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STOCK COMPARISON

ConocoPhillips vs Williams Companies: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how ConocoPhillips (COP) and Williams Companies (WMB) compare, as of Sep 6, 2026.

As of Sep 6, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees ConocoPhillips as the less overvalued of the two: ConocoPhillips trades at $134 versus a fair value of $90.15 (-33%), while Williams Companies trades at $74.15 versus $11.73 (-84%).
ConocoPhillips
COP · USD · Energy
-33%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$134
Fair Value$90.15
Quality58/100
Williams Companies
WMB · USD · Energy
-84%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$74.15
Fair Value$11.73
Quality51/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

ConocoPhillipsWilliams Companies
Valuation
18.2×P/E (TTM)32.9×
2.22×P/S (TTM)7.41×
2.04×P/B7.01×
6.3×EV/EBITDA17.2×
0.94×PEG2.30×
−32.9%Fair value upside−84.2%
2.4%Dividend yield2.7%
$3.24Dividend per share$2.03
Profitability
22%Operating margin34%
—EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.29×
11%Return on equity20%
6%Return on assets5%
Growth
-5%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-9.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)2.9%
25.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)9.1%
+3.6%Value creation/yr+15.2%
Balance & size
9.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)3.1×
0.34×Debt / equity2.13×
$132BMarket cap$90B
weakGrowth qualityexpensive

ConocoPhillips leads: 10 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

ConocoPhillipsof which business quality 61 · market factors 76 Williams Companiesof which business quality 47 · market factors 69
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
42
45
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
31
43
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
96
61
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
69
11
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
62
50
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
83
86
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
64
53
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
90
74
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
54
83

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyConocoPhillipsPrice $134Williams CompaniesPrice $74.15
DCF Models+2%close to the price$137-94%below the price$4.09
Earnings-Based-68%below the price$42.34-87%below the price$9.98
Dividend Discount-59%below the price$54.97n/a
Multiples-35%below the price$86.74-82%below the price$13.70
Asset-Based-74%below the price$35.46-91%below the price$7.02
Growth DCF+14%close to the price$153n/a
Economic Profit-60%below the price$54.19-81%below the price$14.21
Growth Earnings-39%below the price$81.65-65%below the price$25.93
Minimum-74%below the price$35.46-94%below the price$4.09
Maximum+14%close to the price$153-65%below the price$25.93
Median-49%below the price$68.31-84%below the price$11.84
Geometric mean-47%below the price$71.22-86%below the price$10.63

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

ConocoPhillips: 20 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Williams Companies: 15 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

ConocoPhillips
Bear $67.61Fair Value $90.15Bull $113
$134 = current price (white tick)
Williams Companies
Bear $6.16Fair Value $11.73Bull $17.43
$74.15 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

ConocoPhillips · Energy

Quality score58 · above median
Fair value upside-33% · below median

Williams Companies · Energy

Quality score51 · above median
Fair value upside-84% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 6, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees ConocoPhillips as the less overvalued of the two: ConocoPhillips trades at $134 versus a fair value of $90.15 (-33%), while Williams Companies trades at $74.15 versus $11.73 (-84%).

ConocoPhillips has the higher quality score (58/100).

See the full analysis →
ConocoPhillips · Williams Companies

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.