
Growth DCF$68.37
Economic Profit$54.87
Growth Earnings$107
25 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
Vistra
DCF Models$46.51
Earnings-Based$14.81
Dividend Discount$24.74
Multiples$46.53
Asset-Based$10.15
Economic Profit$22.72
Growth Earnings$47.79
17 of 17 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Constellation Energy
Bear $50.80Fair Value $89.08Bull $133
$261 = current price (white tick)
Vistra
Bear $30.44Fair Value $85.66Bull $97.02
$141 = current price (white tick)
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Constellation Energy · Utilities
Quality score45 · below median
Fair value upside-66% · bottom 25%
Vistra · Utilities
Quality score35 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-39% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Vistra as the less overvalued of the two: Constellation Energy trades at $261 versus a fair value of $89.08 (-66%), while Vistra trades at $141 versus $85.66 (-39%).
Constellation Energy has the higher quality score (45/100).
See the full analysis →
More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
