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STOCK COMPARISON

Dropbox vs Microsoft: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Dropbox (DBX) and Microsoft (MSFT) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Dropbox as the less overvalued of the two: Dropbox trades at $34.81 versus a fair value of $29.27 (-16%), while Microsoft trades at $500 versus $274 (-45%).
Dropbox
DBX · USD · Information Technology
-16%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$34.81
Fair Value$29.27
Quality88/100
Microsoft
MSFT · USD · Information Technology
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$500
Fair Value$274
Quality68/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

DropboxMicrosoft
Valuation
16.2×P/E (TTM)22.9×
2.73×P/S (TTM)8.99×
P/B8.33×
9.7×EV/EBITDA15.6×
13.90×PEG1.19×
Dividend yield0.9%
Dividend per share$3.56
Profitability
19%Net margin39%
27%Operating margin46%
17%Return on equity34%
14%Return on assets15%
Growth
1%Revenue growth (YoY)18%
2.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)12.4%
5.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)14.5%
Balance & size
Debt / equity0.12×
$7BMarket cap$2.9T
mixedGrowth qualityexpensive

Microsoft leads: 3 to 8 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Dropboxof which business quality 85 · market factors 76 Microsoftof which business quality 65 · market factors 51
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
86
75
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
65
53
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
98
71
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
67
79
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
1
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
71
57
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
75
48
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
84
51
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
84

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Dropbox

DCF Models$75.63
Earnings-Based$29.78
Dividend Discount$0.01
Multiples$62.03
Growth DCF$76.75
Economic Profit$30.99
Growth Earnings$50.87

7 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Microsoft

DCF Models$289
Earnings-Based$189
Dividend Discount$61.93
Multiples$206
Asset-Based$30.98
Growth DCF$201
Economic Profit$184
Growth Earnings$276

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Dropbox
Bear $19.15Fair Value $29.27Bull $39.38
$34.81 = current price (white tick)
Microsoft
Bear $159Fair Value $274Bull $358
$500 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Dropbox · Information Technology

Quality score88 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-16% · above median

Microsoft · Information Technology

Quality score68 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-45% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Dropbox as the less overvalued of the two: Dropbox trades at $34.81 versus a fair value of $29.27 (-16%), while Microsoft trades at $500 versus $274 (-45%).

Dropbox has the higher quality score (88/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.